Friday Jun.10, 2022

🏌️ Golf feud

Who said golf was boring? (Steven Paston/PA Images via Getty Images)
Who said golf was boring? (Steven Paston/PA Images via Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

This had better not be a viral “Stranger Things” tie-in: employees at Texas’ Amarillo Zoo are asking the public to help identify a “coyote-like” creature spotted lurking near the park last month. Thing is, coyotes don’t usually walk on two feet

Stocks fell again, with the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq dropping about 2% apiece, as investors prep this morning’s inflation data for May. Overseas, the EU’s central bank is turning hawkish, planning the first rate hike in 11 years as rising inflation weighs on its economy.

Bogey

The PGA Tour tees off against its new Saudi-funded rival by suspending top golfers, and throwing the game into chaos

Golfers, scratched… A huge controversy just teed off in pro golf. Yesterday the PGA Tour suspended 17 golfers, including major champs Phil Mickelson and Dustin Johnson, for competing in rival LIV Golf’s first tournament (now underway in London). The PGA also told remaining members they’d get booted if they left, driving a sand wedge between the sport’s most bankable stars:

  • Out of the club: LIV paid Mickelson and Johnson (the second- and third-highest earning PGA golfers ever) $200M and $125M, respectively, to join. That’s more than top-earning Tiger Woods has made playing golf in his career.
  • Loyalists: Tiger reportedly declined a nearly $1B offer to join LIV, while top pros Rory McIlroy and reigning PGA champ Justin Thomas have committed to stay with the PGA.

Money talks… Saudi Arabia’s government funded the LIV with $400M, which led to accusations that the country is “sportswashing,” or using golf to boost its global image, despite a dismal human-rights record. With that kind of cash in play, the nonprofit PGA Tour could have trouble competing:

  • Bigger prizes: LIV’s offering more prize money than the PGA Championship (which happens once a year) for each of its 10 scheduled tourneys this year.
  • Guaranteed payouts: Unlike PGA tournaments, where dozens of golfers return home empty-handed, every LIV golfer gets prize $$.

You can’t just buy superstars… You also need buy-in from their fans. Unlike other upstart sports leagues (think: the XFL), LIV has essentially bottomless financial resources. But so far it’s spending more cash on golfers than fans: the only places to watch Mickelson tee off today is online, since LIV hasn’t found a TV network partner yet. If LIV doesn’t make it easier for fans to follow, it could fail, despite its huge pile of cash and long list of stars.

Play

Microsoft will let gamers stream without a console, raising questions about the future of Xbox

“Call of Duty” tourney… from the cloud. Gamers will soon be able to play Microsoft's hottest console games without the console. Later this month, video-game lovers in 27 countries can play hits like “Halo” and “Minecraft” through Microsoft’s new Xbox smart-TV app. Samsung's newest line of connected TVs will be the first to offer the app, with other TV makers to follow.

  • The setup: easy. Users only need a “Game Pass” membership and a certain controller to connect and play.
  • The pay-off: Microsoft wants to focus on gaming efforts that allow them to “deliver Xbox Cloud Gaming to more players” worldwide.

Sold out everywhere... Xbox sales are trailing rivals like Sony’s PS5 and Nintendo’s Switch, despite Microsoft’s growing share of the gaming-console pie. Last year Xbox sales jumped 92% from 2020, on the back of its new Series X model release. The problem: supply-chain snags have made it harder (and more expensive) to buy nearly any popular gaming console. Now Microsoft’s betting its extensive video-game library (cue: $70B Activision acquisition) will attract players with or without the hardware.

Ready, player one: In 2019 Google tried to enter the cloud-gaming market with its Stadia streaming service, but a lack of well-known content has made it a commercial flop and its multiplayer games a virtual desert.

