Tuesday Jun.15, 2021

🚙 Lordstown Motors, unjuiced

_Hindenburg checking the e-truck receipts [PeopleImages/E+ via GettyImages]_
_Hindenburg checking the e-truck receipts [PeopleImages/E+ via GettyImages]_

Hey Snackers,

Shiba just got funged: the iconic "Doge" Shiba Inu meme was sold as an NFT for $4M, making it the most expensive meme NFT of all time.

The market notched record highs yesterday, as investors shifted into Big Tech stocks.

Swerve

Lordstown, unjuiced: the buzzy e-truck startup runs into a truckload of trouble

Hold the hard seltzers... Summer isn't starting off well for Lordstown Motors. The e-truck startup went public via SPAC merger in October, and has been teasing its much-hyped "Endurance" electric pickup since last June. Those were better days for Lordstown.

  • Last week: Lordstown said it doesn’t have enough cash to start commercial production (it hasn't sold a truck yet), and warned it has “substantial doubt” about its ability to survive the next year.
  • Yesterday: Lordstown's CEO and CFO resigned (not encouraging), and the stock plunged 19%.

The "I told you so" award goes to... Hindenburg Research. It's the same short-selling firm that dropped a 67-page report accusing Nikola of exaggerating the readiness of its e-truck tech, calling it "an intricate fraud" (see: truck-rolling-down-a-hill commercial). Nikola's CEO resigned soon after, and the stock has fallen 40% since.

  • In March, Hindenburg released a report alleging Lordstown misled investors by exaggerating its production readiness and biz potential.
  • In January, Lordstown said the Endurance pickup already had 100K nonbinding preorders. Hindenburg did some digging and concluded those were “largely fictitious.” For example: Hindenburg found that companies without commercial fleets had preordered 1K trucks.
  • The TLDR: Hindenburg believes Lordstown used “fake” orders to raise cash, and said its pickup was years away from production. Lordstown still says that it could start production by September.

Short sellers can operate like investigative journalists… but with major conflicts of interest. A new report partially confirms Hindenburgs findings about the preorders. Now the SEC is investigating the allegations. Short sellers can sometimes have a corrective effect on markets by exposing overvalued companies, as Hindenburg may have done. Buuuut: Hindenburg also has a short position in the stock — aka: it would profit from Lordstown falling. Short sellers can make companies more transparent – but they're driven by their own financial incentives.

Build

Build Back Better, world edition: G7 countries want to fund global infrastructure to rival China

Friends Reunion vibes... G7 countries have been getting cozy lately. The Group of Seven = the US, UK, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, and Japan. This month, G7 leaders schmoozed over tea at a London summit — and agreed on backing a 15% global minimum corporate tax rate. France decided to ship another Statue of Liberty to the US as a gift of friendship (#aw). Now, the G7 is bonding over a global infrastructure initiative:

  • Build Back Better World: Doesn't exactly roll off the tongue. The G7 announced the initiative on Sunday, inspired by Biden’s "Build Back Better" plan for the US.
  • Global ambitions: You can tell by the addition of "World" at the end. G7 nations would help finance infrastructure projects in developing countries. Think: roads, bridges, and clean energy infrastructure.
  • German Chancellor Angela Merkel: "For countries in need of development, only concrete projects count.” Pun intended?

Rare bipartisan support topics ... Extra vacation days, and countering China’s power (it's a theme). With Build Back Better World, the G7 hopes to rival China's multi-trillion-dollar "Belt and Road" initiative. China’s ambitious program aims to build physical and digital infrastructure connecting hundreds of countries. It's a way for China to expand its global influence. BBBW is a way for the US and friends to counter that.

The real winners could be companies... When the US took on Russia during the Cold War, American military contractors made big profits. Today’s tension with China is less about weapons, more about tech power. This month, the Senate approved a $250B bill to boost government spending on tech R&D to keep the US competitive against China (think: more US-made chips). This global infrastructure initiative could benefit American tech, telecom, and energy companies, too.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Vax: American biotech Novavax said its Covid vaccine was 90% effective in large trials in the US and Mexico, including against newer variants.
  • Shots: Companies including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are pushing employees to prove they're vaxed as offices reopen.
  • Data: The US is ratcheting up pressure on China's 5G ambitions, offering financial incentives to countries willing to pass on Chinese-made tech.
  • Revenge: American Express' CEO said that travel and dining spending is nearing full recovery.
  • Flated: JPMorgan Chase's CEO said the bank is stockpiling cash because there's a "very good chance" that inflation will be around for a while.

Tuesday

  • Earnings expected from Oracle, H&R Block, and La-Z-Boy

ID: 1685876

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Pinterest has a half-billion monthly active users, notches best day in years

Pinterest shares surged by roughly 20% Wednesday, posting their biggest gain in three years following its release of strong earnings results. It was the biggest single day rise for the stock in over three years, Bloomberg says.

