Monday Jun.22, 2020

⚽️ Amazon and Apple chase live sports

_Coming to a Twitch stream near you_
_Coming to a Twitch stream near you_

Hey Snackers,

Product marketing in 2020: "Just turn it into a baby." After the viral success of Baby Yoda-related anything, Planters has shipped a toddler mascot. RIP 104-year-old Mr. Peanut. Hello "Baby Nut." What's next, Baby Mr. Clean? Oh wait, that already happened.

Markets ended the week positive led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq. "Reopening stocks" like airlines dipped Friday after Apple said it's re-closing some stores in states with corona-spikes (like Florida and Arizona).

On the pod: CLEAR likes speeding you through airports so you feel better than everyone else — our 15-minute podcast is looking at the startup's pivot to health to speed you into the office.

Stream

Amazon offers free Premier League streaming as Big Tech dabbles in live sports

Pour out the pints of London Pride... Amazon is footing the pub tab, as long as you're guzzling London Prime. Amazon will air four Premier League soccer matches on Prime Video and Twitch for free in the UK (even for non-Prime members). It's Amazon's competition-crushing way of getting more of Europe on its platforms:

  • Last year, Amazon streamed Premier League matches for the first time. It reportedly dropped $112M for the right to broadcast 60 matches over three years (pennies for the 'Zon).
  • For the first time, Amazon is offering Premier League on Twitch, the live gaming streamer it bought in 2014 for almost $1B. The matches will be played in empty stadiums, so Amazon's adding optional synthetic cheering noises from EA Sports. And since it's Twitch, you can blast emojis through the match via live chat.

Encroaching on cable's sacred turf... Live sports are a big reason many still haven't cut the cable cord. Now, those soccer and football-driven cable bucks are being threatened by streamers. Particularly, big tech companies that also happen to have streaming (and billions lying around to spend on it):

  • Apple just hired a former Amazon sports exec to lead its Apple TV+ sports division. It's reportedly looking to invest in live sports, including college football.
  • Amazon recently signed a deal with the NFL for the right to stream 11 Thursday Night Football games a year on Prime and Twitch. The 'Zon first acquired TNF rights in 2017, but this deal is the biggest (reportedly worth over $200M).

Big Tech can afford to give away things that should be expensive... Companies like Amazon, Apple, and Google rake in so much from their main hustles that they can afford to throw billions at growth in side gigs (like video streaming). That can significantly undercut existing players, like cable providers, who can't afford to give away their main product for free. Legacy cable is bound to lose in a price war with tech's video streaming loss leaders.

Highs

Who's up...

  • Battle Royale > Casino Royale... Fortnite-maker Epic Games is reportedly close to raising $750M from private investors (Epic hasn't IPO'd yet). That would level it up to a $17B valuation, up from $15B in 2018. People have flocked to video games for thrills + human interaction in the corona-conomy. Investors think the trend will stick post-lockdown. Epic has over 250M users gaming/chatting via Fortnite. It also owns video chat app Houseparty, which gained 50M users in April alone.

  • Kim K and Batman walk into a pod... Spotify shares hit an all-time high after it snagged exclusive podcast deals with Warner Bros' DC Comics and Kim Kardashian. Expect original pods featuring Superman and Wonder Woman... and a Kim K pod on criminal justice. Last month, Spotify dropped $100M to make Joe Rogan Spotify-exclusive. Since its 1st pod-cquisition in 2019, Spotify's market value has gained $25B and its pod audience more than doubled.

Lows

...and who's down

  • Ship out of luck... Carnival stock plunged 8% Friday after cruise lines suspended all trips out of US ports until September 15th — Carnival had 8 set for August 1st (now canceled). Earlier in the week, Carnival reported a record $4.4B quarterly loss and said it would burn $650M per month for the rest of 2020. The stock actually jumped after that because investors focused on early bookings for 2021, which hit pre-COVID levels.