Don’t count out cloud gaming just yet… Microsoft’s spending a record $69B for Activision because it knows the power of popular titles. If it can convince hardcore gamers that “Call of Duty” plays as well on the cloud as it does on a console, the Xbox’s days could be numbered. Not that Microsoft would necessarily mind: last year execs said that all Xboxes are sold at a loss.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Tap: Apple’s foray into buy now, pay later lending will be unique: the loans will be entirely funded from Apple’s own cash pile. The Fruit’s even set up its own subsidiary to handle credit checks.
  • Out: Disney abruptly fired Peter Rice, the Mouse’s most senior TV-content exec and a rumored successor to CEO Bob Chapek. Rice was reportedly an “ill fit” with Disney’s corporate culture.
  • Steer: Federal regulators are expanding their investigation into whether Tesla’s Autopilot tech poses a safety risk. The probe’s been escalated to “engineering analysis,” the last phase before a recall.
  • PDF: Shares of DocuSign plummeted 20% after the software company missed earnings expectations. DocuSign reported 25% sales growth, but that was overshadowed by a $27M loss for the quarter.
  • Stitched: Online styling service Stitch Fix is laying off 15% of its salaried workforce, the latest tech company to significantly cut headcount. Stitch Fix has been particularly hit by the slowdown in ecomm.

Friday

  • Consumer price index for May

Authors of this Snacks own: shares of Apple, Microsoft, Disney, Amazon, Tesla, and Google

ID: 2239844

Get Your News

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Latest Stories

Markets

Chipotle continues to go on a tear, hitting a sales record

Hey it might not be the kind of AI stock investors are all hot and bothered over, but don’t sleep on the burrito business.

Chipotle posted much better-than-expected results on Wednesday, with sales rising 14% to a record $2.70B in the first quarter, which is like a billion additions of guac.

Profits jumped 23% to $359M.

Chipotle has quietly cruised higher over the last year. It’s up 63%, compared to the 24.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the 12 months through Wednesday’s close. Not bad for a rice-and-beans based business model.

Tech

Facebook had great earnings, the market hates it

Facebook reported impressive earnings. Record first-quarter revenue thanks to AI! Profit up 117% compared to a year earlier! But at the same time, its capital expenditures are going up and it’s expecting second quarter revenue potentially lower than analyst estimates. So in other words, the future doesn’t look as bright as the present.

All in all the stock is down more than 10%. (Basically the opposite of what happened with Tesla yesterday).

Business

Why Tesla investors are holding on to hope for a cheap car

Despite terrible earnings numbers last night — declining vehicle sales, disappointing revenue and profit, enormous spending — Tesla stock is up more than 10% as of midday. That’s a welcome move for the car company, that’s been among the worst performers this year in the S&P 500.

Why the about face?

While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

Go Deeper with Market Depth

Nasdaq TotalView powers the need-to-know data serious investors rely on.

Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
Job switchers and stayers

The FTC is banning non-compete clauses

Why that might make job switching even more lucrative

Your inbox is ready

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Culture

Not so Gucci

French luxury fashion conglomerate Kering has seen its shares fall ~10% in the last 24 hours after reporting that sales at its flagship brand Gucci had dropped 21% in its latest quarter.

Kering’s other brands, which include Yves Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga, fared slightly better — but the only real bright spot was the company’s eyewear division, where sales rose 24% (9% on a comparable basis).

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales
Business

The FTC vs. Big Handbag

The Federal Trade Commission has sued to block big tech, big grocery, big vacuum, and now, big… “affordable luxury handbag.”

Yesterday, the FTC sued to block Tapestry Inc’s $8.5B acquisition of Capri holdings. The agency is worried that a merger between Tapestry, which owns the Coach and Kate Spade brands, and Capri, which owns Michael Kors, would eliminate competition in the market.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

Tesla had a good ride, but the stock’s price destruction is historic

Few people have created as much value as Elon Musk. The iconoclastic entrepreneur took Tesla from a market capitalization of roughly $2 billion at the time of its IPO in 2010 to $1.2 trillion in early 2023. That’s a return of about 55,000%. Musk made a lot of people a lot of money.

On the other hand, Tesla shares are down nearly 60% since their all-time peak. The company has ceded ground in EVs, prompting a series of profit crushing price cuts to preserve market share. The cumulative loss in market value over that period is pushing $800 billion. Few corporate executives have presided over such a degree of value destruction.

And it could get worse, as people are bracing for an ugly update when Tesla reports after the close Tuesday.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/23/24

Smaller AI models are in

Tech companies that have long touted the enormity of their AI models are now saying size doesn’t always matter.

Microsoft is the latest tech company to introduce smaller AI models, as part of its Phi-3 tech family. Last week Meta released two smaller models of its AI Llama 3 and earlier this year Alphabet did the same. All are open sourcing these models to encourage wider adoption.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.