Thursday Sep.16, 2021

🖼 Canva's big $40B

_The world is your canvas [Westend61 via GettyImages]_
_The world is your canvas [Westend61 via GettyImages]_

Hey Snackers,

Lots of startup ideas sound like: "The Uber for..." "The Facebook of..." This one has no parallel: Colossal raised $15M to bring the woolly mammoth back to life from extinction.

Stocks rebounded yesterday with their best daily gain in two weeks, as oil and the energy sector rallied.

BTW: We know some of you aren't snacking today. Happy New Year and an easy fast to Snackers observing Yom Kippur!

Tap

Design startup Canva notches a massive $40B valuation in the era of "tap-onomics"

Presentation deck looking like a Picasso... Sydney-based startup Canva wants to make graphic design accessible to non-design pros. You might've used it to create snazzy flyers, Insta carousels, and that presentation you forgot was due yesterday. Those DIY design templates just helped Canva raise $200M at a whopping $40B valuation, up from $15B barely five months ago.

  • The big $40B: With its new valuation, Canva is now the world’s most valuable female-founded and female-led startup — and the world's fifth-most valuable private startup.

Like a blank Bob Ross canvas... Canva went 0 to 60 real quick. CEO Melanie Perkins and her team launched Canva as a free product in 2013, and eventually introduced "freemium" and enterprise layers. Canva now has:

  • 60M monthly users across 190 countries, double what it had just over a year ago. And it's not just individuals looking for design help...
  • 500K+ teams pay for Canva, including corporate giants like Salesforce, Marriott, PayPal, and American. In 2019, Canva said 85% of Fortune 500 companies use it.
  • $1B: Canva has been doubling its revenue each year, and is expected to exceed $1B in annualized revenue by the end of 2021.

Canva is fuel for the era of “Tap-anomics”... We've gone from in-store shopping, to Instagram shopping. During the pandemic, corporate America realized the importance of tap-ability: the number of "taps" companies receive is closely related to their posts' aesthetic. Companies don't need to hire a million pro designers — they just need professional-looking designs that are easy for employees to collab on. That simplicity helped Canva notch its eye-watering valuation.

R1T

Rivian is the first to bring an e-pickup to market — but the truck wars are just beginning

Sorry, Elon… Earlier this week, Rivian produced the first electric truck that will actually end up in customers’ driveways — competitors like Tesla, Ford, and GM merely unveiled prototypes. The e-truck startup has raised $10.5B+ from investors including Amazon and Ford, and is seeking to go public at an $80B valuation. The deets on its R1T pickup:

  • Fully charged: The R1T has a range of 314 miles per charge and starts at $68K — a longer range, but higher price tag than most upcoming e-trucks.
  • Fully stocked: R1Ts come with off road-ready air compressors, built-in drink coolers, 11K pound towing capacity, and tailgates that can be lifted via app — bound to impress at any MIT tailgate.
  • Ready to roll: R1Ts trucks are now certified for sale in all 50 states. Rivian expects deliveries to start this month.

A truckload of competition… Some analysts expect the e-truck industry will more than double between 2020 and 2026. Large automakers like Ford, GM, and Tesla have spent years developing smaller EVs. But by staying laser-focused on trucks, Rivian crossed the e-truck finish line first. Others are expected to follow:

  • Tesla expects to start production of its $40K Cybertruck in 2022.
  • Lordstown plans for limited production of its $55K Endurance this month.
  • GM says production of its $113K Hummer EV will begin later this fall.
  • Ford hopes to start producing its $40K all-electric F-150 Lightning in 2022. The non-electric version has been America’s top-selling vehicle for 39 years straight.

Trucks could be the real EV ambassadors… America may be the home of the brave, but it’s also the land of the F-150. Pickup trucks accounted for half of the US auto industry’s top 10 best-selling vehicles last year, and the three best-sellers were all pickups. The best bet for automakers to pull Americans into an EV future could be towing them there... with e-pickups. If the US builds as many EV charging stations as Biden hopes, the success of e-truck makers may come down to pricing, timing, and range.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Vax: President Biden met with the CEOs of giants like Disney, Microsoft, and Walgreens to drum up support for employee vax mandates.
  • Macro: Microsoft will buy back $60B of its own stock in its largest-ever repurchase program.
  • Jibbitz: Crocs shares soared to a record after the ugly-chic icon said it expects sales to surge over $5B by 2026.
  • Robo: Ford, Walmart and self-driving startup Argo AI are teaming up to launch an autonomous vehicle delivery service.
  • UniTube: Spanish language TV giant Univision just made three of its networks available for streaming on YouTube TV.
  • Ace: Roger Federer-backed shoe company On is now valued at over $6B before it steps into its IPO.

