Wednesday May.05, 2021

💰 Move over, Bitcoin

_"Take a seat, Bitcoin... Ethereum is back" [Simon D. Warren/The Image Bank via Getty Images]_
_"Take a seat, Bitcoin... Ethereum is back" [Simon D. Warren/The Image Bank via Getty Images]_

Hey Snackers,

Happy Cinco de Mayo. Fun fact: 70% of Americans plan to celebrate Cinco de Mayo. Also: only 1 in 10 Americans know what Cinco de Mayo is about.

Yesterday, Treasury Secretary Yellen said the Fed might have to raise interest rates to keep the economy from overheating (if Biden's big spending plans are approved). Tech stocks plunged on the news. Then Yellen walked it back.

Vax

Pfizer delivers the first Covid vaccine profit — and it's likely just getting started

LinkedIn fodder... American pharma giant Pfizer has notched a few notable firsts: the first Covid vaccine authorized in the US, the first mRNA vaccine ever authorized for human use, and now... the first Covid vax profits. The Pfizer-BioNTech vax is also the most administered Covid vaccine in the US: 131M Americans have received Pfizer's shot, 109M got Moderna's, and ~8M got J&J's. And it shows...

  • $3.5B: Pfizer's Covid vax sales last quarter, nearly 25% of its total sales (and its biggest source of revenue). It splits vax sales with BioNTech.
  • $26B: Pfizer's expected vax sales this year, up from its previous estimate of $15B. That's nearly 40% of its forecasted total sales.
  • $900M: Pfizer's estimated pretax vaccine profit last quarter. Unlike J&J and AstraZeneca, Pfizer and Moderna aren't forgoing vax profits.

Zoom out... Some countries have vaccinated large swaths of their populations (the US has vaxed 44%, and Israel has vaxed 60%). But globally, Covid cases are still rising. India and Brazil now account for half of new cases. India, where cases just crossed 20M, is suffering a shortage of vaccines, oxygen, and hospital beds. Brazil is setting death toll records, and its healthcare system is collapsing.

  • The Pfizer vax is becoming more available around the globe, but it's mostly reaching wealthy countries — which, as of mid-April, had secured ~87% of the doses distributed worldwide.
  • There's been some vaccine "comparison shopping," with some on TikTok and other apps touting the Pfizer vaccine as a "status vax." That could help Pfizer's brand, but may promote a negative/false public health perception. See: CDC guidelines.

This is just the beginning... of Pfizer's vaccine journey (and its windfall). Experts are saying annual vax booster shots will likely be required. Pfizer is already making moves to deliver more shots: it's testing a third dose, and is working to make its vax easier to store, which could boost global distribution. It's also trying to fast-track vax authorization in India, and for 12- to 15-year-olds in the US. And it plans to file for the first full FDA approval this month, which would allow it to market the vax directly to consumers.

ETH

Ethereum rallies to a record, stealing Bitcoin's spotlight: we're talking crypto applications

Satoshi is shaking... In January, Bitcoin made up 70% of total crypto value — yesterday, Bitcoin's share of crypto market cap fell below 50%. That's partly thanks to Ethereum (technically: Ether), the second-largest cryptocurrency. Ether hit a record $3.4K yesterday, and has rallied ~300% this year. Like Bitcoin, Ether is traded as a digital currency. But it has key differences...

  • No cap... Literally. Unlike Bitcoin, which is capped at 21M coins, Ethereum currently has no total supply limit.
  • App-focus: Ether powers Ethereum, a blockchain technology that developers use to build "decentralized apps" (#dapps).

dapps = real term... Similar to how iOS and Android are used to build smartphone apps, Ethereum's platform is used to build dapps. Unlike Instagram or PayPal, these decentralized apps aren't controlled by a single authority. Instead of living on Facebook's servers, a decentralized app could be hosted across thousands of computers across the world. When you upload a YouTube video, it's stored on Google's servers and Google can take it down. With Ethereum, control is decentralized.

