Wednesday Mar.23, 2022

🏎️ Tesla speeds into Europe

The Technoking and Germany’s chancellor christen Tesla’s first European factory  [Patrick Pleul/Getty Images]
The Technoking and Germany’s chancellor christen Tesla’s first European factory [Patrick Pleul/Getty Images]

Hey Snackers,

Move over, Addison Rae in a Lamborghini: Nonna Pia is here with the fettuccine. An Italian grandma has taken TikTok by storm with her homemade recipes for 2.7M followers.

Stocks jumped as investors got more comfortable with the Fed’s increasingly aggressive stance on rate hikes. President Biden is flying to Europe today, where he’s expected to announce new sanctions against Russia and a plan to help the EU wean itself off Russian energy.

Giga

Tesla opens a Gigafactory in Germany to win back Europe’s EV market

Schnitzel in the Model S... crispy luxury. Tesla just cut the ribbon at its new Gigafactory outside Berlin. Elon Musk and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz attended the opening of Tesla's first European plant — Elon danced, Olaf didn't,. Tesla snagged approval to produce up to 500K cars/year at Giga Berlin, but ramping up production will take time. It’s hoping for 30K cars by June.

Fake German heiress... real Model X. By expanding manufacturing, Tesla delivered almost 1M cars last year — nearly double 2020 deliveries. Giga Berlin will play a key role as Tesla's European production hub (currently it ships cars to Europe from its China plant, and pays hefty import duties for the privilege). Tesla’s footprint:

  • Fremont, CA: Tesla's OG factory is the most productive car plant in the US (8.5K cars/week). The bulk of Teslas come from here.
  • Reno, NV, and Buffalo, NY: These Giga plants produce electric motors, batteries, and solar-energy-storage products instead of EVs.
  • Shanghai: The second Giga after Fremont to actually assemble Teslas. Since starting production in 2019, it’s nearly doubled in size.
  • Next up: Giga Texas is under construction in Austin, TX, and will become Tesla’s new HQ (#TaxReasons). It’ll also crank out Cybertrucks… if they ever materialize.

A global footprint is fuel… for global EV domination. Last year 85% of the world’s EVs were sold to customers in Europe and China. With oil prices gone haywire, EV demand could soar. Thanks to its continent-spanning factories, Tesla can produce at a much higher volume than other EV-first companies. But it’s losing ground in Europe to OGs like Volkswagen, which has eclipsed Tesla in EV sales there. The Berlin Gigafactory should help Tesla compete on VW’s home turf.

Moo

Ranchers are minting NFTs for cows as agriculture embraces blockchain tech

DecentraCow… Non-fungible tokens could be coming to a farm near you. A Wyoming cattleman recently started a four-person shop called CattleProof to help fellow ranchers create NFTs for their cows (the same guy also founded BeefChain, which aims to help ranchers sell blockchain-validated meat — call him a crypto bull). Here’s how CattleProof makes it easier to track and sell cattle:

  • Connected cows: Ranchers attach sensors to their cows and upload their bovines’ data (like: weight, birthplace, birthday). Then they mint NFTs with that info on the ethereum blockchain.
  • Digital records: Many ranchers still use paper records, which can be lost or altered. But CattleProof NFTs can’t be edited: when cows are sold, they’ll have “driver’s licenses” with accurate digital info about their origins and medical histories.

Bored Cow Graze Club… Big Agriculture has been embracing blockchain technology to make supply chains safer and more efficient. More than half of fruits and veggies are lost along the supply chain, leading to $100B+ in annual food waste. Blockchain systems could create more transparency from farm to store:

  • Weeding out bad veggies: After a deadly 2018 E. coli outbreak caused a nationwide romaine recall, Walmart started using IBM’s blockchain tech to track its fruits and veggies — and to avoid future recalls.
  • Fighting food fraud: Tomato farmers in Italy work with a blockchain biz to protect the value of their “Made in Italy” label from counterfeiters.