Thursday

  • Jobless claims
  • National Guacamole Day

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Tesla, Ford, Disney, Walmart, Microsoft, and GM

ID: 1839045

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Latest Stories

Business

Netflix is going to stop sharing subscriber numbers

After posting subscriber numbers that beat expectations today, Netflix says it’s no longer going to share those numbers starting in the first quarter of 2025. That’s a big deal since subscriber numbers have long been one of the main metrics that investors have looked at.

“In our early days, when we had little revenue or profit, membership growth was a strong indicator of our future potential,” its shareholders letter read. “But now we’re generating very substantial profit and free cash flow.” The company said that it will focus on revenue and operating margin as its main financial metrics, while it will look at time spent on the platform to gauge customer satisfaction.

Another way to read this? They’ve hit market saturation and just aren’t going to be growing that much anymore, and they thought they’d end on a good note. Going forward they’re focusing on how to get more money out of the customers they do have.

They’re doing so by cracking down on password sharing and charging for extra members. They’re also pushing people to ad tiers, which are more profitable than non-ad tiers.

“Scaling ads to become a more meaningful contributor to our business in ‘25 and beyond,” Netflix said.

Netflix’s ads membership grew another 65% in Q1 over the previous one, after rising 70% the quarter before, and 40% of signups in ad markets continue to be for those ad plans.

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Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
3.07¢

The cost of producing the US penny rose 13% in fiscal 2023 to 3.07 cents. Yes, that means that Uncle Sam loses more than two cents for every cent it produces. (And no, you can’t make it up on volume.)

For the record, that’s the 18th-straight year the penny’s face value has been below production costs, fueling calls for abolishing the lowest value denomination coin. Canada started to phase out the penny in 2013, joining Australia, Brazil, Finland, New Zealand, Norway, and Israel, according to Smithsonian Magazine.

Tech

Meta’s not telling where it got its AI training data

Today Meta unleashed its ChatGPT competitor, Meta AI, across its apps and as a standalone. The company boasts that it is running on its latest, greatest AI model, Llama 3, which was trained on “data of the highest quality”! A dataset seven times larger than Llama2! And includes 4 times more code!

What is that training data? There the company is less loquacious.

Meta said the 15 trillion tokens on which its trained came from “publicly available sources.” Which sources? Meta told The Verge’s Alex Heath that it didn’t include Meta user data, but didn’t give much more in the way of specifics.

It did mention that it includes AI-generated data, or synthetic data: “we used Llama 2 to generate the training data for the text-quality classifiers that are powering Llama 3.” There are plenty of known issues with synthetic or AI-created data, foremost of which is that it can exacerbate existing issues with AI, because it’s liable to spit out a more concentrated version of any garbage it is ingesting.

AI companies are turning to such data because there’s not enough good, public data on the entire internet to train their increasingly greedy AI models. (Meta had reportedly floated buying a publisher like Simon & Schuster to satisfy its insatiable data needs.)

Meta, of course, isn’t the only company that’s tight-lipped about where its AI data is coming from. In a now infamous interview with WSJ’s Johanna Stern, OpenAI’s chief technology officer Mira Murati was unable to answer questions about what Sora, OpenAI’s video generating app, was trained on. YouTube? Facebook? Instagram — she said she wasn’t sure.

What is that training data? There the company is less loquacious.

Meta said the 15 trillion tokens on which its trained came from “publicly available sources.” Which sources? Meta told The Verge’s Alex Heath that it didn’t include Meta user data, but didn’t give much more in the way of specifics.

It did mention that it includes AI-generated data, or synthetic data: “we used Llama 2 to generate the training data for the text-quality classifiers that are powering Llama 3.” There are plenty of known issues with synthetic or AI-created data, foremost of which is that it can exacerbate existing issues with AI, because it’s liable to spit out a more concentrated version of any garbage it is ingesting.

