Thursday Mar.18, 2021

🇬🇧 Uber's big gig loss

_Eyes on the competition_
_Eyes on the competition_

Hey Snackers,

Our hearts go out to the eight victims who were killed in the Atlanta spa shootings on Tuesday, and their loved ones. We don't yet know the motive for the attacks — but they follow a sharp rise in violence and racism against Asian-Americans during the pandemic.

The Dow closed above 33K for the first time yesterday, after the Fed pledged to continue its easy-money policies while the US economy recovers. TLDR: interest rates will stay near zero, and the Fed will keep buying bonds to pump $$$ into the system and keep borrowing cheap.

Gig

Uber reclassifies UK gig drivers as "workers" — now it could have a precedent problem

Don't know what a Nissan Sentra looks like... Didn't see it coming: Uber lost a major labor battle last month, when the UK's Supreme Court ruled that its drivers are entitled to a minimum wage and other worker benefits. This week, Uber made the worker reclassification official.

  • Fresh status: Uber granted its 70K UK drivers a new (less gig-y) employment status that includes vacation pay, pensions, and a minimum wage.
  • Fresh costs: The UK is one of Uber's largest markets, making up ~6% of gross ride bookings at the end of 2020. So the shift could be pricey...

But not as pricey as you'd think... Uber usually doesn't pay its drivers wages — it just connects them to riders, then keeps ~25% of the fare. While the new UK benefits sound costly, they're not as expansive as they sound.

  • What disappointed labor activists: Drivers are guaranteed minimum wage only after they've accepted a trip (not if they’re just in the app looking for work). Also: Uber Eats delivery drivers aren't included in the change.
  • Uber says the average driver already makes more than the UK minimum wage of ~$12/hour. And that it would be illogical to pay them while they're potentially working on another app (like Lyft) at the same time.

The real story isn’t the details... It's the precedent. In November, Uber scored a major victory when CA voters said "Yes" to Prop 22. Uber had threatened to leave CA if it was forced to reclassify gig drivers as employees. But now that Uber has given UK drivers a new status, it could inspire more labor activists to push for change globally (and more lawsuits). That precedent is likely why Uber stock sank 4% yesterday.

Web

Website builder Squarespace hits a $10B valuation (but we need to look at Wix)

This video is sponsored by... Squarespace has helped millions of non-coders build their own websites. It just raised $300M at an impressive $10B valuation — and though it was founded in 2003, its valuation has 5X’d in just the past three years. That's probably how it paid for its Dolly Parton Super Bowl commercial. In addition to hosting your sizzle reel website, Squarespace has also expanded to hosting online stores (great timing).

Double SUMO... Squarespace is still private, so regular investors are straight up missing out on its growth (it's a SUMO stock). But investors are SUMO'ing on its financials, too: Squarespace filed confidentially to go public in January, staying secretive with its numbers. Case in point: a one-paragraph post was all we got about the latest fundraise. While we barely know anything about Squarespace’s $$$, we do know about its publicly-traded rival Wix (also a website builder with ecommerce hosting):

  • $17B: Wix's market value. The stock has more than 3X’d in the past year as the world economy moved further online.
  • +30%: Wix's sales growth accelerated from 2019 to 2020, and it expects that momentum will carry through this year.
  • +107%: Wix's subscribers (who pay for monthly hosting) more than doubled from the end of 2019 to the end of 2020. But its yearly loss also doubled.

Lookout for the comp... to understand the private. With public companies, the market decides value. With private companies, it's a comparison game. To determine private company valuations, investors look at their publicly-traded competitors. They find similar companies in the same industry to gauge the private company's growth potential and value. As businesses moved online and people took on more side-gigs during the pandemic, Wix had its "most successful year in history." This gives us a hint as to what Squarespace might've experienced (despite its invisible numbers).

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Magical: Disneyland is back. Disney says its two California theme parks will reopen on April 30 (at 15% capacity).
  • Unplug: Plug Power shares plunged after the fuel cell company said it'll restate its financial results because of accounting errors.
  • BTC: Morgan Stanley becomes the first big US bank to offer wealthy clients access to bitcoin funds.
  • Basics: Amazon becomes the #1 clothing retailer in the US, unseating Walmart. We're talking $41B+ worth of apparel sold in 2020.
  • Chippy: Toyota and Honda will halt production at North American factories because of supply chain shortages (#ChipPocalypse).

