Stretched

Lululemon’s winning stretch may be ending as markdowns and Mirrors weigh on profits

Snacks / Monday, January 09, 2023

Downward dog days… Athleisure icon Lululemon was a pandemic winner as people donned its comfy sets for home workouts and couch chillouts. Lulu’s flexible fortunes continued well after Covid restrictions ended, but its luck might be stretching thin. While Lulu raised its sales expectations, investors had a problem with its profit forecasts:

  • Lulu shares sank 9% yesterday after it said that profit margins would shrink for its holiday quarter (ending January 29). It also issued disappointing earnings targets.
  • Piles of styles: While Lulu said visits to stores and sites continued to grow, high inventory levels and markdowns could weigh on its bottom line.
  • $130 leggings now $70: Last quarter, Lulu had 85% more inventory than it did a year earlier. Also: over 40% of items were on sale in November, up 10%.

The mirror cracks… Discounted leggings aren’t Lulu’s only profit-draining problem. In July 2020, when stocks were soaring and athleisure sales were booming, Lulu bought home-fitness startup Mirror for a cool $500M (its first acquisition). Think: a monthly workout subscription where trainers pump you up from a reflective screen (hence: mirror). Lulu’s CEO said that Mirror continues to be a drag on profits and is likely experiencing less adoption than anticipated.

Boom spending is a bust bug… What a company splurges on during healthy boom times can come back to bite it in a downturn (think: buying a BMW when your portfolio’s soaring, then losing your job and still having to make payments). Lulu was far from the only one to make an optimistic splurge in 2020. One example: Salesforce bought Slack for $28B when the good times were rolling. Last week it said it was cutting 10% of its workforce.

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