Sherwood
Wednesday Apr.17, 2019

Apple & Qualcomm agree to disagree

_First-degree iPhone obsession. You're all guilty_
_First-degree iPhone obsession. You're all guilty_

Hey Snackers,

Yes, it's International Haiku Day:

So many earnings,

Nasdaq reached eight-thousand points,

Round numbers are nice.

Settle

Qualcomm wins estimated $3B/year from Apple

The treaty of Vers-iPhone... Apple announced a legal truce Tuesday with Qualcomm. The patent lawsuit courtroom drama is over. Then it shockingly defined the relationship, announcing they're biz partners. Again. Qualcomm shares hulked out, surging 23% on news they'll supply iPhones once again.

Designed in California. Made in China. Litigated everywhere... The relationship between Apple and Qualcomm is swinging back to love after previous love/hate chapters:

  • 2007 - 2016: Qualcomm provided Apple bits of hardware that helped iPhones destroy BlackBerry, Motorola, Nokia, and a million other now-obsolete gadgets.
  • 2016 - 2019: Apple ditched Qualcomm for Intel. Qualcomm went on a suing rampage, claiming Apple whispered its secrets into Intel's ear and profited off its patented tech.
  • Yesterday: Apple settled — It's paying Qualcomm an undisclosed amount for past misdeeds. And it's switching back to Q for iPhone modems. Lawyers aren't thrilled.
  • The next six years (with option to extend for two more): Based on our rough calculations, that'll add $3B-$5B annually in sales for Qualcomm (that's a big, big deal).

Qualcomm's leverage = 5G... The San Diego-based chip-maker is one of just a few making chips needed for the new 5G network. Intel is reportedly behind (you can't round up from 4.5G), and China's Huawei was labeled a national security threat. Apple needs Qualcomm.

PS: Right after the deal, Intel announced it's done with 5G. That's one way to rebound from getting broken up with by Apple.

Subscribe

Walmart's first subscription box: it's for kids

Fancy new onesie... Got it from Walmart, which just partnered with KidBox to launch its 1st subscription box for clothes. But it's for kids and "borrows" heavily from Stitch Fix's core business model: Fill out online personality/style quiz, then Walmart's human/algorithm stylists choose/send you clothing.

  • The price: 4-5 items per box, $48 per box (Walmart says that's 1/2 the retail price of the bundle).
  • The "Kid Quiz": Awkwardly select if your toddler is "City Cool," "Modern Casual," or one of their other kid types.

Your kids' dept. was this tall the last time I saw you!... The $203B kids clothing industry is growing faster than adult-wear. And the opportunity is even bigger because Gymboree and Toys 'R' Us recently went bankrupt, leaving toddlers with no fashion direction. It's not just Walmart jumping in:

  • Target's new kids line did $2B in sales in its first year.
  • Rent-The-Runway announced a kids line this month, and Stitch Fix's began last year.
  • Gap just tried a kids subscription box, but failed 😰.

"Subscription" isn't a defensible advantage... Birchbox created the subscription box concept 9 years ago. Blue Apron ran with it in meal kits. Both are now struggling as competitors jump in because launching subscription services doesn't require a major investment. Now Walmart (and even Amazon) boast algorithm-focused fashion subscriptions. Stitch Fix is on notice.

Merge

That big T-Mobile & Sprint merger will reportedly be denied

You don't have my blessing... That's the word from the Dept. of Justice regarding T-Mobile and Sprint's planned merger, which was announced almost 1 year ago. According to the Wall Street Journal, the reason it's likely to get blocked is that combining the #3 and #4 wireless companies would threaten competition.

Like you and your S.O. post-move-in... Sprint and T-Mobile want to get on one plan to save costs. Merging would also pool resources so they could build out a 5G network (they've been repeating that argument to China-phobic politicians). But they'll also be under less pressure to offer low prices to customers. And antitrust laws aren't cool with that last part.