Thursday

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Uber, Amazon, Walmart, and Disney

ID: 1568943

Get Your News

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Latest Stories

When the chips are down

Super Micro Computer, which produces the kind of servers fueling the AI boom, declined to pre-announce earnings. This spooked investors and rattled the entire chips-producing sector. That sent Super Micro plunging 23%, and dragged down lots of their customers and suppliers down with it.

2024-04-19-norway-fund-site

Norway now has a wealth fund worth $290k+ for every citizen of the country

Go Deeper with Market Depth

Nasdaq TotalView powers the need-to-know data serious investors rely on.

Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
Wind energy

More wind power capacity was installed last year than ever before

World

Do you want to run the State Department of McDonald’s?

A couple of days ago, a tweet making fun at McDonald’s hiring a “Manager for Diplomatic Relations” went viral.

At first glance, the idea that McDonald’s, a burger franchise known for its double quarter pounders and perfectly salted fries, is expanding its diplomatic influence with policy makers in Foggy Bottom and the world at large sounds comical. But it’s actually crucial.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

Nuke stocks up on AI excitement

For most of humanity, the thought of “nuclear-powered AI” sends a shiver down the spine. But the stock market is all for it! Just check out the list of top performing S&P 500 stocks this year. Just behind established AI plays — Super Micro Computer and Nvidia, you’ll find Constellation Energy, the largest operator of nuclear plants in the U.S. NRG Energy, which also operates nuclear plants, isn’t far behind. Bloomberg reports that CEO of power distributor Exelon — which spun off Constellation in 2022 — says in the Chicago area alone, AI could drive a 900% jump in demand for energy from data centers.

Tech

China makes Apple remove WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram from app store

In its latest move to restrict foreign tech, Beijing has ordered Apple to remove a number of popular messaging apps from its app store there, including WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram.

These apps had only been available through VPNs but were popular nonetheless, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

Business

Tesla's recall reveals just how bad Cybertruck delivery numbers have been

Thanks to a recall of Tesla’s Cybertrucks, we now know how many of them have actually been delivered: 3,878 since the EV company began releasing them to customers in November.

In its third and fourth quarter earnings report, Tesla said that its current Cybertruck production capacity was greater than 125,000 a year. Musk had previously said he expected to produce 250,000 Cybertrucks a year by 2025.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

Your inbox is ready

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Markets

Cocoa hits $11,000

Cocoa prices are breaking records on an almost daily basis — with cocoa futures closing at (another) all-time high of $11,020 per metric ton yesterday.

That’s up 158% since the start of the year, and over 4x on the typical prices seen in 2022 — as crop production continues to fall short of demand.

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices
Power

World out of balance: It costs the US 3¢ to make 1 penny

The cost of producing a US penny rose 13% in fiscal 2023 to 3.07 cents. Yes, it means that Uncle Sam loses more than 2 cents for every cent it produces. (And no, you can’t make it up on volume.)

For the record, that’s the 18th straight year the penny’s face value has been below production costs, fueling calls for abolishing the lowest value denomination coin. Canada started to phase out the penny in 2013, joining Australia, Brazil, Finland, New Zealand, Norway, and Israel, according to Smithsonian Magazine.

3.07¢
Business
Rani Molla
4/18/24

Netflix is going to stop sharing subscriber numbers

After posting subscriber numbers that beat expectations today, Netflix says it’s no longer going to share those numbers starting in the first quarter of 2025. That’s a big deal since subscriber numbers have long been one of the main metrics that investors have looked at.

“In our early days, when we had little revenue or profit, membership growth was a strong indicator of our future potential,” its shareholders letter read. “But now we’re generating very substantial profit and free cash flow.” The company said that it will focus on revenue and operating margin as its main financial metrics, while it will look at time spent on the platform to gauge customer satisfaction.

Another way to read this? They’ve hit market saturation and just aren’t going to be growing that much anymore, and they thought they’d end on a good note. Going forward they’re focusing on how to get more money out of the customers they do have.

They’re doing so by cracking down on password sharing and charging for extra members. They’re also pushing people to ad tiers, which are more profitable than non-ad tiers.

“Scaling ads to become a more meaningful contributor to our business in ‘25 and beyond,” Netflix said.

Netflix’s ads membership grew another 65% in Q1 over the previous one, after rising 70% the quarter before, and 40% of signups in ad markets continue to be for those ad plans.