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Biden's first 100 days: the biggest moves affecting the economy and the markets

Snacks / Monday, April 26, 2021
_"Big Tech 5" earnings are now in session  [Donald Iain Smith via GettyImages]_
_"Big Tech 5" earnings are now in session [Donald Iain Smith via GettyImages]_

100 days later... (in SpongeBob voice). This Thursday marks President Biden's 100th day in office. We’ve seen big changes since Inauguration Day — so we're zooming out on Biden's first 100 days through the lens of the economy and business:

  1. The Big Stimulus: Biden campaigned on it, but we didn't expect how massive it would be. The $1.9T package was more than twice as big as the 2009 recession package. $1.4K checks fueled a rebound in "revenge spending," and boosted economic growth expectations.

  2. The Vax Rollout: Biden pledged an achievable target of 100M shots in his first 100 days. 230M shots have already hit American arms. Biden expanded eligibility to all adults, speeding up biz reopenings — and boosting spending on travel and restaurants. Now, the US is providing vax supplies to India, where Covid is surging.

  3. Infrastructure Makeover: Biden unveiled a $2.3T proposal to give America's infrastructure a major facelift. It would be the biggest federal program since the '60s Space Race, and could boost construction-related companies.

  4. Serious Tax Hikes: Biden's infrastructure plan requires bumping the corporate tax rate to 28% from 21%. He also wants to raise income taxes on the wealthy, and reportedly, nearly double taxes on investment gains to ~40% (for people earning $1M+). Stocks and Bitcoin plunged on the reports.

  5. Green Push: Pre-election, Biden pledged $2T to clean energy. His infrastructure plan includes EV rebates and 500K electric vehicle chargers. He also unveiled a new target to slash US emissions by 2030. That could boost EV makers and clean energy companies.

Biden went big... His first 100 days brought the biggest step-change in the role of government since LBJ. While Biden ran as a centrist, his policies have been more left-leaning than expected. But it's TBD what he'll be able to achieve with Dems’ slim majority in Congress. The infrastructure bill may not fly — ditto for the tax hikes. Going forward, we'll see if these could pass without GOP support. Also top of mind: whether stricter regulation could hit Big Tech and finance.

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