Sherwood
Wednesday Jun.17, 2020

🚗 Hertz's stock conundrum

_When the ref is your dad_
_When the ref is your dad_

Hey Snackers,

Some positive employment news: the Supreme Court issued a landmark decision protecting LGBTQ workers from employment discrimination. The Supremes ruled 6-3 that it's illegal under the 1964 Civil Rights Act. Happy Pride Month.

Stocks rallied Tuesday on a record jump in US retail sales, which soared 18% in May — but that's compared to April. When the economic plunge is record-breaking, the record-breaking monthly comebacks come easier. Compare this May to May of last year and spending was actually down 6%.

Download

Europe wants to punish Apple for playing favorites with its apps

"You are the Apple of my eye"... Apple to its own apps. Apple's App Store is a massive marketplace for the world's scrolly-tappy desires. But in addition to owning that marketplace, Apple also competes in it with its own apps: Apple Maps, Books, Podcasts, etc.

  • iControl: In addition to pre-downloading some apps on your iPhone, Apple often displays them higher than arguably more-worthy competitors on its App Store. For instance Apple Music is currently #1 and Spotify comes up #5 for a "music" search.
  • iMoney: Apple also takes a 15%-30% cut of paid downloads, in-app purchases, and subscriptions in non-Apple apps.
  • iAngry: That rubs some the wrong way — especially the EU, which has launched 2 antitrust probes to determine whether Apple violated competition laws.

Silicon Valley dominates Europe's scrolly-tappy ways... The EU hates that Apple, Facebook, Google, and Amazon are making bank off hundreds of millions of European users — without really paying any European taxes. And it hates the home-court advantage:

  • The EU is investigating Apple for rival-squashing with its App Store and Apple Pay policies. If Apple is found guilty, Europe could fine it for a 10% cut of its annual sales.
  • Preemptive defense: On Monday, Apple announced that the App Store generated $519B in 2019 revenues for global developers.
  • In press release speak: "The results encapsulate...the dynamic, competitive, and flourishing app economy, which has unleashed a torrent of innovation across 175 countries." Key word: competitive.

This is a wider "platform-player" issue... The EU is investigating other American tech giants too, saying they're abusing home court advantage on their own platforms. BTW — the US government is also running its own antitrust investigations. Platforms like the App Store have created an explosion of opportunity and wealth, but they seem to be playing favorites.

Sell

Hertz is selling $500M in new shares, fresh after declaring bankruptcy

Everybody hertz... But Hertz didn't cry when its stock inexplicably soared after its bankruptcy announcement. The airport rental car classic was hurting pre-corona, thanks to competition from peers like Enterprise and ride-hailers. Then came this head-scratching timeline:

  • May 22: Hertz files for bankruptcy, sitting on $19B in debt and 700K cars — most of which haven't felt human touch on their steering wheels since March.
  • May 26: Hertz stock is trading at a low of $0.56, after filing with no deal in place from the creditors it owes.
  • June 8: Hertz shares have soared 887% to $5.53, as investors inexplicably pile into the stock.
  • June 15: Hertz announces plans to sell up to $500M in new shares, which it would issue to capitalize on its stock price.

Lenders get paid first... The "absolute priority" rule in bankruptcy means that creditors (whom Hertz is indebted to) must get back the money they lent before shareholders get a penny. That's why Hertz had to warn potential buyers of its new stock that they will likely lose all their money.

  • "Worthless": Mentioned 5 times in Hertz's filing, in reference to what its stock could become.
  • "Risk": Mentioned 49 times, in reference to what investors are involving themselves in.
  • Translation: We hope you'll buy these brand new shares for X dollars... but they might actually be worth $0 — Hertz.

