Thursday Jan.27, 2022

🛻 Tesla’s truck trouble

Cybertruck’s Instagram vs. reality [Winslow Productions via Getty Images]
Cybertruck’s Instagram vs. reality [Winslow Productions via Getty Images]

Hey Snackers,

Turning up on a Tuesday? More like “tying knot.” Weekday weddings are on the rise as rescheduled parties lead to overbooked venues.

Stocks fell after another bumpy day of trading as investors continued digesting Wednesday’s news that the Fed may raise interest rates in March. New data showed that US GDP had its strongest full year of growth since 1984, but that growth was possible only because of the significant pandemic slowdown.

Truckin’

Tesla’s profits 9X’d last quarter, but supply issues are catching up with the electric disruptor

Still leading the charge… for now. Tesla rolled up with earnings yesterday, announcing that profits 9X’d last quarter from a year earlier. Tesla had said earlier this month that its car deliveries nearly doubled in 2021 to almost 1M. Still, the stock dipped yesterday after Tesla warned of ongoing production challenges. Investors also have their eye on competition, which is heating up:

  • Tesla’s EV market share dropped from 80% to 66% last year as GM, Ford, and Volkswagen increased EV sales. Analysts expect VW to sell more EVs than Tesla by 2025, but also predict Tesla’s profits will still be higher.

Elon time coming… Last year, Tesla dodged chip-shortage challenges that plagued rivals like GM by diversifying suppliers, making its own parts, and even removing parts from some models. But yesterday Tesla said supply problems are now its “main limiting factor.”

  • Stuck: Tesla was supposed to start pumping out Cybertrucks last year, but earlier this month postponed the ETA to 2023, citing supply issues.
  • Unstuck: EV rival Rivian has already started delivering its electric trucks, and Ford’s electric F-150s are expected to hit roads this year.

Tesla’s supercharged valuation “scale power”... and Cybertruck’s traffic jam prove that scaling isn’t always easy. Tesla became more valuable than its five largest competitors combined by creating demand for electric cars — and making its own seem more like caviar than granola. But to continue succeeding it needs to scale production to match rivals like Toyota and VW, which crank out 10X as many cars annually. To that end, Tesla plans to open new Giga-factories this year in Texas and Germany. But VW, Ford, GM, and Lucid also plan to invest $20B+ in US EV plants in the next few years.

Frozen

Mattel wins back the right to make Disney princess dolls, in a deal that shows intellectual property is queen

Elsa’s back in her castle… but not in Arendelle. Six years ago, Mattel lost the rights to make and sell Disney princess dolls to rival Hasbro (aka: America’s #1 toymaker). Yesterday, Mattel finally got the lucrative princesses back — and Mattel shares spiked as much as 11% on the announcement. But winning back Jasmine, Ariel, and Moana was no royal carriage ride:

  • A whole new world: Mattel’s princess partnership started in 1996 and quickly became a profit puppy, especially after the addition of Frozen’s Elsa in 2013.
  • Frozen out: Mattel sold $440M worth of Disney princesses in 2015. Then, a year later, it lost them (#LetItGo). Since then, Mattel has changed CEOs four times.

Barbie’s dream makeover… After losing its profit princesses, Mattel doubled down on its Barbie biz, which was struggling from a sales slump. With the revamp came new, more diverse dolls (think: different skin tones, hair styles, and body types). It worked: Last year, Barbie sales jumped 87% in the first quarter, and it was named “Doll of the Year.” After witnessing Barbie’s comeback, Disney is putting Mattel in charge of its princesses once again.

Intellectual > property... Intellectual property can be worth more than the property itself, which is why Disney enjoys having others turn its characters into toys — for a big licensing fee. Disney loves being courted for its IP: The mouse controls which toys get bought through its movies, so the characters matter more than the plastic. That’s why Hasbro’s slice of the Disney pie also includes rights to “Star Wars” (see: Baby Yoda toy) and soon “Indiana Jones.” Meanwhile, Mattel has Disney’s “Toy Story” and “Pixar Cars.”