  • DeFine: Ether's rally has been attributed in part to a growing number of developers building "decentralized finance" (DeFi) apps on Ethereum.
  • DeFi: DeFi apps go beyond just buying/selling crypto. They replace financial "middlemen" like banks and credit card companies, to facilitate direct loans and other transactions with Ether.

Crypto mainstreamification is going beyond coins.... The crypto spotlight has expanded from Bitcoin to other coins like Ether and Doge. But there's also growing excitement about the applications of crypto and blockchain tech (like: DeFi apps). NFTs, the collectible digital assets that have gone viral recently, mostly live on the Ethereum blockchain. Also: The European Investment Bank just issued $120M worth of bonds on the Ethereum network.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Vaxed: President Biden will reallocate vax doses to states with higher demand, targeting for 70% of adults to have at least one shot by July 4.
  • Taxed: Wealthy families could face tax rates of up to 61% on inherited wealth under President Biden’s tax plan.
  • Lyfted: Lyft showed signs of recovery last quarter, with sales jumping 7% from the previous quarter. It also snagged more riders than expected.
  • Protect: Demand for Under Armour's sports apparel is roaring back as shoppers return to (real) stores — sales jumped 35% last quarter.
  • Stay: Hyatt's quarterly loss widened as people staycationed, but it says demand is picking up as vaccines roll out.

Wednesday

  • Earnings expected from Etsy, PayPal, GM, Twilio, Hilton, Hyatt, Wynn Resorts, Booking, Fox, Scotts Miracle-Gro, and Zynga
  • Jessica Alba's Honest Co expected to IPO

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Moderna

ID: 1634624

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Crypto

Worldcoin pivots to the blockchain… with a 'humans only' discount

Worldcoin, the “proof of personhood” crypto project launched by OpenAI’s Sam Altman, said it plans to launch its own ethereum layer-2 (L2) blockchain dubbed World Chain. The pitch: a blockchain where it’s both easier and cheaper for people to transact than bots.

Worldcoin has made waves for its iris-scanning metallic orb that promises a future where people can mathematically prove they’re real humans and not AI bots.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

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Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
Business

Smooth sailing? Not for superyachts

Sales of the luxury boats sank 17% last year. Meanwhile, Super-SUPER yachts (over 650 feet long) took the biggest sales dip, falling around 40%. Part of the problem: a pandemic-era backlog has led to a three- to four-year waitlist for new yacht orders. Meanwhile Russian oligarchs — former MVP customers — are largely out of the boat-buying business due to sanctions.

Dr Martens shares have been stomped

American sales of Docs have dropped

2024-04-17-ai-capabilities-site

AI is getting good at a lot of different tasks

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Business

The monkey’s paw curls on endless shrimp

Red Lobster’s shrimp promotions may have contributed to jumbo problems for the company.

The seafood chain is considering a bankruptcy filing to deal with cash flow problems, Bloomberg reports.

Red Lobster has been weighed down by pricey leases and labor costs, but it’s important to remember that it also blamed an $11M operating loss last fall in part on too many people going crustacean-mode on its Ultimate Endless Shrimp deal.

“The proportion of the people selecting this promotion was much higher compared to expectation,” said Red Lobster owner (and seafood supplier) Thai Union Group last year. The chain bumped the price of infinite shrimp by 25%, but Lobsterfest and Cheddar Bay Biscuits may not be enough to save it from Chapter 11.

“The proportion of the people selecting this promotion was much higher compared to expectation,” said Red Lobster owner (and seafood supplier) Thai Union Group last year. The chain bumped the price of infinite shrimp by 25%, but Lobsterfest and Cheddar Bay Biscuits may not be enough to save it from Chapter 11.

Power

Elon Musk’s car company pays for Elon Musk’s security company

Elon Musk is a rich man who owns a lot of companies. One way he keeps those companies and himself rich is by making his companies support his other companies. Left pocket, meet right.

TechCrunch’s Sean O’Kane dug into Tesla’s latest annual proxy statement to find out the value of these relationships.

