Wednesday Mar.08, 2023

⚾ Dick’s big-league earnings

The ball is in Dick’s court (Scott Olson/Getty Images)
The ball is in Dick’s court (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

Get ready for a 32nd flavor: Baskin-Robbins launched a "Chick'n & Waffles" ice cream that comes chock-full of chicken-and-waffle-flavored chunks (thankfully: no actual poultry).

Stocks tumbled yesterday (the Dow even turned negative for the year) after Jerome Powell’s comments to lawmakers. The Fed chair said strong economic data and stubborn inflation may lead the Fed to raise rates higher for longer.

Score

Dick’s Sporting Goods posts record sales as Americans keep splurging on active lifestyles

New shin guards… and a fresh Nike fit. Shares of Dick’s Sporting Goods surged 11% yesterday after America’s largest sporting-goods retailer unpacked big-league results. It notched a record $3.6B in quarterly revenue as same-store sales grew 5% over the holiday quarter (more than double what Wall Street expected). Dick’s said over 80% of its sales growth was driven by footwear, athletic apparel, and team sports merch.

  • Double or nothing: Dick’s gave a better-than-expected full-year forecast and more than doubled its dividend payout after its third straight year of record sales.

  • Roster refresh: It added 7M new “athletes” (aka: customers) last year, many of whom were young women. Dick’s said the segment presents a big growth opportunity.

Your one-stop sporting shop… From replacing worn soccer cleats to scoring a Knicks jersey before the big game, Dick's is a sporting go-to. It’s boosted engagement by adding in-store goodies like golf simulators and batting cages, making it more alluring to customers and brands:

  • Direct to Dick’s: While brands like Nike are trying to sell more directly to consumers (think: Nike’s site), many haven’t ditched Dick’s because it has a huge national presence.

  • Pricey kicks: Its go-to retailer status lets Dick’s charge more for popular products like Nike Jordans, Hoka sneakers, and Brooks running shoes.

If they “need” it, they will come (repeatedly)… Whether it’s football, golf, or little-league baseball, athletes have to regularly replace their gear. Even in a high-inflation environment, people aren’t likely to sacrifice their active lifestyles or give up the team sports they love. Dick's price variety (think: cleats ranging from $28 to $280) could also appeal to the 20% of consumers planning to trade down to less expensive sporting goods this year.

Nom

Home-cooked-meal platform Shef aims to expand as delivery services get creative

The next Gordon Ramsay… could be down the street whipping up your Bolognese. Shef, a platform for ordering home-cooked meals, announced plans this week to expand nationwide. Shef is kind of like DoorDash minus the restaurant (individual “shefs” offer their specialities). Think: someone three miles from you whips up butter chicken in their kitchen.

  • Heating up: Shef raised nearly $74M last year, and though it’s available in just 11 states, this week it started allowing cooks across the US to apply to list their dishes.

  • Home is where the tart is: As of last year, several states clarified their rules to allow for the sale of certain types of homemade food. Shef says all 50 states now allow it.

Like an Uber side hustle but for chefs… Shef brings a creative twist to the gig economy. The startup said demand “has grown dramatically,” both from home cooks looking to earn extra $$ and from consumers looking for “more affordable, healthy” options. Shef isn’t the only one whipping up fresh delivery concepts:

  • Wonder raised $350M last year to deliver mobile restaurants to your home (think: a food truck at your curb with chefs dishing up hot meals).
  • WoodSpoon (another platform for local home cooks) raised $14M in 2021. Meanwhile, CookUnity lets you order precooked meals created by top chefs.

Fresh takes on classic recipes can stand out… The delivery biz is still booming above prepandemic levels, but the classic restaurant-to-door model is already supersaturated. Apps like DoorDash, Grubhub, Uber Eats, and Postmates are all competing for the same market share. But now companies are popping up with new twists on the time-tested delivery concept, which could help them stand out in the crowded market.

DEFI(NE)

Heard on the Block: "zero-knowledge proofs"

🃏 Like convincing the table you weren't bluffing… without showing your cards

What if you wanted to prove to someone that you weren’t a criminal without revealing your identity? In cryptography, zero-knowledge proofs are a mathematical way to prove a claim is true without showing the actual data backing it up.

Smart contract Tornado Cash was sanctioned over concerns that criminals used it to launder stolen crypto. But now a new Tornado Cash fork called Privacy Pools is using zero-knowledge proofs to show that anonymous crypto transactions aren't tied to crime.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Jetsued: The Justice Department moved to block JetBlue's $3.8B purchase of Spirit Airlines, saying it would hurt competition and lead to higher fares. The DOJ's suit, which JetBlue said it would fight, means the deal’s grounded for now.

  • Angel: Victoria's Secret said it would produce a "new version" of its annual fashion show after a four-year break. The lingerie icon, previously accused of promoting unrealistic body standards, has tried to be more inclusive.

