Tuesday Jul.05, 2022

Tech’s Roe problem

Uncharted territory (Jasmin Merdan/Getty Images)
Uncharted territory (Jasmin Merdan/Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

Another tragic mass shooting marked this July Fourth: On Monday, a shooting at a parade in Highland Park, Illinois took the lives of six people and wounded more than two dozen. In the first half of this year, there have been an average of 11 mass shootings every week in the US. Our thoughts are with the victims’ loved ones, and everyone who has been impacted by gun violence.

In market news, stocks fell for the week. The S&P 500 lost 2.2%, after closing out its worst first half of the year since 1970. Consumer spending fell for the first time this year as inflation fatigue kicked in.

Policy

Privacy and moderation: After the Roe reversal, tech companies are grappling with how to handle abortion-related data and posts on their platforms

Big Tech in the spotlight... Since the US Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, a giant question mark looms over how tech companies will handle users’ abortion-related data and content on their platforms. (FYI: Nearly half of US states are expected to ban or limit abortion — and 13 already have.)

  • On the privacy side: People worry that authorities could subpoena data in states where abortion is outlawed, and use it as evidence in criminal cases.
  • On the moderation side: Some worry that platforms that ban posts promoting illegal activities (think: illicit drugs, violence) could also remove content promoting abortion access.
  • On the record: Meta, Twitter, TikTok, and Reddit have been mostly silent over how they’ll handle abortion-related data and posts. On Friday, Google said it would delete user location history for abortion-clinic visits.

Sensitive info... Each year, tech companies receive thousands of requests for user data from local, state, and federal law enforcement — and they typically comply with the vast majority of requests. Meanwhile, most big tech companies have policies outlining how they moderate illegal content.

  • Data: Officials in abortion cases could request info on everything from Facebook messages to Google location data to ovulation-kit purchases on Amazon. Period-tracking apps are already scrambling to anonymize user data over concerns it could be used in criminal cases.
  • Content: Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act protects tech companies from being held legally liable for content posted on their platforms. Still, they often remove content that violates their policies. Abortion could fall under policies banning illegal or violent content.

This could be tech's greatest social challenge... Tech behemoths have been vocal about supporting abortion access for their employees, with companies like Microsoft, Apple, Salesforce, and Uber saying they will (or already do) cover employee travel expenses for abortions. But it's unclear how these companies will handle the subject of abortion access when it comes to users — especially since they may have to comply with state laws. Last week President Biden said the US would protect women seeking abortions across state lines — but much hangs in the balance.

Zoom Out

Stories we’re watching...

Pill panic… Lots of people want Plan B. After SCOTUS struck down the federal right to abortion two weeks ago, many people stockpiled morning-after contraception pills like Plan B, fearing further limits to reproductive care. CVS, Rite Aid, Walmart, and Amazon even temporarily limited pill sales per person to prevent shortages. Generic morning-after pills are available online, but Plan B dominates the market thanks to exclusive deals with Target and Walmart. Plan B costs $50/pill, and the private-equity firms that own the drug earn profit margins as high as 85%.

Birkins on the blockchain… While the crypto crash continues, designer labels are using blockchain tech to combat the counterfeit biz — which lost them $98B worth of sales in 2017 alone. Last year, LVMH and Prada launched Aura, the first luxury-focused blockchain that creates digi-certificates for millions of items to ensure authenticity. Now the trackable tech is expanding beyond fashion: Mercedes-Benz and Hennessy joined the club this year. But the tech isn’t foolproof (and requires a good relationship with suppliers), so mainstream-ification could take a while.

Events

Coming up this week...

Waiting for the report card… All eyes are on the June jobs report, which drops Friday. In May we saw a fork emerge in the labor market as leisure, hospitality, and travel companies couldn’t hire fast enough, while tech companies downsized. On the plus side: nearly 95% of jobs lost to the pandemic have been filled, and unemployment’s low. Not-so-plus side: now that spending’s cooling and recession fears are heating up, job cuts are spreading beyond tech. Last week pharma giant Novartis and JPMorgan announced layoffs, with more cuts expected on Wall Street.

The economy’s gettin’ creaky… but business is runnin’ smoothly at WD-40. Sales of WD’s signature use-it-for-just-about-anything lubricating spray soared last year as people tackled DIY home projects. Then WD used its pandemic profits to grease its global wheels: sales and profits jumped last quarter despite dwindling home-improvement projects thanks to rising sales abroad. The lube legend still expects earnings to rise this year, despite sky-high prices for oil (a main WD-40 ingredient). We’ll see how smoothly things are running when WD reports Thursday.

ICYMI

Last week's highlights...

