Rise

The stock market hits an all-time high in the middle of a pandemic/economic crisis

Snacks / Wednesday, August 19, 2020
_When a few team members carry the whole group project_
_When a few team members carry the whole group project_

80 and sunny on Wall Street... The S&P 500 index is kind of like a scoreboard for the stock market, since it tracks the stocks of the 500 most valuable publicly-traded companies in America. On Tuesday, the S&P notched a record close. The all-time high confirms the end of Wall Street's shortest bear market ever.

  • On February 19, the S&P closed at an all-time high. By March 13, the S&P had fallen over 20%, confirming we were in a bear market.
  • On March 23, the S&P hit its lowest low since the February record. Since then, it has rallied over 50%. Tuesday's record confirms that a bull market started on March 23rd.

Instagram vs. reality... The stock market is drinking rosé on a flamingo float in the Hamptons. The economy is eating Safeway frozen pizza and watching 90 Day Fiancé in bed. The US' GDP shrank at a record rate last quarter, unemployment is at 10%, and we're still mid-pandemic with no vaccine. A few reasons for the market party:

  • The US government spent trillions to stimulate the economy by keeping companies' and families' finances afloat. Then the Fed gave us near-zero interest rates to make savings accounts less attractive and stocks more attractive.
  • Investors are forward-looking. 3-straight months of falling unemployment and rising retail spending suggest positive momentum. Promising vaccine tests also helped.

The "Big Tech 5" carried the market rally... Since the S&P 500 is weighted based on market value, it's dominated by America's 5 largest companies: Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Facebook. Those 5 stocks soared 37% in the 1st 7 months of 2020 — the rest of the S&P fell a combined 6%. The Big Tech 5 now make up over 20% of the total stock market value. They're benefiting big from the corona-conomy — Apple just hit a historic $2T market cap. The S&P 500 should rename itself to "Big Tech 5 + 495."

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