  • Pill: WeightWatchers said it's buying telehealth biz Sequence, which pairs subscribers with docs who can prescribe diabetes and obesity meds like Ozempic. The $106M deal comes as demand for weight-loss meds soars.

  • LongTok: TikTok said select creators can now place 20-minute videos behind paywalls. The goal: attract influencers away from YouTube by letting them monetize longer video content on the Tok.

  • VentureAI: VC juggernaut Andreessen Horowitz led a $200M+ investment round in Character.AI, which uses ChatGPT-like language models to create conversational replies in the style of celebs like Elon Musk.

Wednesday

  • Earnings expected from Adidas and Campbell Soup

Authors of this Snacks own: shares of Uber and Google

Correction: In the Snacks newsletter published on March 7, 2023, we misstated that Tesla cut the prices of its S and Y models in the US. It actually cut the prices of its S and X models. We’ve updated the online version of the newsletter, and we regret the error.

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Latest Stories

Business

The FTC vs. Big Handbag

The Federal Trade Commission has sued to block big tech, big grocery, big vacuum, and now, big… “affordable luxury handbag.”

Yesterday, the FTC sued to block Tapestry Inc’s $8.5B acquisition of Capri holdings. The agency is worried that a merger between Tapestry, which owns the Coach and Kate Spade brands, and Capri, which owns Michael Kors, would eliminate competition in the market.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

Go Deeper with Market Depth

Nasdaq TotalView powers the need-to-know data serious investors rely on.

Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia

Tesla had a good ride, but the stock’s price destruction is historic

Few people have created as much value as Elon Musk. The iconoclastic entrepreneur took Tesla from a market capitalization of roughly $2 billion at the time of its IPO in 2010 to $1.2 trillion in early 2023. That’s a return of about 55,000%. Musk made a lot of people a lot of money.

On the other hand, Tesla shares are down nearly 60% since their all-time peak. The company has ceded ground in EVs, prompting a series of profit crushing price cuts to preserve market share. The cumulative loss in market value over that period is pushing $800 billion. Few corporate executives have presided over such a degree of value destruction.

And it could get worse, as people are bracing for an ugly update when Tesla reports after the close Tuesday.

Tech

Smaller AI models are in

Tech companies that have long touted the enormity of their AI models are now saying size doesn’t always matter.

Microsoft is the latest tech company to introduce smaller AI models, as part of its Phi-3 tech family. Last week Meta released two smaller models of its AI Llama 3 and earlier this year Alphabet did the same. All are open sourcing these models to encourage wider adoption.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

$127

The average bitcoin-transaction fee hit an all-time high of $127 on Friday.

The temporary spike came as the halving cut miner rewards and traders forked over huge sums of BTC (skewing the average) to be included in the first post-halving block.

Adding fuel to the fee fire was the launch of Runes, a new protocol that lets developers create memecoins on top of the bitcoin blockchain. The debut was so popular that fees popped as traders fought for limited block space.

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2024-04-22-1-america-importing-less-from-china

The US now buys more goods from Mexico than from China

Chinese imports are down as companies begin to "nearshore" in Mexico

2024-04-22-paramount-global-site

Multiple bidders want to buy Paramount Global’s sprawling media assets

Junk

How much of the world’s plastic is recycled? Only a fraction

Landfills still account for the majority of plastic disposal

Markets

Stock market gains for 2024 cut by more than half

All of the sudden, the stock market seems to be running out of steam.

There’s no big mystery here. War in the Mideast has pushed up oil prices, which will help keep inflation elevated. And annoyingly high price increases in March have already pushed the June Fed rate cuts the market was banking on farther into the uncertain future.

All that’s added up to higher interest rates and lower stock prices.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/22/24

AI needs so much electricity that tech companies are getting into the energy business

To accommodate tech companies’ pivots to artificial intelligence, tech companies are increasingly investing in ways to power AI’s immense electricity needs.

Most recently, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman invested in Exowatt, a company using solar power to feed data centers, according to the Wall Street Journal.

That’s on the heals of OpenAI partner, Microsoft, working on getting approval for nuclear energy to help power its AI operations. Last year Amazon, which is a major investor in AI company Anthropic, said it invested in more than 100 renewable energy projects, making it the “world’s largest corporate purchaser of renewable energy for the fourth year in a row.”

This can all feel like a bit of spin, as these tech companies move the narrative toward their use of green energy rather than questioning whether they truly need to be consuming so much energy in the first place.

That’s on the heals of OpenAI partner, Microsoft, working on getting approval for nuclear energy to help power its AI operations. Last year Amazon, which is a major investor in AI company Anthropic, said it invested in more than 100 renewable energy projects, making it the “world’s largest corporate purchaser of renewable energy for the fourth year in a row.”

This can all feel like a bit of spin, as these tech companies move the narrative toward their use of green energy rather than questioning whether they truly need to be consuming so much energy in the first place.

Super Bowl Winning Team Head Coach and MVP Press Conference

Private equity is eating sports

Private equity firms may soon own your favorite football franchise.