Wireless investors want this merger to happen... which is a reason why customers probably shouldn't. With less competition, big companies can set prices higher — Customers pay more, companies take more profits. And word that the deal's in jeopardy hit shares of the top four wireless companies, even though T-Mobile's CEO called the report "simply untrue":

  1. Verizon ⬇️1%
  2. AT&T ⬇️1%
  3. T-Mobile ⬇️4%
  4. Sprint ⬇️8%

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Bigger: Netflix reveals it added 9.6M subscribers last quarter and downplays Disney+ concerns
  • Fancy: Sequential Brands is selling Martha Stewart for $175M — and that rises to $215M if certain "goals" are met
  • Green: Aurora Cannabis jumps 4% on hemp acquisition and a survey showing Americans want legalization
  • Warm: Microsoft implements firm-wide carbon fee to lead on climate change
  • Fuel: Oil is on a 6-week win streak. This is what it means for stocks

Wednesday

Got this Snacks from a friend? Sign up for the daily newsletter here.

Disclosure: An author of this Snacks owns stock of Amazon

Get Your News

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Latest Stories

339% raise

Call it the Undertaker bump: Endeavor and TKO Group CEO Ari Emanuel got a hefty raise after helming the $9.3B merger between UFC and WWE.

According to The Hollywood Reporter, Emanuel pulled in $84M last year, a 339% raise from 2022. Emanuel made $1,184 to every $1 Endeavor’s median employee made.

Still, it doesn’t compare to Emanuel’s $308M Endeavor pay package from 2021 — before he was this guy’s boss — which was mostly thanks to a restricted stock grant.

Go Deeper with Market Depth

Nasdaq TotalView powers the need-to-know data serious investors rely on.

Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia

Disney has its worst day in a year

The House of Mouse got some rough reviews Tuesday after it reported a small Q1 loss of $20 million, while emphasizing that it reduced red ink in its costly streaming unit from $659 million in Q1 2023 to $18 million. Still, a loss is a loss. Shortly after the start of trading, Disney was having its worst day in a year.

power

US spies get their own gen AI “divorced” from the internet

Spies are just like us: they want generative AI to do their work for them. And now, thanks to Microsoft, which developed a gen-AI model for US intelligence agencies, they can. Uniquely, the model doesn’t run on the internet, where it could potentially leak sensitive information.

US spies can now use this GPT4-based model to analyze large amounts of classified data and presumably sound like a self-assured high-school report in their communications.

Of course it’s possible they're also inheriting many of gen AI’s less intelligent problems, like hallucinations and factual inaccuracies.

Of course it’s possible they're also inheriting many of gen AI’s less intelligent problems, like hallucinations and factual inaccuracies.

tech

Apple betting its chips on AI for servers

We finally have a look at one of Apple’s long-awaited AI plays: the development of a chip to run AI software in data centers, codenamed Project ACDC or Apple Chips in Data Center. Whether this is enough to bring the iPhone maker up to speed with its Big Tech rivals in the AI space remains to be seen, but its stock is up on the news.

Your inbox is ready

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

tech

Gamers are still buying the Switch console in their millions, as its successor appears on the horizon

Sales of the 7-year-old Switch console are holding up better than Nintendo expected, as the Japanese company reported shifting 15.7 million units of the display-diverse device in the 12 months to March 2024, beating its own predictions.

More importantly, however, Nintendo finally gave something of update on the Switch’s successor, which is now set to be announced in the coming fiscal year.

Although Switch sales have stayed surprisingly strong... they’re still falling, highlighting how difficult the business of game hardware can be. You need a new hit every 7-10 years, as sales typically peak 3-5 years after release before dropping sharply. That slowdown is beginning to flow through to Nintendo’s bottom line, with the company forecasting a ~40% annual drop in profit this year, per CNBC. The Switch sequel, whatever it looks like, has some big shoes to fill.

Nintendo console sales

More importantly, however, Nintendo finally gave something of update on the Switch’s successor, which is now set to be announced in the coming fiscal year.

Although Switch sales have stayed surprisingly strong... they’re still falling, highlighting how difficult the business of game hardware can be. You need a new hit every 7-10 years, as sales typically peak 3-5 years after release before dropping sharply. That slowdown is beginning to flow through to Nintendo’s bottom line, with the company forecasting a ~40% annual drop in profit this year, per CNBC. The Switch sequel, whatever it looks like, has some big shoes to fill.

