Hey Snackers,
We know — it's been wild out there. But when you get too worried, just remember: sometimes a lion on the loose is actually just a dog with a bad haircut.
All 3 major US stock indexes closed down over 7% for the market's worst day in over a decade — that includes a market-wide trading halt and a dramatic drop in oil prices. More context:
When you're not blaming coronavirus... blame oil. Oil prices plunged 24% Monday, hitting multi-year lows and notching their worst daily drop since 1991. US prices fell as much as 34% (that won't translate to lower gas prices as fast as we'd all like). The drama starts with OPEC, the powerhouse org of 14 oil-exporting countries:
But oil prices have been falling... because coronavirus has dented economic growth globally, causing the world to need less oil. So OPEC proposed a plan this weekend to cut production further in order to keep prices high. Now Russia and Saudi Arabia are the stars of a crude drama, worthy of its own reality show (Oiled and Spoiled? Sassy and Gassy?):
Terrible time for this beef... Oil demand is already low since coronavirus has slowed travel. Now, Russia and Saudi Arabia are in an oil-pumping contest to see who can drive prices even lower. This hurts the rapidly growing US shale industry (exactly Russia's goal). It's also bringing other sectors down — heavily-invested bank stocks are getting crushed. Long term though, lower oil prices benefit us car-drivers and many businesses.
15-minute meditation break sponsored by... the NYSE. On Monday morning, panicked investors — with coronavirus and plunging oil prices on their minds — unleashed a flood of stocks on the market. Just 5 little minutes into the trading day, the S&P 500 fell a stunning 7% on the selling frenzy. Then, there was silence: the drop triggered a circuit breaker that automatically halted trading across the entire market — for 15 minutes.
3 strikes, you're out... There are 3 levels of breakers, each with a different severity (think grade-school punishments):
Circuit breakers help prevent worst-case scenarios... They act as rational checks on emotional investors. The market stopped — not because it was broken — but because it was working (the pause eased the sell-off panic). The last market-wide halt happened in 1997 on "Bloody Monday." Since new breaker guidelines were implemented in 2013, the market has never triggered a 13% or 20% halt — a hopeful sign of its effectiveness.
It happened quietly... But it happened. We just found out that last year, Comcast-owned NBCUniversal sold its entire stake in Snap Inc — the Hollywood Reporter found the break-up note tucked away in a Comcast financial filing.
NBC has a new love interest... Streaming. And it's not just a fling. NBC has devoted over $2B to develop/launch its own streaming service, known as "Peacock". By dipping out of its Snap investment, NBC can splurge more on its own Millennial-friendly service. This drop the side-hustle, DIY-move could be a trend among content OGs:
Traditional media has a distribution problem... Think of media as a two-sided coin: content + distribution. A company can only be successful if it has both. NBC has spent 81 years racking up great content (cough, The Office) — but the way it traditionally distributes that content is shifting. It's main distribution channel (TV) is becoming outdated — that's why it's putting so much into its own streaming backbone.
Disclosure: Authors of this Snacks own shares of Disney, Twitter, and Amazon
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