Thursday Mar.04, 2021

🕵️‍♀️ Google's cookies crumble

_Advertisers love that cookie magic_
_Advertisers love that cookie magic_

Hey Snackers,

Hershey just made its boldest move in years: Reese's peanut butter cups without chocolate. PB purists have been redeemed.

The Nasdaq plunged yesterday as Treasury yields ticked up. Meanwhile, Bitcoin soared past $51K. On the stimulus side: President Biden backed a plan to phase out direct payments at lower income levels. That would reduce the number of people who receive checks.

Track

Google will stop using your individual browsing history to sell targeted ads

Cookie Monster goes on a diet... Google is Earth's biggest digital advertiser. In 2020, it accounted for 52% of the world's digital ad spend (FYI: $292B). But it's making some privacy changes that'll reduce its precious targeting abilities.

  • Last year, Google said it would remove third-party cookies from Chrome by 2022. These tiny pieces of data are widely used to track your individual browsing activity from site to site.
  • Yesterday, Google said that it won't introduce new ways to track individual browsing once cookies are gone.

That's the way the cookie crumbles.... Well, at least the third-party cookie. Google isn't scrapping first-party cookies, which are meant to be used on the same domain they're placed on. They're why you don't need to log in each time you open Gmail (cookie remembers). Google will still track your Search history, and target ads/results there — same goes for YouTube. But when you visit BuzzFeed, Google won't target ads based on your "organic cat food" search.

  • Google isn't getting rid of tracking: That would kill its biz. Instead, it could use aggregated, anonymized tracking to target without individual info. One of Google's solutions includes putting people into groups based on similar browsing behaviors.

Google thinks the benefits outweigh the losses... and it could be right. Individualized tracking has come under fire by regulators and privacy advocates. This could be a move to get ahead of regulation — and win points with the public. Plus, Google's biz likely won't take a major hit thanks to the alternatives it's cooking up: with group-based tracking, Google says advertisers can expect at least 95% of the conversions per dollar spent (compared to cookie-based advertising). Wall Street isn’t worried, either: Google shares fell only 1% more than the market yesterday.

Insure

Oscar, the "Obamacare stock," plunges after going public — it needs the gig economy

And the Oscar for best NYSE debut goes to... not Oscar. If the Airbnb and DoorDash IPOs were blockbusters, Oscar's IPO was more like a low-key Hulu flick. The Millennial-focused health insurance startup (you can tell by the font), saw its share close down 11% from their IPO price yesterday. Oscar is similar to Lemonade, except Lemonade offers home/renters insurance. Oh, and Lemonade's stock doubled on its first trading day (womp). Both are putting a friendly face on insurance — but Oscar has a harder task.

American health insurance is infamously complex... You could go to med school in the time it takes to understand insurance plans. Oscar's trying to make it simple, affordable, and personal — especially for people who aren't insured through employers. It now has 529K members.

  • How it started: Oscar was cofounded by Josh Kushner in 2013 to complement Obamacare. The founders believed it would thrive on Obamacare exchanges, where people compare and pick plans.
  • How it's going: Not so hot. Oscar's 2020 revenue fell 5% from 2019, and it lost $407M (almost as much as its sales).

Oscar needs "gigification"... It's banking on continued growth of the American gig economy. Its core customers don't have employer insurance. Think: DoorDash drivers, freelance writers, and part-time sitters. Oscar has a few things working in its favor. The gig economy scored a huge victory in November when CA voters said "Yes" to Prop 22. Now, companies like Lyft don't have to reclassify gig drivers as employees, which would've meant providing health insurance. Also: 10M+ Americans are still unemployed, and many are turning to side jobs like food delivery.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Chipdate: GM extends production cuts at three of its car plants because of the global chip shortage (aka: chip-pocalypse).
  • Out: Neera Tanden won't be leading the Office of Management and Budget (President Biden accepted her request to withdraw).
  • E-Mickey: Disney will close at least 20% of its physical stores this year to focus on ecommerce (Baby Yoda, but make it delivery).
  • Fleek: FedEx plans to invest at least $2B to make its entire delivery fleet carbon neutral by 2040.
  • Chill: Cloud data management company Snowflake more than doubled quarterly sales from 2019 — but its loss more than doubled, too.

Thursday

  • Weekly jobless claims
  • Earnings expected from Costco

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Google

ID: 1549506

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Latest Stories

Crypto

Worldcoin pivots to the blockchain… with a 'humans only' discount

Worldcoin, the “proof of personhood” crypto project launched by OpenAI’s Sam Altman, said it plans to launch its own ethereum layer-2 (L2) blockchain dubbed World Chain. The pitch: a blockchain where it’s both easier and cheaper for people to transact than bots.

Worldcoin has made waves for its iris-scanning metallic orb that promises a future where people can mathematically prove they’re real humans and not AI bots.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

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Business

Smooth sailing? Not for superyachts

Sales of the luxury boats sank 17% last year. Meanwhile, Super-SUPER yachts (over 650 feet long) took the biggest sales dip, falling around 40%. Part of the problem: a pandemic-era backlog has led to a three- to four-year waitlist for new yacht orders. Meanwhile Russian oligarchs — former MVP customers — are largely out of the boat-buying business due to sanctions.

Dr Martens shares have been stomped

American sales of Docs have dropped

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AI is getting good at a lot of different tasks

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Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Business

The monkey’s paw curls on endless shrimp

Red Lobster’s shrimp promotions may have contributed to jumbo problems for the company.