  • Truth hertz, needed something... less bankrupt. A month ago, Hertz filed for bankruptcy with $19B in debt. Over the next two weeks, Hertz stock confoundingly soared 887% as investors piled into shares of the rental car company. So Hertz announced plans to sell $500M in new shares, which it warned are most likely worthless (but would help it raise cash to pay off creditors). Then the SEC (aka the US' chief stock market regulator) questioned the bizarre move. That SEC side-eye led Hertz to cancel the controversial sale.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Chill: How to build a rest ethic that's as strong as your work ethic — Aristotle's "noble leisure" philosophy for the 21st century.
  • Visualize: The true size of land masses, from largest to smallest (Brazil beats Australia, hands down under).
  • Focus: The two things killing your ability to focus — those endless information feeds aren't always a good thing.
  • Learn: How to start managing your finances in your 20s with the BOMB method.
  • Eat: 10 once-popular foods that have fallen out of favor (Baked Alaska?).

🍪 Thanks for Snacking with us! Want to share the Snacks? Invite your friends to sign up here.

This Week

Disclosure: Authors of this Snacks own shares of Amazon and Spotify

ID: 1222376

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Latest Stories

Markets

Chipotle continues to go on a tear, hitting a sales record

Hey it might not be the kind of AI stock investors are all hot and bothered over, but don’t sleep on the burrito business.

Chipotle posted much better-than-expected results on Wednesday, with sales rising 14% to a record $2.70B in the first quarter, which is like a billion additions of guac.

Profits jumped 23% to $359M.

Chipotle has quietly cruised higher over the last year. It’s up 63%, compared to the 24.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the 12 months through Wednesday’s close. Not bad for a rice-and-beans based business model.

Tech

Facebook had great earnings, the market hates it

Facebook reported impressive earnings. Record first-quarter revenue thanks to AI! Profit up 117% compared to a year earlier! But at the same time, its capital expenditures are going up and it’s expecting second quarter revenue potentially lower than analyst estimates. So in other words, the future doesn’t look as bright as the present.

All in all the stock is down more than 10%. (Basically the opposite of what happened with Tesla yesterday).

Business

Why Tesla investors are holding on to hope for a cheap car

Despite terrible earnings numbers last night — declining vehicle sales, disappointing revenue and profit, enormous spending — Tesla stock is up more than 10% as of midday. That’s a welcome move for the car company, that’s been among the worst performers this year in the S&P 500.

Why the about face?

While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

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Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Culture

Not so Gucci

French luxury fashion conglomerate Kering has seen its shares fall ~10% in the last 24 hours after reporting that sales at its flagship brand Gucci had dropped 21% in its latest quarter.

Kering’s other brands, which include Yves Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga, fared slightly better — but the only real bright spot was the company’s eyewear division, where sales rose 24% (9% on a comparable basis).

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales
Business

The FTC vs. Big Handbag

The Federal Trade Commission has sued to block big tech, big grocery, big vacuum, and now, big… “affordable luxury handbag.”

Yesterday, the FTC sued to block Tapestry Inc’s $8.5B acquisition of Capri holdings. The agency is worried that a merger between Tapestry, which owns the Coach and Kate Spade brands, and Capri, which owns Michael Kors, would eliminate competition in the market.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

Tesla had a good ride, but the stock’s price destruction is historic

Few people have created as much value as Elon Musk. The iconoclastic entrepreneur took Tesla from a market capitalization of roughly $2 billion at the time of its IPO in 2010 to $1.2 trillion in early 2023. That’s a return of about 55,000%. Musk made a lot of people a lot of money.

On the other hand, Tesla shares are down nearly 60% since their all-time peak. The company has ceded ground in EVs, prompting a series of profit crushing price cuts to preserve market share. The cumulative loss in market value over that period is pushing $800 billion. Few corporate executives have presided over such a degree of value destruction.

And it could get worse, as people are bracing for an ugly update when Tesla reports after the close Tuesday.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/23/24

Smaller AI models are in

Tech companies that have long touted the enormity of their AI models are now saying size doesn’t always matter.

Microsoft is the latest tech company to introduce smaller AI models, as part of its Phi-3 tech family. Last week Meta released two smaller models of its AI Llama 3 and earlier this year Alphabet did the same. All are open sourcing these models to encourage wider adoption.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.