Nintendo console sales
tech

Apple's big “ad” business is mostly cashing their $20B check from Google

In what was mostly a disappointing earnings report with declining iPhones sales, Apple was quick to point out that its services segment notched record revenue. Advertising, the company keeps saying, is helping drive those services numbers.

But Business Insider’s Peter Kafka reports Apple’s ad business isn’t what normal people think of when they think of ads.

While Apple does have a more traditional ads business, there’s a huge “third-party licensing arrangement" it tucks into its ad revenue line. In 2022, Google paid Apple more than $20 billion to be the default search on iPhones and other Apple devices, according to antitrust documents.

Traditional ads make up about 6% of Apple's annual services revenue, while the Google deal brings in more than 20%.

While Apple does have a more traditional ads business, there’s a huge “third-party licensing arrangement" it tucks into its ad revenue line. In 2022, Google paid Apple more than $20 billion to be the default search on iPhones and other Apple devices, according to antitrust documents.

Traditional ads make up about 6% of Apple's annual services revenue, while the Google deal brings in more than 20%.

crypto

Robinhood Crypto joins other major exchanges as target of SEC Wells notice

Earlier today Robinhood Crypto said that it'd received a so-called Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission on May 4, suggesting the regulator may be prepping some sort of enforcement action against the retail trading giant. (Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media.)

The SEC has argued that many cryptocurrencies are securities, and should be regulated as such. Dan Gallagher, Robinhood’s chief legal, compliance, and corporate affairs officer, said in a statement that the company believes the assets listed on its crypto platform are not securities.

A Wells notice does not always precede an enforcement action, which Robinhood said in an 8-K could include an injunction, a cease-and desist order, or civil penalties (among other outcomes).

The market mostly brushed off the news, with Robinhood Markets, Inc. shares largely recovering after a brief morning slide.

The SEC has argued that many cryptocurrencies are securities, and should be regulated as such. Dan Gallagher, Robinhood’s chief legal, compliance, and corporate affairs officer, said in a statement that the company believes the assets listed on its crypto platform are not securities.

A Wells notice does not always precede an enforcement action, which Robinhood said in an 8-K could include an injunction, a cease-and desist order, or civil penalties (among other outcomes).

The market mostly brushed off the news, with Robinhood Markets, Inc. shares largely recovering after a brief morning slide.

tech

The Apple Watch gets FDA approval for use in clinical trials

The Apple Watch has bigger applications than your daily step count.

The FDA just approved the watch's heart monitoring tech for use in clinical trials, making it the first digital health gadget to be greenlit through its Medical Device Development Tools program.

Stats from the watch's atrial fibrillation (AFib) tracking tool can now be used in medical device clinical trial as a secondary source of data. It's a vote of confidence for the Apple Watch, which has been at the heart of lawsuits from several medtech companies.

Stats from the watch's atrial fibrillation (AFib) tracking tool can now be used in medical device clinical trial as a secondary source of data. It's a vote of confidence for the Apple Watch, which has been at the heart of lawsuits from several medtech companies.

$2M per minute

It’s something of a golden era for risk-avoidant investors who sock their cash into super-safe US government bonds.

Consider it the flip-side of the Fed’s unwillingness to deliver the rate cuts the stock market has so desperately sought.

In March, the US Treasury paid $89 billion in interest to holders of Federal government debt — the equivalent of $2 million per minute, according to Bloomberg, which added that CBO projects the Treasury will payout $327 billion in interest and dividends to individuals in 2024. That’s roughly double what it doled out a decade ago.

business

Nearly half of online orders required a real-life store to happen

Online shopping was supposed to lead to the death of physical stores but now it might be its savior. About 42% of e-commerce orders involved stores in 2023, according to reporting by the Wall Street Journal, as companies use stores for returns, shipping hubs and showrooms. That’s up from 27% in 2015. Indeed retailers are set to open more stores than they close this year.