Wednesday Mar.16, 2022

🥤 Starbucks’ reusable push

Single-use plastic cups at a garbage dump outside Jakarta, Indonesia [John van Hasselt/Corbis via Getty Images]
Single-use plastic cups at a garbage dump outside Jakarta, Indonesia [John van Hasselt/Corbis via Getty Images]

Hey Snackers,

Transitory, we hardly knew ye. The Fed’s likely to hike interest rates by a quarter point today, the first in what’s expected to be several rate hikes this year to blunt rising inflation. Stocks jumped, while oil fell further below $100.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Zelensky is set to address Congress (virtually) today, while President Biden plans to fly to Brussels next week to meet with NATO and EU officials as the war continues.

Drip

Starbucks is phasing out its ubiquitous cups, in a sustainability push that’ll test consumer habits

BYOM… Time to dust off that old college mug before your next coffee run. Starbucks plans to phase out its signature paper and plastic cups over the next three years in a renewed effort to get customers to embrace reusables. Starbs goes through 7B disposable cups a year — which account for nearly a quarter of its global waste. Now the coffee giant is experimenting with ways to fix its garbage problem, while catering to eco-friendly investors:

  • Borrow-a-cup: One option would have customers paying a deposit to use a Starbs reusable tumbler or mug (they’ll have to bring it back when they’re done).
  • Bring-a-cup: Starbs is reviving the option for customers to use their personal mugs after a pandemic pause, and will expand it to drive-thru and mobile orders. Those now make up a combined 70% of US sales.

Frictionless frappuccinos… Starbucks has struggled to get people to change their daily rituals. In 2008, it pledged to have a quarter of customers drinking out of reusable cups by 2015 (didn’t happen). Now Starbs figures the best chance of success is a push that has minimal impact on people’s routines. For drive-thru, it could mean baristas pouring premade drinks at the window. Don’t like walking around with a mocha-stained tumbler? Cup-washing stations — like those bartenders use — are coming to some stores.

Starbs is putting skin in the sustainability game… Nearly all corporate sustainability initiatives fail. But Starbucks is investing real capital to try to make reusable cups stick. How much it costs is TBD. Starbs shares rose on its cup-cutting announcement, and ahead of today’s shareholder meeting. But they’re still down 30% in the past year as the latte icon contends with supply snags, rising costs, and labor issues.

Metal

AMC just bought a stake in a gold mine in a meme-ified push to diversify beyond movie theaters

Grab the popcorn… There’s a plot twist in AMC’s stock saga. The struggling theater chain has bought a 22% stake in a gold mine for $28M. FYI, the Nevada mine, Hycroft, went public through a SPAC in 2020 after financial trouble and bankruptcy. AMC stock rose 6%, and the Nevada mine, Hycroft, jumped 19% yesterday on news of the odd-coupling:

  • Making its case: AMC’s CEO compared Hycroft to AMC last year, saying the deal would help Hycroft solve its “severe and immediate liquidity issue.”
  • Staying viral: AMC’s “bold diversification move” (CEO’s words) could be a push to capture investor interest now that shares have nearly fallen to pre-2021 levels.

Roller coasters… Last year, AMC shares popped 12X and GameStop shares spiked 7X thanks partly to an influx of retail investors. Both companies used their juiced-up market caps to raise cash.

  • Step 1: Go to the market. AMC and GameStop each raised $1.6B+ via at-the-market (ATM) offerings last year. ATM offerings have become popular with some companies like Tesla and Hertz because they let them issue shares at (high) market prices, not (potentially lower) prices negotiated by institutional investors.
  • Step 2: Go shopping. AMC and GameStop have used that $$ to pay debts, invest in new crypto products, and — now — buy a gold mine.

