Monday May.18, 2020

💃 Facebook gets GIPHY with it

_Gettin' GIPHY Wit It_
_Gettin' GIPHY Wit It_

Hey Snackers,

"Life should be lived"... Elon Musk's metaphysical message, tweeted alongside a photo of a massive ice cream sundae in a martini glass. Some assumed Elon musk have been out celebrating the reopening of Tesla's Bay Area factory. Turns out the photo was taken by a food blogger... in 2017... at Buca di Beppo. Happy Monday.

Markets ended the week down on a record drop in retail sales, rising trade tensions with China, and over 36M unemployed Americans in two months. On Friday, the House narrowly passed another $3T coronavirus relief bill, which includes a 2nd round of checks for Americans — but the bill is expected to be blocked by the Senate.

On the pod: McDonald's 59-page guide to reopening — we jumped into it on our 15-minute Snacks Daily podcast (everyone deserves a happy meal right now).

Acquire

Facebook buys GIPHY, cementing control over the spirit of social media

The "G" is hard... Mark Zuckerberg must have been blasting Will Smith's 1997 banger as he signed the papers to acquire GIPHY for $400M. The GIF-sharing platform will join Facebook as part of Instagram — its library of LOL-inducing moving images will be more deeply integrated into Insta as well as FB's other apps. FYI - GIPHY won't get banned from non-FB apps, like Twitter and Slack.

  • Ever wonder where all those GIFs come from? They're born in the GIPHY website — hundreds of millions of users contribute to this library with billions of looping vids.
  • GIPHY doesn't own the rights to the vids used in GIFs, so it makes money by showing sponsored results to searches (you search for "funny cow" and get a Dairy Queen GIF).
  • Experiment: Try searching for a "Lip Gloss" GIF on Instagram DM — A glossy mouth with Maybelline branding comes up as a top result.

What's in a GIF?... While FB says it acquired GIPHY to help people better "express themselves," 50% of GIPHY’s traffic already comes from Facebook's "family of apps" (Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger) – 25% of that traffic comes from Insta alone. So it's gotta be something else...

GIPHY is the secret sauce to Facebook's ad-reliant burger... Facebook and GIPHY are free, but make money by promoting sponsored content — Facebook does ad sales on a ginormous scale. By making GIFs a more prominent part of its apps, Facebook can make more $$$ from GIPHY's brand partners by exposing them to its 2.5B+ users.

  • GIPHY could be Facebook's Trojan Horse into every social and messaging platform: GIFs are already so ingrained into popular culture that FB's competitors can't drop them.
  • It's actually in Facebook's interest not to ice out competitors from GIPHY: Say you search for a "burger" GIF on Twitter — Facebook could potentially get paid to have In-N-Out be the top result fetched from GIPHY's site.
Highs

Who's up...

  • Hit me with the "high" puns... Aurora Cannabis stock soared 70% after the Canadian pot producer reported higher-than-expected quarterly sales — it was Aurora's biggest daily gain (ever). Aurora really needed a good hit, especially after its stock nearly crashed over '18 and '19. After losing almost $1B in the previous quarter, Aurora cut costs and was able to beat its comedown — sales jumped 18% compared to last quarter.

  • Make Lululemonade... Despite its 400+ closed stores, Lululemon found zen in the corona-conomy — 33% of its sales were happening online before lockdowns, so going 100% ecommerce didn't make it break a sweat: online sales tripled compared to April 2019. Lulu's products happen to be season-less and stay-at-home versatile (we call it Work-leasure). Under Armour and Nike stocks are both deeply down this year — Lulu is up almost 6%.

Lows

...and who's down

  • Don't push your luck(in)... Luckin Coffee faked its 2019 sales numbers by $310M (#FakeBrews) — so shares have been halted from trading since April when it plunged 80% on the fraud. Yet it still opened 10 stores every day last quarter. And it's pivoting: The techie coffee chain is becoming a digital convenience store, now selling lifestyle products from sanitizing wipes to beauty masks in the app — seems random, but random add-ons to apps are more common in Chinese tech.