The seafood chain is considering a bankruptcy filing to deal with cash flow problems, Bloomberg reports.

Red Lobster has been weighed down by pricey leases and labor costs, but it’s important to remember that it also blamed an $11M operating loss last fall in part on too many people going crustacean-mode on its Ultimate Endless Shrimp deal.

“The proportion of the people selecting this promotion was much higher compared to expectation,” said Red Lobster owner (and seafood supplier) Thai Union Group last year. The chain bumped the price of infinite shrimp by 25%, but Lobsterfest and Cheddar Bay Biscuits may not be enough to save it from Chapter 11.

“The proportion of the people selecting this promotion was much higher compared to expectation,” said Red Lobster owner (and seafood supplier) Thai Union Group last year. The chain bumped the price of infinite shrimp by 25%, but Lobsterfest and Cheddar Bay Biscuits may not be enough to save it from Chapter 11.

Power

Elon Musk’s car company pays for Elon Musk’s security company

Elon Musk is a rich man who owns a lot of companies. One way he keeps those companies and himself rich is by making his companies support his other companies. Left pocket, meet right.

TechCrunch’s Sean O’Kane dug into Tesla’s latest annual proxy statement to find out the value of these relationships.

Musk’s Tesla bought ads on Musk’s X, aka Twitter, to the tune of $200,000 just through February this year. Tesla also paid X another $200,000 this year and a million in 2023 for “commercial, consulting and support agreements.” Musk’s SpaceX has also advertised on X, presumably helping prop up some of the budget the company has lost from non-Musk advertisers Musk seems hell-bent on driving away. Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s SpaceX $800,000 to use a private jet and paid Musk’s The Boring Company more than a million dollars for “commercial agreements.”

It also turns out that Musk owns a security company, whose job it is to protect Musk. Naturally Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s security company nearly $3 million since entering into a service agreement in December 2023. Apparently that represents just a “portion of the total cost of security services concerning Elon Musk,” so presumably Musk’s other companies will be left to foot the rest of the bill.

Musk’s Tesla bought ads on Musk’s X, aka Twitter, to the tune of $200,000 just through February this year. Tesla also paid X another $200,000 this year and a million in 2023 for “commercial, consulting and support agreements.” Musk’s SpaceX has also advertised on X, presumably helping prop up some of the budget the company has lost from non-Musk advertisers Musk seems hell-bent on driving away. Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s SpaceX $800,000 to use a private jet and paid Musk’s The Boring Company more than a million dollars for “commercial agreements.”

It also turns out that Musk owns a security company, whose job it is to protect Musk. Naturally Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s security company nearly $3 million since entering into a service agreement in December 2023. Apparently that represents just a “portion of the total cost of security services concerning Elon Musk,” so presumably Musk’s other companies will be left to foot the rest of the bill.

Tech

A social app, but it’s just voice notes on 2X speed

Airchat is basically X meets Clubhouse, and Silicon Valley types are all over it. The social app consists of a feed of audio snippets that plays continuously on 2X speed until you press pause. The speed makes sense: chugging a cold brew and plowing through podcasts on 2X speed is a rite of passage for modern multitaskers.

A surge of new users joined Airchat over the weekend, joining entrepreneur Gary Vaynerchuk and Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan.

If users don’t want to inhale voice notes at hyper speed, there is a somewhat hidden way to adjust Airchat’s cadence, but it’s an intriguing feature. User-generated audio has struggled to break out of a niche, so targeting the personality that wants to listen to a podcast at twice the speed is one way to make the user experience more efficient.

A surge of new users joined Airchat over the weekend, joining entrepreneur Gary Vaynerchuk and Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan.

If users don’t want to inhale voice notes at hyper speed, there is a somewhat hidden way to adjust Airchat’s cadence, but it’s an intriguing feature. User-generated audio has struggled to break out of a niche, so targeting the personality that wants to listen to a podcast at twice the speed is one way to make the user experience more efficient.

0.5%

Crypto investors greeted Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission's conditional approval of three spot bitcoin and ether ETFs yesterday with excitement, hoping the move would spur another bitcoin bull run like the one that followed the SEC’s approval of spot bitcoin ETFs in the US.

But an ETF expert told Fortune that he expects the impact to be “nickels and dimes compared to the US,” explaining that China’s ban on crypto products means that the new ETF will take in around only $500M to $1B — or just 0.5% to 1% of the total ETF market.

Markets

The long, brutal winter may finally be over for the IPO market

IPOs hit record highs in 2021 then hit the brakes, slowing down massively through 2023. But following last month’s successful public debuts of AI startup Astera Labs and social platform Reddit, a flurry of tech companies filed their S-1s.

Two highly-hyped startups are expected to hit public markets as soon as this week. Microsoft-backed data-security software co Rubrik is said to be looking to raise $700M and its AI adjacency adds to its investor appeal, though the company is not profitable. Rubrik’s sales pitch claims that advancements in AI could make its cybersecurity software more necessary and already works with Oracle and Amazon.

The other company expected to IPO this week is a profitable unicorn: Ibotta, a platform that gives users cash back and other rewards for online purchases. The Walmart-funded startup said it turned a profit of $38M last year and is targeting a $2.5B valuation when it goes public. 

Ibotta and Rubrik could warm markets up for a hot IPO summer: event ticket marketplace StubHub is reportedly looking to go public this summer at a whopping $16.5B valuation.