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Reverse: Intel stock jumped as much as 3% yesterday after European regulators reversed a $1.2B antitrust fine against the chipmaker based on claims it had tried to squeeze out competitors.
  • Bye: Spotify started pulling Neil Young’s music off its service, two days after the Rock and Roll Hall of Famer criticized the streamer for enabling the spread of Covid-vaccine misinformation through its exclusive Joe Rogan podcast.
  • Bonus: Bank of America said it’s giving out $1B of stock to all its employees, including tellers, in a push to retain flighty talent. The stock grants are reportedly worth multiples of last year’s bonuses.
  • Backfire: Amazon shut down an ambassador program that paid its warehouse workers to tweet positive things about their working conditions, the Financial Times reported. The program was roasted on social media.
  • Savage: Rihanna’s Savage X Fenty lingerie brand raised $125M in funding and opened its first store on the Las Vegas Strip. The company is now valued at $1.4B and plans to open 10 stores this year.

Thursday

  • Weekly jobless claims
  • Earnings expected from: Blackstone, Apple, Visa, Mastercard, Comcast, McDonald's, Altria, Sherwin-Williams, and Atlassian

Authors of this Snacks own: Bitcoin, and shares of Tesla, Disney, GM, Ford, Amazon, Apple, and Spotify

ID: 2010514

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Latest Stories

Crypto

Worldcoin pivots to the blockchain… with a 'humans only' discount

Worldcoin, the “proof of personhood” crypto project launched by OpenAI’s Sam Altman, said it plans to launch its own ethereum layer-2 (L2) blockchain dubbed World Chain. The pitch: a blockchain where it’s both easier and cheaper for people to transact than bots.

Worldcoin has made waves for its iris-scanning metallic orb that promises a future where people can mathematically prove they’re real humans and not AI bots.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

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Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
Business

Smooth sailing? Not for superyachts

Sales of the luxury boats sank 17% last year. Meanwhile, Super-SUPER yachts (over 650 feet long) took the biggest sales dip, falling around 40%. Part of the problem: a pandemic-era backlog has led to a three- to four-year waitlist for new yacht orders. Meanwhile Russian oligarchs — former MVP customers — are largely out of the boat-buying business due to sanctions.

Dr Martens shares have been stomped

American sales of Docs have dropped

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AI is getting good at a lot of different tasks

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Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Business

The monkey’s paw curls on endless shrimp

Red Lobster’s shrimp promotions may have contributed to jumbo problems for the company.

The seafood chain is considering a bankruptcy filing to deal with cash flow problems, Bloomberg reports.

Red Lobster has been weighed down by pricey leases and labor costs, but it’s important to remember that it also blamed an $11M operating loss last fall in part on too many people going crustacean-mode on its Ultimate Endless Shrimp deal.

“The proportion of the people selecting this promotion was much higher compared to expectation,” said Red Lobster owner (and seafood supplier) Thai Union Group last year. The chain bumped the price of infinite shrimp by 25%, but Lobsterfest and Cheddar Bay Biscuits may not be enough to save it from Chapter 11.

“The proportion of the people selecting this promotion was much higher compared to expectation,” said Red Lobster owner (and seafood supplier) Thai Union Group last year. The chain bumped the price of infinite shrimp by 25%, but Lobsterfest and Cheddar Bay Biscuits may not be enough to save it from Chapter 11.

Power

Elon Musk’s car company pays for Elon Musk’s security company

Elon Musk is a rich man who owns a lot of companies. One way he keeps those companies and himself rich is by making his companies support his other companies. Left pocket, meet right.

TechCrunch’s Sean O’Kane dug into Tesla’s latest annual proxy statement to find out the value of these relationships.

