Tuesday Jul.06, 2021

📦 Amazon's next era

_Bezos' galactic greeting committee [Donald Iain Smith via GettyImages]_
_Bezos' galactic greeting committee [Donald Iain Smith via GettyImages]_

Hey Snackers,

245 years ago, the founding fathers wrote about unalienable rights, including the pursuit of happiness. For Joey Chestnut, that pursuit involved downing 76 hotdogs in 10 minutes this weekend.

While Americans rallied to celebrate freedom, US stocks rallied to records last week as jobless claims hit a new pandemic low.

Nostalgic

The King of Amazon hands over his crown: here's what's ahead for the new CEO

Alexa, play "In My Life" by The Beatles... Jeff Bezos is feeling post-Prime Day nostalgia. Yesterday, Amazon's founder officially stepped down as CEO after 27 years at the helm. The 'Zon has come a long way since 1995, when Bezos sold the site's first book from his Seattle garage. Bezos had left a cushy hedge fund job to take a risk on his ecomm idea, saying "Even if I fail, I would not have any regrets." Spoiler: he didn't fail.

  • Enter Jassy: Andy Jassy = Amazon's new CEO. The Amazon lifer was the CEO of AWS, Amazon's massive cloud computing service ($45B in annual sales).
  • Exit Bezos: Kind of. Bezos is now exec chairman, focusing on new Amazon products and special projects.
  • Cue investors: Amazon stock barely budged when the transition was announced in February, signaling investors have confidence in the shift.

Special delivery... CEO onboarding packet, coming in bulky. Jassy is inheriting an ecomm and cloud leader with side-hustles in hardware, grocery, advertising, healthcare, streaming, and Hollywood (see: MGM acquisition).

  • What’s going well: Money. Amazon's sales surged 44% last quarter, and profit more than tripled as the ecommerce boom keeps booming. The 'Zon is expected to rake in 40%+ of US ecomm sales by the end of the year.
  • Not going well: Regulatory scrutiny. The FTC's new leader Lina Khan is a Big Tech critic who wrote a major paper on Amazon's dominance while at Yale Law. Last week, Amazon made moves to stop her from participating in 'Zon-related antitrust investigations. Oh, and a House committee just advanced major legislation to curb Big Tech's dominance.

Bezos' focus was blistering growth... Jassy's focus might be corporate responsibility. Amazon's 14 corporate principles include: "deliver results," "bias for action," and "customer obsession." A few days before Jassy took over, Amazon renamed them Leadership Principles and added two: “Strive to be Earth’s Best Employer,” and “Success and Scale Bring Broad Responsibility.” They're reactions to criticism Amazon has received over the years — but they're also Bezo's parting words to Jassy, to tee up Amazon's next chapter.

Events

Coming up this week...

Space Battle of the Billionaires... Most people do summer vacays in Florida or Yosemite — billionaires go to space. Virgin Galactic founder Richard Branson plans to board a test spaceflight on Sunday. Awkward, since that's nine days before Jeff Bezos is scheduled to embark on his Blue Origin space trip (announced before Branson's). Aside from fueling billionaires' egos, these trips are billboards for NASA-sponsored space tourism. The fact that CEOs are getting aboard helps build confidence in the emerging industry.

Marvel returns... with a vengeance. Marvel is releasing Black Widow in theaters and Disney+ on Friday, after delaying it for more than a year. It’s the first Marvel flick to debut in theaters since the pandemic began. Now: 80% of movie theaters are open, and Covid restrictions have relaxed. The US box office is seeing a strong recovery, but hasn't caught up to its pre-Covid success yet. Black Widow's ticket sales could give us a glimpse into summer demand.

Zoom Out

Stories we're watching...

Labor shortage update... Still short. US employers added an expectation-beating 850K jobs in June, the biggest gain in 10 months. Unemployment ticked up to 5.9%, in part because more Americans started job-searching. As the US economy roars back to life, demand for workers is revving up, too. Wages jumped last month as employers from restaurants to gig apps tried to attract workers. Case in point: Uber and Lyft are spending millions on driver incentives, and you've probably seen ads recruiting food delivery drivers.

Heat waves in the middle of June... A record-breaking heat wave has been plaguing the Pacific Northwest. The temp in Portland soared to 116 degrees last week, hotter than Miami, Dallas, and LA have ever been. All that sweat means more $$$ for A/C companies like Carrier, Lennox, and Trane, whose stocks are near record highs. But for the agriculture industry, the too-hot-handle temps could mean smaller crops and fewer workers. For consumers, it could mean even pricier food.

