Hey Snackers,
It’s day 12 of Russia’s war on Ukraine: Russian troops continue to advance toward Ukraine’s capital, Kyiv, and its main shipping port, Odessa. Many soldiers and civilians have been killed, including children, but the total number has been difficult to verify. At least 1M refugees have fled Ukraine so far.
In the US, stocks fell for the fourth week despite a stronger-than-expected February jobs report. Investors are worried that the war’s shock to energy markets could push prices even higher.
Low energy, high stakes... Western countries have piled on financial sanctions to punish Russia. One thing they haven’t touched: energy exports. Oil makes up a third of Russia’s economy, and the West is still buying its oil and gas. Here’s why:
Declaration of (energy) independence... So far, sanctions haven't slowed Russia's attack. But if the West stopped buying Russian fuel, it could crush Russia’s economy. The problem: the West can't sanction Russian energy without also crushing Europe’s supply. Germany, which is most dependent on Russia, said its lights “will go out.” In the US, gas prices could soar even higher. Cue:
Crisis moments accelerate change… as we saw during the pandemic. We’re still in the thick of this crisis, but one thing’s becoming clear: it could speed an energy revolution. Russia’s aggression is turning energy independence into a national-security imperative. Boosting renewable and nuclear energy can help get us there, but will take years of investment: fossil fuels still power 60% of the US’s electricity.
Grounded... The West is squeezing Russia's $19B airline industry as sanctions jolt the economy. Last week, European Airbus and American Boeing stopped supplying parts to Russian planes. Meanwhile, global ticket-booking firm Sabre cut off Aeroflot — Russia's national airline — crippling its ability to sell seats. Biden has banned Russian flights from entering US airspace, and US airlines are rerouting around Russia’s massive airspace. But travelers could pay the price: dodging Russia on long-haul flights (think: NYC to Seoul) eats up more jet fuel and could hike ticket prices.
The Great Wait is over… and your boss wants you to try the new office snacks. Meta, Wells Fargo, and Cisco are reopening offices this month after Delta and Omicron delays. Service workers never got the WFH experience, but most white-collar workers who did have little desire to go back to IRL offices: so companies are dangling revamped spaces to lure them. Dropbox ditched “offices” for open-concept “studios.” Another tactic: Google’s asking staff to come in three days a week, after giving everyone a $1.6K bonus. Companies expect most of their employees to be (partly) in offices by summer.
March Madness gets influencer-ized… Competition on the b-ball court is dribbling into competition in your Insta feed. Thanks to last year’s Supreme Court ruling, players can now earn $$ from sponsored posts during this month’s NCAA tourney. Some have already scored $2M sponsor deals. By “Selection Sunday,” you’ll see hundreds of college-hoop stars doing #sponcon for brands like Dunkin and Gatorade. It’s a slam dunk for female players, who typically have larger social followings: female NCAA players have raked in more sponsor cash than men.
Short circuit... Investors are looking for the next EV maker to take on Tesla, but production snafus and chip shortages are making it tough. China's EV leader, Nio, shipped 6K of its sleek Tron-esque cars last month, up 10% from a year ago, but behind its January deliveries. US-based Rivian, which went public in November, blamed #flation for jacking up the price of its preordered e-pickups by $20K (update: the company reversed it). We’ll see how the customer backlash and supply-chain snarls could hit the Tesla rivals when they report this week.
Authors of this Snacks own: Bitcoin and shares of Google, Amazon, Disney, and Tesla
ID: 2066824