AMC’s already converted some buzz into cash… Now it’s using that cash in even more experimental ways — e.g., acting kind of like a holding company. But it’s a long way from AMC’s core biz: movies, getting people to buy popcorn, and see them again. As for Hycroft, the mine’s looking to raise $500M through an ATM offering. TBD if that’ll work.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Stink: Researchers studying US sewage for signs of Covid are warning that cases are going back up after a post-Omicron lull. Sewage scanning has become a helpful (if messy) leading indicator of outbreaks.
  • Withdraw: Sarah Bloom Raskin pulled her nomination to be the Fed’s top banking regulator. Sen. Joe Manchin had signaled his opposition over Raskin’s views on climate change.
  • Globetrot: Ticket sales for domestic flights hit $6.6B last month as travel demand soared to pre-pandemic levels. Summer’s looking good for the airlines, but sky-high jet-fuel prices could scramble vacays.
  • Pump: Saudi Arabia is talking to China about pricing some oil sales in yuan. The Saudis have traded oil exclusively in USD since 1974, but the US-Saudi relationship has been unraveling.
  • Soar: Tesla hiked the prices of its entire EV lineup for the second time this month after Elon said inflation was hitting both Tesla and SpaceX. The cheapest Tesla, the Model 3, now starts at $47K.

Wednesday

  • Fed’s interest-rate decision
  • Earnings expected from: Pinduoduo, Cintas, MillerKnoll, Williams-Sonoma, and Lands' End

Authors of this Snacks own: shares of Starbucks, and Tesla

ID: 2082247

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There’s no big mystery here. War in the Mideast has pushed up oil prices, which will help keep inflation elevated. And annoyingly high price increases in March have already pushed the June Fed rate cuts the market was banking on farther into the uncertain future.

All that’s added up to higher interest rates and lower stock prices.

Tech

AI needs so much electricity that tech companies are getting into the energy business

To accommodate tech companies’ pivots to artificial intelligence, tech companies are increasingly investing in ways to power AI’s immense electricity needs.

Most recently, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman invested in Exowatt, a company using solar power to feed data centers, according to the Wall Street Journal.

That’s on the heals of OpenAI partner, Microsoft, working on getting approval for nuclear energy to help power its AI operations. Last year Amazon, which is a major investor in AI company Anthropic, said it invested in more than 100 renewable energy projects, making it the “world’s largest corporate purchaser of renewable energy for the fourth year in a row.”

This can all feel like a bit of spin, as these tech companies move the narrative toward their use of green energy rather than questioning whether they truly need to be consuming so much energy in the first place.

That’s on the heals of OpenAI partner, Microsoft, working on getting approval for nuclear energy to help power its AI operations. Last year Amazon, which is a major investor in AI company Anthropic, said it invested in more than 100 renewable energy projects, making it the “world’s largest corporate purchaser of renewable energy for the fourth year in a row.”

This can all feel like a bit of spin, as these tech companies move the narrative toward their use of green energy rather than questioning whether they truly need to be consuming so much energy in the first place.

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Business

What’s on your mind?

Meta is rolling out a new chatbot, Meta AI, to its 3 largest social media properties: Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp.

On Facebook the usual search bar for some users has been replaced with “Ask Meta AI anything” — a prompt that could give millions of people their first ever interaction with an AI chatbot.

Meta has been increasingly focused on AI ever since ChatGPT exploded into the mainstream in late 2022. In earnings calls, the focus has never been clearer: Facebook execs made ~10x more references to artificial intelligence than the Metaverse, the company’s previous primary focus which prompted its rebrand in October 2021.

Metaverse mentions

Meta has been increasingly focused on AI ever since ChatGPT exploded into the mainstream in late 2022. In earnings calls, the focus has never been clearer: Facebook execs made ~10x more references to artificial intelligence than the Metaverse, the company’s previous primary focus which prompted its rebrand in October 2021.

Metaverse mentions

When the chips are down

Super Micro Computer, which produces the kind of servers fueling the AI boom, declined to pre-announce earnings. This spooked investors and rattled the entire chips-producing sector. That sent Super Micro plunging 23%, and dragged down lots of their customers and suppliers down with it.

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World

Do you want to run the State Department of McDonald’s?

A couple of days ago, a tweet making fun at McDonald’s hiring a “Manager for Diplomatic Relations” went viral.

At first glance, the idea that McDonald’s, a burger franchise known for its double quarter pounders and perfectly salted fries, is expanding its diplomatic influence with policy makers in Foggy Bottom and the world at large sounds comical. But it’s actually crucial.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.