Investors aren't always rational... So stocks don't always move in sensical ways. People traditionally buy because they believe a company will generate greater cash flows in the future (and so, they believe, share prices will rise). But stocks also rise for reasons unrelated to actual/future value: if there are more buyers than sellers, a stock's price rises. The "buying reason" — whether that's thoughtful investment analysis or straight up speculation — still affects the stock's movement either way.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Game: Fortnite-maker Epic Games is close to raising $750M at a $17B valuation, according to #PFWTM.
  • Stang: Ford unveils the 2021 Mustang Mach 1 as a limited-edition "pinnacle" of its pony car lineup.
  • Vacant: Hilton is cutting 22% of its global corporate workforce — Hyatt and Marriott also had to downsize.
  • Deliver: DoorDash partners with CVS to deliver over 3K CVS items (including health, household, and grocery products).
  • Euro: Square snatches up Spanish peer-to-peer payment app Verse to try to replicate its Cash App success in Europe.

🍪 Thanks for Snacking with us! Want to share the Snacks? Invite your friends to sign up here.

Wednesday

  • Report on US housing starts and building permits for May

Disclosure: Authors of this Snacks own shares of Apple and Square

ID: 1218561

Get Your News

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Latest Stories

markets

Uber’s bad investment bets are weighing down the company

The ride-share giant posted a surprise loss of $654 million, as it lowered the value of its investments in other companies. (Uber has equity investments in other businesses such as Indian food app Zomato and Chinese ride-hailing app Didi, for example. It lowered the value of that investment portfolio.) “The biggest reason why we moved into a loss is that we've got significant equity stakes in certain companies like Didi and other companies out there ... it has nothing to do with the operating business,” said CEO Dara Khosrowshahi in an interview with CNBC.

Uber also offered up weak a forecast for gross bookings in the second quarter. Adding insult to injury, arch rival Lyft beat expectations on the top and bottom line, sending its shares sharply higher.

Internet access

With the ACP at risk of ending, lower-income families could lose internet access

Go Deeper with Market Depth

Nasdaq TotalView powers the need-to-know data serious investors rely on.

Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia

AI is changing jobs, but it’s not actually taking them yet

The Wall Street Journal looked at how generative AI is altering the ways in which a lawyer, marketer, and a doctor work. Notably, the vast majority of AI-using businesses reported no change in employment because of it in the last six months, Census data shows.

2.6%
employers who cut jobs due to gen AI
2.8%
Employers who added jobs because of it
business

It’s Friday, Friday, gotta work at home on Friday

Even companies forcing people back to the office on certain days of the week know better than to make people come in on Fridays, according to new data from Flex Index, which tracks office policies. Just 8% of businesses that ask for specific days in the office require people to show up on Friday.

All hail fall, winter, and spring Fridays.

crypto

FTX shockingly may be able to repay almost everyone

The bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX announced they were “in a position to propose a chapter 11 plan that contemplates the return of 100% of bankruptcy claim amounts,” a move that once seemed impossible.

The plan will repay all customers with claims under $50,000 (except governmental creditors) 118% of the funds they had on the exchange — in cash — when it collapsed in November, 2022.

There is a caveat to these numbers, however: Creditors will be repaid based on asset values in November, when bitcoin was trading at well under $20,000. Today, it’s trading at over $62,000, and some creditors are recommending rejecting FTX’s plan.

There is a caveat to these numbers, however: Creditors will be repaid based on asset values in November, when bitcoin was trading at well under $20,000. Today, it’s trading at over $62,000, and some creditors are recommending rejecting FTX’s plan.

Your inbox is ready

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

$90B

Amount the Biden administration says Americans pay in junk fees (those sneaky hidden charges like mandatory hotel resort fees or online ticket sale fees), on everything from food to fuel, every year.

339% raise

Call it the Undertaker bump: Endeavor and TKO Group CEO Ari Emanuel got a hefty raise after helming the $9.3B merger between UFC and WWE.

According to The Hollywood Reporter, Emanuel pulled in $84M last year, a 339% raise from 2022. Emanuel made $1,184 to every $1 Endeavor’s median employee made.

Still, it doesn’t compare to Emanuel’s $308M Endeavor pay package from 2021 — before he was this guy’s boss — which was mostly thanks to a restricted stock grant.