Tuesday Jun.08, 2021

💰 The Big Tech tax

_The mood at Dublin tech pubs [mihailomilovanovic/E+ via GettyImages]_
_The mood at Dublin tech pubs [mihailomilovanovic/E+ via GettyImages]_

Hey Snackers,

Some buy a sports car or a house in Boca when they retire. Jeff Bezos is going to space.

While Bezos and his brother packed to board a Blue Origin rocket (Hawaiian shirt optional), stocks barely budged yesterday.

Taxy

The G7's historic global tax agreement: corporate giants should pay at least 15%

Fly like a G7... and drop bad news on Big Tech. The Group of Seven = the US, UK, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, and Japan. The G7 met in London over the weekend — and left with some tea to spill: the countries agreed that multinational companies should pay a minimum tax rate of at least 15% in each country in which they operate.

  • For a long time, companies like Google and Amazon have been plopping their international headquarters in countries with low corporate tax rates.
  • Think: Ireland, which has a 12.5% tax rate, hosts the European HQs of many tech and pharma giants. That's created beef with Germany, France, and other EU countries where these companies also operate (they want more tax money).

The luck of the Irish... may end. The deal marks a big step toward potentially adopting a 15% global minimum corporate-tax rate. That Dublin office = not so clutch anymore. Companies would have to pay the minimum rate regardless of where they're based. The agreement aims to stop large multinationals from seeking out tax havens —  and force them to pay more of their income to governments. But it still has to go through the G20, which includes China, India, and other developing economies.

This could level the playing field... and end the "race to the bottom." For decades, countries have been competing with each other to attract corporate investment for economic growth. The main way to do that: lower companies' taxes. In 2000, more than 55 countries had corporate tax rates above 30% — now, fewer than 20 do. President Biden wants to raise corporate taxes in the US to fund government programs. The admin is backing a 15% global minimum to help keep the US competitive.

Drugs

Biogen's Alzheimer's breakthrough: shares soar nearly 40% after FDA approval

Not vax-related... for once. The Food and Drug Administration has made headlines for another reason. Yesterday, the FDA approved Biogen's Alzheimer’s drug aducanumab (rolls off the tongue). Biogen shares soared 38% on the news. It's a big deal — so big that the Nasdaq halted trading of Biogen shares ahead of the FDA's decision.

  • #1: It's the first new therapy for Alzheimer's in 20 years. It's also the first FDA-approved drug to slow mental decline in people living with Alzheimer’s.
  • 6M people are affected by Alzheimer's in the US, where the disease is the sixth-leading cause of death.
  • $56K: The drug's list price per year. It's expected to generate billions in sales for Biogen.

There's a catch... The FDA approved it on the condition that Biogen conduct another clinical trial. Many Alzheimer’s experts aren't happy with the approval and its mixed supporting data. Some aren't convinced the clinical trial data was enough to prove the drug works.

Drug stocks depend on drug pops... Which is why Biogen's five-year stock chart looks like a rollercoaster. In March 2015, Biogen stock was trading even higher than it was yesterday after it dropped positive early-stage data from an aducanumab trial (yep, the same Alzheimer's drug). Then in July 2015, Biogen released additional data about the trial that disappointed investors — and lost $20B in market value as its stock plunged. The results of Biogen’s next aducanumab trial could impact the stock again.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Historic: Google agreed to change its global advertising practices after France's competition watchdog slapped it with an unprecedented $268M fine.
  • Corona: A US government report found it plausible that Covid-19 leaked from a Wuhan lab, according to WSJ's sources.
  • WWDC: Apple unveiled new iOS 15 features at its annual developers conference, including IRL-style FaceTime calls and digital keys in Apple Wallet.
  • Ready: The Senate is poised to pass a $200B+ industrial policy bill to counter China — and for once, the bill has broad bipartisan support.
  • Payback: US law-enforcement officials recovered $2.3M in crypto that was paid as ransom to the Colonial Pipeline hackers.

Tuesday

  • Earnings expected from Casey's General Stores and Thor Industries

ID: 1

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AI needs so much electricity that tech companies are getting into the energy business

To accommodate tech companies’ pivots to artificial intelligence, tech companies are increasingly investing in ways to power AI’s immense electricity needs.

Most recently, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman invested in Exowatt, a company using solar power to feed data centers, according to the Wall Street Journal.

That’s on the heals of OpenAI partner, Microsoft, working on getting approval for nuclear energy to help power its AI operations. Last year Amazon, which is a major investor in AI company Anthropic, said it invested in more than 100 renewable energy projects, making it the “world’s largest corporate purchaser of renewable energy for the fourth year in a row.”

This can all feel like a bit of spin, as these tech companies move the narrative toward their use of green energy rather than questioning whether they truly need to be consuming so much energy in the first place.

That’s on the heals of OpenAI partner, Microsoft, working on getting approval for nuclear energy to help power its AI operations. Last year Amazon, which is a major investor in AI company Anthropic, said it invested in more than 100 renewable energy projects, making it the “world’s largest corporate purchaser of renewable energy for the fourth year in a row.”

This can all feel like a bit of spin, as these tech companies move the narrative toward their use of green energy rather than questioning whether they truly need to be consuming so much energy in the first place.

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Business

What’s on your mind?

Meta is rolling out a new chatbot, Meta AI, to its 3 largest social media properties: Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp.

On Facebook the usual search bar for some users has been replaced with “Ask Meta AI anything” — a prompt that could give millions of people their first ever interaction with an AI chatbot.

Meta has been increasingly focused on AI ever since ChatGPT exploded into the mainstream in late 2022. In earnings calls, the focus has never been clearer: Facebook execs made ~10x more references to artificial intelligence than the Metaverse, the company’s previous primary focus which prompted its rebrand in October 2021.

Metaverse mentions

Meta has been increasingly focused on AI ever since ChatGPT exploded into the mainstream in late 2022. In earnings calls, the focus has never been clearer: Facebook execs made ~10x more references to artificial intelligence than the Metaverse, the company’s previous primary focus which prompted its rebrand in October 2021.

Metaverse mentions

When the chips are down

Super Micro Computer, which produces the kind of servers fueling the AI boom, declined to pre-announce earnings. This spooked investors and rattled the entire chips-producing sector. That sent Super Micro plunging 23%, and dragged down lots of their customers and suppliers down with it.

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World

Do you want to run the State Department of McDonald’s?

A couple of days ago, a tweet making fun at McDonald’s hiring a “Manager for Diplomatic Relations” went viral.

At first glance, the idea that McDonald’s, a burger franchise known for its double quarter pounders and perfectly salted fries, is expanding its diplomatic influence with policy makers in Foggy Bottom and the world at large sounds comical. But it’s actually crucial.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.