AI companies are turning to such data because there’s not enough good, public data on the entire internet to train their increasingly greedy AI models. (Meta had reportedly floated buying a publisher like Simon & Schuster to satisfy its insatiable data needs.)

Meta, of course, isn’t the only company that’s tight-lipped about where its AI data is coming from. In a now infamous interview with WSJ’s Johanna Stern, OpenAI’s chief technology officer Mira Murati was unable to answer questions about what Sora, OpenAI’s video generating app, was trained on. YouTube? Facebook? Instagram — she said she wasn’t sure.

Today’s earnings: Who’s making money edition

Here are some some notable numbers out this morning, as earnings season gathers steam. Thursday’s main event will be Netflix after the close of trading. (Keep an eye on its advertising business.) But until then...

7.13%

The 30-year fixed rate mortgage is back above 7%, according to weekly numbers from the Mortgage Bankers Association, the highest level in four months. High borrowing costs are creating havoc for would-be buyers, as affordability lingers at the low levels not seen consistently since the late 1980s.

Business

Amazon’s spy ops on rivals: shell companies, printed docs, and a fake Japanese streetwear brand

Some companies check out rivals’ websites, stores and public filings to stay abreast of the competition. Amazon made its own fake shell company and brands, transacted hundreds of thousands of dollars per year undercover on competitors’ platforms, and kept its intel operation a secret for nearly a decade even from others at Amazon, according to a fascinating investigation by the Wall Street Journal.

Working as a seller called Big River, a secret group of Amazon employees gained access to rival platforms, including Walmart, FedEx, and Alibaba. They used Big River email addresses and went to seller conferences as Big River employees. They even stayed hidden within Amazon itself. These employees would take screenshots of competitors’ systems that they would then show others at Amazon in person to avoid an email paper trail.

Perhaps most strange of all, the company created a fake Japanese streetwear brand called “Not So Ape” (clearly a play on A Bathing Ape) and continues to sell products from the brand on a Shopify store, presumably as an attempt to learn the inner workings of the shopping platform. Of course, copying is old hat for Amazon.

In meetings where they’d use this clandestine information to inform Amazon’s own business practices, the group resorted to literal paper. “[T]he team avoided distributing presentations electronically to Amazon executives. Instead, they printed the presentations and numbered the documents. Executives could look at the reports and take notes, but at the end of the meeting, team members collected the papers to ensure that they had all copies."

Working as a seller called Big River, a secret group of Amazon employees gained access to rival platforms, including Walmart, FedEx, and Alibaba. They used Big River email addresses and went to seller conferences as Big River employees. They even stayed hidden within Amazon itself. These employees would take screenshots of competitors’ systems that they would then show others at Amazon in person to avoid an email paper trail.

Perhaps most strange of all, the company created a fake Japanese streetwear brand called “Not So Ape” (clearly a play on A Bathing Ape) and continues to sell products from the brand on a Shopify store, presumably as an attempt to learn the inner workings of the shopping platform. Of course, copying is old hat for Amazon.

In meetings where they’d use this clandestine information to inform Amazon’s own business practices, the group resorted to literal paper. “[T]he team avoided distributing presentations electronically to Amazon executives. Instead, they printed the presentations and numbered the documents. Executives could look at the reports and take notes, but at the end of the meeting, team members collected the papers to ensure that they had all copies."

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Crypto
Jack Morse
4/17/24

Worldcoin pivots to the blockchain… with a 'humans only' discount

Worldcoin, the “proof of personhood” crypto project launched by OpenAI’s Sam Altman, said it plans to launch its own ethereum layer-2 (L2) blockchain dubbed World Chain. The pitch: a blockchain where it’s both easier and cheaper for people to transact than bots.

Worldcoin has made waves for its iris-scanning metallic orb that promises a future where people can mathematically prove they’re real humans and not AI bots.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

Business

Smooth sailing? Not for superyachts

Sales of the luxury boats sank 17% last year. Meanwhile, Super-SUPER yachts (over 650 feet long) took the biggest sales dip, falling around 40%. Part of the problem: a pandemic-era backlog has led to a three- to four-year waitlist for new yacht orders. Meanwhile Russian oligarchs — former MVP customers — are largely out of the boat-buying business due to sanctions.

Dr Martens shares have been stomped

American sales of Docs have dropped