Musk’s Tesla bought ads on Musk’s X, aka Twitter, to the tune of $200,000 just through February this year. Tesla also paid X another $200,000 this year and a million in 2023 for “commercial, consulting and support agreements.” Musk’s SpaceX has also advertised on X, presumably helping prop up some of the budget the company has lost from non-Musk advertisers Musk seems hell-bent on driving away. Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s SpaceX $800,000 to use a private jet and paid Musk’s The Boring Company more than a million dollars for “commercial agreements.”

It also turns out that Musk owns a security company, whose job it is to protect Musk. Naturally Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s security company nearly $3 million since entering into a service agreement in December 2023. Apparently that represents just a “portion of the total cost of security services concerning Elon Musk,” so presumably Musk’s other companies will be left to foot the rest of the bill.

Musk’s Tesla bought ads on Musk’s X, aka Twitter, to the tune of $200,000 just through February this year. Tesla also paid X another $200,000 this year and a million in 2023 for “commercial, consulting and support agreements.” Musk’s SpaceX has also advertised on X, presumably helping prop up some of the budget the company has lost from non-Musk advertisers Musk seems hell-bent on driving away. Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s SpaceX $800,000 to use a private jet and paid Musk’s The Boring Company more than a million dollars for “commercial agreements.”

It also turns out that Musk owns a security company, whose job it is to protect Musk. Naturally Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s security company nearly $3 million since entering into a service agreement in December 2023. Apparently that represents just a “portion of the total cost of security services concerning Elon Musk,” so presumably Musk’s other companies will be left to foot the rest of the bill.

Tech

A social app, but it’s just voice notes on 2X speed

Airchat is basically X meets Clubhouse, and Silicon Valley types are all over it. The social app consists of a feed of audio snippets that plays continuously on 2X speed until you press pause. The speed makes sense: chugging a cold brew and plowing through podcasts on 2X speed is a rite of passage for modern multitaskers.

A surge of new users joined Airchat over the weekend, joining entrepreneur Gary Vaynerchuk and Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan.

If users don’t want to inhale voice notes at hyper speed, there is a somewhat hidden way to adjust Airchat’s cadence, but it’s an intriguing feature. User-generated audio has struggled to break out of a niche, so targeting the personality that wants to listen to a podcast at twice the speed is one way to make the user experience more efficient.

A surge of new users joined Airchat over the weekend, joining entrepreneur Gary Vaynerchuk and Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan.

If users don’t want to inhale voice notes at hyper speed, there is a somewhat hidden way to adjust Airchat’s cadence, but it’s an intriguing feature. User-generated audio has struggled to break out of a niche, so targeting the personality that wants to listen to a podcast at twice the speed is one way to make the user experience more efficient.

0.5%

Crypto investors greeted Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission's conditional approval of three spot bitcoin and ether ETFs yesterday with excitement, hoping the move would spur another bitcoin bull run like the one that followed the SEC’s approval of spot bitcoin ETFs in the US.

But an ETF expert told Fortune that he expects the impact to be “nickels and dimes compared to the US,” explaining that China’s ban on crypto products means that the new ETF will take in around only $500M to $1B — or just 0.5% to 1% of the total ETF market.

Markets

The long, brutal winter may finally be over for the IPO market

IPOs hit record highs in 2021 then hit the brakes, slowing down massively through 2023. But following last month’s successful public debuts of AI startup Astera Labs and social platform Reddit, a flurry of tech companies filed their S-1s.

Two highly-hyped startups are expected to hit public markets as soon as this week. Microsoft-backed data-security software co Rubrik is said to be looking to raise $700M and its AI adjacency adds to its investor appeal, though the company is not profitable. Rubrik’s sales pitch claims that advancements in AI could make its cybersecurity software more necessary and already works with Oracle and Amazon.

The other company expected to IPO this week is a profitable unicorn: Ibotta, a platform that gives users cash back and other rewards for online purchases. The Walmart-funded startup said it turned a profit of $38M last year and is targeting a $2.5B valuation when it goes public. 

Ibotta and Rubrik could warm markets up for a hot IPO summer: event ticket marketplace StubHub is reportedly looking to go public this summer at a whopping $16.5B valuation.