ICYMI

Last week's highlights...

  • Dismissal: The FTC was disappointed when a judge failed to Like its antitrust complaint against Facebook.
  • Tok: TikTok is rolling out longer videos, but the real story is its Chinese sister Douyin.
  • Spaghetti: Bumble is opening its first restaurant to facilitate IRL connections. But it's not about dating — it's about relevance.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Drive: 23 of the most scenic road trips in America, because life is a highway.
  • Watch: Four emerging trends in the film and TV industry.
  • Read: The Declaration of Independence. "We hold these truths to be self-evident..."
  • Travel: Seven rules for a happy vacation (including: don't post it).

This Week

  • Tuesday: Earnings expected from SemiLEDs Corp
  • Wednesday: Earnings expected from WD-40
  • Thursday: Weekly jobless claims. Earnings expected from Levi Strauss and PriceSmart
  • Friday: Marvel's "Black Widow" comes out in theaters. Earnings expected from Greenbrier Companies

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Amazon

ID: 1709868

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Tech

Smaller AI models are in

Tech companies that have long touted the enormity of their AI models are now saying size doesn’t always matter.

Microsoft is the latest tech company to introduce smaller AI models, as part of its Phi-3 tech family. Last week Meta released two smaller models of its AI Llama 3 and earlier this year Alphabet did the same. All are open sourcing these models to encourage wider adoption.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

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The average bitcoin-transaction fee hit an all-time high of $127 on Friday.

The temporary spike came as the halving cut miner rewards and traders forked over huge sums of BTC (skewing the average) to be included in the first post-halving block.

Adding fuel to the fee fire was the launch of Runes, a new protocol that lets developers create memecoins on top of the bitcoin blockchain. The debut was so popular that fees popped as traders fought for limited block space.

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Stock market gains for 2024 cut by more than half

All of the sudden, the stock market seems to be running out of steam.

There’s no big mystery here. War in the Mideast has pushed up oil prices, which will help keep inflation elevated. And annoyingly high price increases in March have already pushed the June Fed rate cuts the market was banking on farther into the uncertain future.

All that’s added up to higher interest rates and lower stock prices.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/22/24

AI needs so much electricity that tech companies are getting into the energy business

To accommodate tech companies’ pivots to artificial intelligence, tech companies are increasingly investing in ways to power AI’s immense electricity needs.

Most recently, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman invested in Exowatt, a company using solar power to feed data centers, according to the Wall Street Journal.

That’s on the heals of OpenAI partner, Microsoft, working on getting approval for nuclear energy to help power its AI operations. Last year Amazon, which is a major investor in AI company Anthropic, said it invested in more than 100 renewable energy projects, making it the “world’s largest corporate purchaser of renewable energy for the fourth year in a row.”

This can all feel like a bit of spin, as these tech companies move the narrative toward their use of green energy rather than questioning whether they truly need to be consuming so much energy in the first place.

That’s on the heals of OpenAI partner, Microsoft, working on getting approval for nuclear energy to help power its AI operations. Last year Amazon, which is a major investor in AI company Anthropic, said it invested in more than 100 renewable energy projects, making it the “world’s largest corporate purchaser of renewable energy for the fourth year in a row.”

This can all feel like a bit of spin, as these tech companies move the narrative toward their use of green energy rather than questioning whether they truly need to be consuming so much energy in the first place.

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Business

What’s on your mind?

Meta is rolling out a new chatbot, Meta AI, to its 3 largest social media properties: Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp.

On Facebook the usual search bar for some users has been replaced with “Ask Meta AI anything” — a prompt that could give millions of people their first ever interaction with an AI chatbot.

Meta has been increasingly focused on AI ever since ChatGPT exploded into the mainstream in late 2022. In earnings calls, the focus has never been clearer: Facebook execs made ~10x more references to artificial intelligence than the Metaverse, the company’s previous primary focus which prompted its rebrand in October 2021.

Metaverse mentions

Meta has been increasingly focused on AI ever since ChatGPT exploded into the mainstream in late 2022. In earnings calls, the focus has never been clearer: Facebook execs made ~10x more references to artificial intelligence than the Metaverse, the company’s previous primary focus which prompted its rebrand in October 2021.

Metaverse mentions