  • Cult classic movie Office Space... may become a historical fiction. Last week, Twitter announced it's giving employees the option to WFH forever. But companies that rely on you coming to the office — aka the "Work from Work" — could lose big if permanent WFH becomes a trend. JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley both said it's highly unlikely that all employees will return to offices post-corona. Commercial real estate giant CBRE's stock fell nearly 13% for the week, while Office Depot is planning store closures and 13K job cuts by 2023.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Read: 10 great reads for the "armchair traveler" — because your mind doesn't need a facemask and Purell to explore the world.
  • Eat: Why making time for a midday lunch break matters now more than ever (no one wants to hear your salad on the Zoom).
  • Connect: 10 CEOs and founders on how they combat loneliness (because it's lonely at the top — but it's lonelier in quarantine).
  • Bake: How to bake the latest Tik Tok-sensation, "Frog Bread" — who knew wheat flour could be so toad-ally adorable?
  • Learn: How to approach analyzing a stock when picking an investment (it's kind of like buying a car).

This Week

Disclosure: Authors of this Snacks own shares of Slack, Twitter, and Luckin Coffee (😢)

ID: 1189253

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Do you want to run the State Department of McDonald’s?

A couple of days ago, a tweet making fun at McDonald’s hiring a “Manager for Diplomatic Relations” went viral.

At first glance, the idea that McDonald’s, a burger franchise known for its double quarter pounders and perfectly salted fries, is expanding its diplomatic influence with policy makers in Foggy Bottom and the world at large sounds comical. But it’s actually crucial.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

Nuke stocks up on AI excitement

For most of humanity, the thought of “nuclear-powered AI” sends a shiver down the spine. But the stock market is all for it! Just check out the list of top performing S&P 500 stocks this year. Just behind established AI plays — Super Micro Computer and Nvidia, you’ll find Constellation Energy, the largest operator of nuclear plants in the U.S. NRG Energy, which also operates nuclear plants, isn’t far behind. Bloomberg reports that CEO of power distributor Exelon — which spun off Constellation in 2022 — says in the Chicago area alone, AI could drive a 900% jump in demand for energy from data centers.

Tech

China makes Apple remove WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram from app store

In its latest move to restrict foreign tech, Beijing has ordered Apple to remove a number of popular messaging apps from its app store there, including WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram.

These apps had only been available through VPNs but were popular nonetheless, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

Business

Tesla's recall reveals just how bad Cybertruck delivery numbers have been

Thanks to a recall of Tesla’s Cybertrucks, we now know how many of them have actually been delivered: 3,878 since the EV company began releasing them to customers in November.

In its third and fourth quarter earnings report, Tesla said that its current Cybertruck production capacity was greater than 125,000 a year. Musk had previously said he expected to produce 250,000 Cybertrucks a year by 2025.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

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Markets

Cocoa hits $11,000

Cocoa prices are breaking records on an almost daily basis — with cocoa futures closing at (another) all-time high of $11,020 per metric ton yesterday.

That’s up 158% since the start of the year, and over 4x on the typical prices seen in 2022 — as crop production continues to fall short of demand.

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices
Power

World out of balance: It costs the US 3¢ to make 1 penny

The cost of producing a US penny rose 13% in fiscal 2023 to 3.07 cents. Yes, it means that Uncle Sam loses more than 2 cents for every cent it produces. (And no, you can’t make it up on volume.)

For the record, that’s the 18th straight year the penny’s face value has been below production costs, fueling calls for abolishing the lowest value denomination coin. Canada started to phase out the penny in 2013, joining Australia, Brazil, Finland, New Zealand, Norway, and Israel, according to Smithsonian Magazine.

3.07¢
Business
Rani Molla
4/18/24

Netflix is going to stop sharing subscriber numbers

After posting subscriber numbers that beat expectations today, Netflix says it’s no longer going to share those numbers starting in the first quarter of 2025. That’s a big deal since subscriber numbers have long been one of the main metrics that investors have looked at.

“In our early days, when we had little revenue or profit, membership growth was a strong indicator of our future potential,” its shareholders letter read. “But now we’re generating very substantial profit and free cash flow.” The company said that it will focus on revenue and operating margin as its main financial metrics, while it will look at time spent on the platform to gauge customer satisfaction.

Another way to read this? They’ve hit market saturation and just aren’t going to be growing that much anymore, and they thought they’d end on a good note. Going forward they’re focusing on how to get more money out of the customers they do have.

They’re doing so by cracking down on password sharing and charging for extra members. They’re also pushing people to ad tiers, which are more profitable than non-ad tiers.

“Scaling ads to become a more meaningful contributor to our business in ‘25 and beyond,” Netflix said.

Netflix’s ads membership grew another 65% in Q1 over the previous one, after rising 70% the quarter before, and 40% of signups in ad markets continue to be for those ad plans.