Q1 sales jumped 22.8%, the fastest since 2021. Monthly active users hit a record 518 million. The company still lost money, though it narrowed to its loss to $24 million, from $209 million during the first quarter last year.

Fed keeps rates steady

The Federal Reserve kept its target monetary policy rate unchanged, and noted “a lack of further progress” toward getting inflation down to its 2% target. Stocks and bonds were relatively unchanged on the announcement.

But they rose after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-statement news conference, in which he seemed to discount the chance that the Fed could move to rate hikes soon.

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Novo Nordisk’s market cap is bigger than Denmark’s entire economy

Something is shapely in the state of Denmark.

Thanks to the success of its diabetes and obesity drugs Ozempic and Wegovy, drugmaker Novo Nordisk is now Europe’s most valuable company. It’s especially having outsized effects on its home country of Denmark, where its market cap of over $570 billion trumps the country’s GDP.

“Without Novo’s contribution, the Danish economy would have stagnated,” Bloomberg reports.

Novo Nordisk therefore is having broad effects on myriad aspects of life in Denmark, from educational priorities to immigration policy to job availability to mortgage rates. As goes Novo Nordisk, so goes the nation. That means if the drugmaker’s finances go south, so will Denmark’s.

“Without Novo’s contribution, the Danish economy would have stagnated,” Bloomberg reports.

Novo Nordisk therefore is having broad effects on myriad aspects of life in Denmark, from educational priorities to immigration policy to job availability to mortgage rates. As goes Novo Nordisk, so goes the nation. That means if the drugmaker’s finances go south, so will Denmark’s.

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Crypto

Binance founder CZ’s prison sentence hasn’t stopped an uptick in trading on the exchange

Yesterday, the founder and former chief executive of Binance was finally sentenced to 4 months in prison. The ruling marked the end of a multi-year investigation in which the crypto magnate — Changpeng Zhao, widely known as CZ — pleaded guilty to violating American anti-money laundering requirements.

The crux of the investigation was that Binance had failed to report more than 100K suspicious transactions, including some with obvious ties to terrorist groups. Prosecutors had been seeking a sentence of 3 years for the billionaire, who will retain the bulk of his wealth despite paying $100M in criminal and civil fines.

Founded in 2017, Binance continues to operate under new leadership with little evidence that the investigation into its founder and former CEO has diminished appetite for traders on the Binance exchange. Data from The Block reveals that 40-50% of monthly crypto exchange volumes go through Binance.

2024-05-01-otc-binance-site

The crux of the investigation was that Binance had failed to report more than 100K suspicious transactions, including some with obvious ties to terrorist groups. Prosecutors had been seeking a sentence of 3 years for the billionaire, who will retain the bulk of his wealth despite paying $100M in criminal and civil fines.

Founded in 2017, Binance continues to operate under new leadership with little evidence that the investigation into its founder and former CEO has diminished appetite for traders on the Binance exchange. Data from The Block reveals that 40-50% of monthly crypto exchange volumes go through Binance.

2024-05-01-otc-binance-site

Cannabis ETFs get high on DEA reclassification news

The Biden admin is moving to weaken restrictions on cannabis, according to a report by the Associated Press.

Marijuana has been classified as a Schedule I drug (on par with heroin) since the Controlled Substances Act was first signed in 1970.

This change would make cannabis, which is recreationally legal in 24 states, a Schedule III drug (on par with anabolic steroids). The shift, which isn't finalized, would likely give a significant boost to the $35B legal cannabis industry through changes to its tax status.

Cannabis stocks and ETFs soared on the news.

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Tesla lays off charging team

Tesla laid off practically the entire 500-person team that runs the company’s Supercharger network, the Information reported.

The network is considered a “crown jewel” and a competitive advantage compared with other carmakers, which have recently cut deals with Tesla to use the network.

It’s not clear yet where that leaves Tesla’s plans to build a 1,800 mile charging corridor for semi trucks, but it also laid off the public policy team, which had failed to get $100 million in federal funding for the project.

It’s certainly bad news for people trying to take long roadtrips with their Teslas. “We will continue to build out some new Supercharger locations, where critical, and finish those currently under construction,” Musk wrote in a memo on the layoffs.

It’s not clear yet where that leaves Tesla’s plans to build a 1,800 mile charging corridor for semi trucks, but it also laid off the public policy team, which had failed to get $100 million in federal funding for the project.

It’s certainly bad news for people trying to take long roadtrips with their Teslas. “We will continue to build out some new Supercharger locations, where critical, and finish those currently under construction,” Musk wrote in a memo on the layoffs.

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It’s a good time to be an AI startup

While the tech industry generally keeps its belt tightened, investors are still going gaga over anything to do with AI, according to the Wall Street Journal.

That’s meant plowing money into startups that don’t even have products, let alone revenue, fueling concerns of a bubble. That money buys a whole lot of chips.

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