NFTs are becoming more practical… Early NFT hype centered on digital art, but these tokens can be applied to more than ape collectibles. NFTs are already being used to verify ownership of physical assets, from a plot of real estate to, now, a herd of cows. The latest use case has companies adopting blockchain tech to fix broken supply chains and improve out-of-date systems.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Walkout: Some Disney workers walked off the job to protest CEO Bob Chapek’s failure to take a public stance against Florida’s “Don’t Say Gay” bill, which bars K-3 schoolteachers from discussing sexual orientation.
  • Float: Carnival lost nearly $2B last quarter as Omicron and higher fuel costs weighed on the cruise biz. Now it's hiking prices above pre-pandemic levels and expects to be at full capacity by summer.
  • Dirt: Russia’s war on Ukraine has sent fertilizer prices up 40%. Russia is a crucial supplier of the world’s fertilizer, and that’s threatening a global food crisis ahead of spring planting season.
  • Sesame: Shares of Alibaba (the “Amazon of China”) popped 11% after the company announced a record $25B buyback over the next two years. Baba lost nearly half its value last year as China cracked down on tech.
  • AI: Google parent Alphabet is spinning off its quantum-computing unit, Sandbox AQ. Quant software has become increasingly popular in data-heavy industries like banking because it can process info millions of times faster than supercomputers.

Wednesday

  • Earnings expected from Cintas, General Mills, Trip.com, KB Home, Jefferies Financial, HB Fuller, and Winnebago

Authors of this Snacks own: shares of Tesla, Google, Walmart, and Disney

ID: 2092273

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Markets

Chipotle continues to go on a tear, hitting a sales record

Hey it might not be the kind of AI stock investors are all hot and bothered over, but don’t sleep on the burrito business.

Chipotle posted much better-than-expected results on Wednesday, with sales rising 14% to a record $2.70B in the first quarter, which is like a billion additions of guac.

Profits jumped 23% to $359M.

Chipotle has quietly cruised higher over the last year. It’s up 63%, compared to the 24.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the 12 months through Wednesday’s close. Not bad for a rice-and-beans based business model.

Tech

Facebook had great earnings, the market hates it

Facebook reported impressive earnings. Record first-quarter revenue thanks to AI! Profit up 117% compared to a year earlier! But at the same time, its capital expenditures are going up and it’s expecting second quarter revenue potentially lower than analyst estimates. So in other words, the future doesn’t look as bright as the present.

All in all the stock is down more than 10%. (Basically the opposite of what happened with Tesla yesterday).

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Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
Business

Why Tesla investors are holding on to hope for a cheap car

Despite terrible earnings numbers last night — declining vehicle sales, disappointing revenue and profit, enormous spending — Tesla stock is up more than 10% as of midday. That’s a welcome move for the car company, that’s been among the worst performers this year in the S&P 500.

Why the about face?

While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

Job switchers and stayers

The FTC is banning non-compete clauses

Why that might make job switching even more lucrative

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Culture

Not so Gucci

French luxury fashion conglomerate Kering has seen its shares fall ~10% in the last 24 hours after reporting that sales at its flagship brand Gucci had dropped 21% in its latest quarter.

Kering’s other brands, which include Yves Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga, fared slightly better — but the only real bright spot was the company’s eyewear division, where sales rose 24% (9% on a comparable basis).

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales
Business

The FTC vs. Big Handbag

The Federal Trade Commission has sued to block big tech, big grocery, big vacuum, and now, big… “affordable luxury handbag.”

Yesterday, the FTC sued to block Tapestry Inc’s $8.5B acquisition of Capri holdings. The agency is worried that a merger between Tapestry, which owns the Coach and Kate Spade brands, and Capri, which owns Michael Kors, would eliminate competition in the market.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

Tesla had a good ride, but the stock’s price destruction is historic

Few people have created as much value as Elon Musk. The iconoclastic entrepreneur took Tesla from a market capitalization of roughly $2 billion at the time of its IPO in 2010 to $1.2 trillion in early 2023. That’s a return of about 55,000%. Musk made a lot of people a lot of money.

On the other hand, Tesla shares are down nearly 60% since their all-time peak. The company has ceded ground in EVs, prompting a series of profit crushing price cuts to preserve market share. The cumulative loss in market value over that period is pushing $800 billion. Few corporate executives have presided over such a degree of value destruction.

And it could get worse, as people are bracing for an ugly update when Tesla reports after the close Tuesday.