Musk’s Tesla bought ads on Musk’s X, aka Twitter, to the tune of $200,000 just through February this year. Tesla also paid X another $200,000 this year and a million in 2023 for “commercial, consulting and support agreements.” Musk’s SpaceX has also advertised on X, presumably helping prop up some of the budget the company has lost from non-Musk advertisers Musk seems hell-bent on driving away. Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s SpaceX $800,000 to use a private jet and paid Musk’s The Boring Company more than a million dollars for “commercial agreements.”

It also turns out that Musk owns a security company, whose job it is to protect Musk. Naturally Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s security company nearly $3 million since entering into a service agreement in December 2023. Apparently that represents just a “portion of the total cost of security services concerning Elon Musk,” so presumably Musk’s other companies will be left to foot the rest of the bill.

Musk’s Tesla bought ads on Musk’s X, aka Twitter, to the tune of $200,000 just through February this year. Tesla also paid X another $200,000 this year and a million in 2023 for “commercial, consulting and support agreements.” Musk’s SpaceX has also advertised on X, presumably helping prop up some of the budget the company has lost from non-Musk advertisers Musk seems hell-bent on driving away. Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s SpaceX $800,000 to use a private jet and paid Musk’s The Boring Company more than a million dollars for “commercial agreements.”

It also turns out that Musk owns a security company, whose job it is to protect Musk. Naturally Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s security company nearly $3 million since entering into a service agreement in December 2023. Apparently that represents just a “portion of the total cost of security services concerning Elon Musk,” so presumably Musk’s other companies will be left to foot the rest of the bill.

Tech

A social app, but it’s just voice notes on 2X speed

Airchat is basically X meets Clubhouse, and Silicon Valley types are all over it. The social app consists of a feed of audio snippets that plays continuously on 2X speed until you press pause. The speed makes sense: chugging a cold brew and plowing through podcasts on 2X speed is a rite of passage for modern multitaskers.

A surge of new users joined Airchat over the weekend, joining entrepreneur Gary Vaynerchuk and Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan.

If users don’t want to inhale voice notes at hyper speed, there is a somewhat hidden way to adjust Airchat’s cadence, but it’s an intriguing feature. User-generated audio has struggled to break out of a niche, so targeting the personality that wants to listen to a podcast at twice the speed is one way to make the user experience more efficient.

A surge of new users joined Airchat over the weekend, joining entrepreneur Gary Vaynerchuk and Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan.

If users don’t want to inhale voice notes at hyper speed, there is a somewhat hidden way to adjust Airchat’s cadence, but it’s an intriguing feature. User-generated audio has struggled to break out of a niche, so targeting the personality that wants to listen to a podcast at twice the speed is one way to make the user experience more efficient.

0.5%

Crypto investors greeted Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission's conditional approval of three spot bitcoin and ether ETFs yesterday with excitement, hoping the move would spur another bitcoin bull run like the one that followed the SEC’s approval of spot bitcoin ETFs in the US.

But an ETF expert told Fortune that he expects the impact to be “nickels and dimes compared to the US,” explaining that China’s ban on crypto products means that the new ETF will take in around only $500M to $1B — or just 0.5% to 1% of the total ETF market.

Markets

The long, brutal winter may finally be over for the IPO market

IPOs hit record highs in 2021 then hit the brakes, slowing down massively through 2023. But following last month’s successful public debuts of AI startup Astera Labs and social platform Reddit, a flurry of tech companies filed their S-1s.

Two highly-hyped startups are expected to hit public markets as soon as this week. Microsoft-backed data-security software co Rubrik is said to be looking to raise $700M and its AI adjacency adds to its investor appeal, though the company is not profitable. Rubrik’s sales pitch claims that advancements in AI could make its cybersecurity software more necessary and already works with Oracle and Amazon.

The other company expected to IPO this week is a profitable unicorn: Ibotta, a platform that gives users cash back and other rewards for online purchases. The Walmart-funded startup said it turned a profit of $38M last year and is targeting a $2.5B valuation when it goes public. 

Ibotta and Rubrik could warm markets up for a hot IPO summer: event ticket marketplace StubHub is reportedly looking to go public this summer at a whopping $16.5B valuation.