  • Ruled: As nearly half of US states move to restrict or ban abortion, big corporations are stepping in to offer employees financial support. Some are trying to be the “fourth branch” of government — but it may not pan out.
  • Coaled: SCOTUS also struck down an EPA plan to require power plants to cut emissions — a blow to environmental regulators and a boost for coal companies. The precedent could usher in an era of deregulation.
  • Sky: Rare-whiskey collections are selling for ludicrous prices at airport duty-free stores (think: $816K). Designer bags, watches, and collectibles are also appreciating as the wealthy invest in nontraditional assets.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Hype: Mobile gaming’s “hypercasual” genre is winning with simple concepts, from ASMR bubble-popping to digital fridge-stocking. But to keep users tapping (and watching ads) developers are starting to add complexity.
  • Unlike: Gen Z's embracing digital privacy and rejecting social media's "presentation culture." Discord and Tumblr have reaped the gains of distancing themselves from Insta's "personal brand" ethos.
  • Cash: Nearly one-third of the world’s global household wealth is held by Americans, and about three-fourths is held by the 10 richest countries. The top 1% of US households hold a third of the country’s household wealth.

This Week

  • Tuesday: National Graham Cracker Day
  • Wednesday: National Fried Chicken Day
  • Thursday: Weekly jobless claims. Earnings expected from Levi Strauss, Helen of Troy, and WD-40
  • Friday: Monthly employment data

Authors of this Snacks own: shares of Google, Apple, Microsoft, Uber, Walmart, Amazon, Twitter, and CVS

ID: 2272215

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World

Do you want to run the State Department of McDonald’s?

A couple of days ago, a tweet making fun at McDonald’s hiring a “Manager for Diplomatic Relations” went viral.

At first glance, the idea that McDonald’s, a burger franchise known for its double quarter pounders and perfectly salted fries, is expanding its diplomatic influence with policy makers in Foggy Bottom and the world at large sounds comical. But it’s actually crucial.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

Nuke stocks up on AI excitement

For most of humanity, the thought of “nuclear-powered AI” sends a shiver down the spine. But the stock market is all for it! Just check out the list of top performing S&P 500 stocks this year. Just behind established AI plays — Super Micro Computer and Nvidia, you’ll find Constellation Energy, the largest operator of nuclear plants in the U.S. NRG Energy, which also operates nuclear plants, isn’t far behind. Bloomberg reports that CEO of power distributor Exelon — which spun off Constellation in 2022 — says in the Chicago area alone, AI could drive a 900% jump in demand for energy from data centers.

Tech

China makes Apple remove WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram from app store

In its latest move to restrict foreign tech, Beijing has ordered Apple to remove a number of popular messaging apps from its app store there, including WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram.

These apps had only been available through VPNs but were popular nonetheless, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

Business

Tesla's recall reveals just how bad Cybertruck delivery numbers have been

Thanks to a recall of Tesla’s Cybertrucks, we now know how many of them have actually been delivered: 3,878 since the EV company began releasing them to customers in November.

In its third and fourth quarter earnings report, Tesla said that its current Cybertruck production capacity was greater than 125,000 a year. Musk had previously said he expected to produce 250,000 Cybertrucks a year by 2025.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

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Markets

Cocoa hits $11,000

Cocoa prices are breaking records on an almost daily basis — with cocoa futures closing at (another) all-time high of $11,020 per metric ton yesterday.

That’s up 158% since the start of the year, and over 4x on the typical prices seen in 2022 — as crop production continues to fall short of demand.

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices
Power

World out of balance: It costs the US 3¢ to make 1 penny

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For the record, that’s the 18th straight year the penny’s face value has been below production costs, fueling calls for abolishing the lowest value denomination coin. Canada started to phase out the penny in 2013, joining Australia, Brazil, Finland, New Zealand, Norway, and Israel, according to Smithsonian Magazine.

3.07¢
Business
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Netflix is going to stop sharing subscriber numbers

After posting subscriber numbers that beat expectations today, Netflix says it’s no longer going to share those numbers starting in the first quarter of 2025. That’s a big deal since subscriber numbers have long been one of the main metrics that investors have looked at.

“In our early days, when we had little revenue or profit, membership growth was a strong indicator of our future potential,” its shareholders letter read. “But now we’re generating very substantial profit and free cash flow.” The company said that it will focus on revenue and operating margin as its main financial metrics, while it will look at time spent on the platform to gauge customer satisfaction.

Another way to read this? They’ve hit market saturation and just aren’t going to be growing that much anymore, and they thought they’d end on a good note. Going forward they’re focusing on how to get more money out of the customers they do have.

They’re doing so by cracking down on password sharing and charging for extra members. They’re also pushing people to ad tiers, which are more profitable than non-ad tiers.

“Scaling ads to become a more meaningful contributor to our business in ‘25 and beyond,” Netflix said.

Netflix’s ads membership grew another 65% in Q1 over the previous one, after rising 70% the quarter before, and 40% of signups in ad markets continue to be for those ad plans.