Tuesday Jan.21, 2020

♻️ Microsoft pulls a "carbon negative"

"_Anything you can do I can do better_"
"_Anything you can do I can do better_"

Hey Snackers,

Akon, the man behind 2000s classic "Smack That," is starting his own city in Senegal — and Akon City (actual name) will operate exclusively on his cryptocurrency (wait for it)... Akoin.

Markets popped last week to fresh record highs on the signing of the US-China phase 1 trade deal. Extra strong bank earnings didn't hurt either.

Sustain

Microsoft one-ups Amazon with its bold carbon-negative pledge

Hold my beer... That's Microsoft to tech rival Amazon. Microsoft's direct business has been carbon-neutral since 2012, but its supply chain hasn't. Now, the software giant's pledging for itself and all related factories and facilities to become carbon-negative by 2030. That means not only reducing emissions, but actively removing more carbon from the environment than it's emitting. Microsoft's environmental one-upsmanship in perspective:

  • 87 Companies worth a total $2.3T made a UN pledge to become carbon-neutral (aka, not adding any net carbon to the atmosphere) by 2050.
  • Amazon pledged to do it 10 years faster — carbon-neutral by 2040. Jeff Bezos said they'll get there with 100K electric delivery vans and investing in forest restoration.
  • Carbon Debt: Microsoft pledged not only to become carbon-negative by 2030, but to continue doing so until it paid back (i.e. removed) all the carbon it has ever emitted since 1975 (it hopes to do that by 2050). Mic (rosoft) drop.

America's Next Top Climate Model is... Consumers and investors have been rewarding environmentally-friendly companies. BlackRock, the world's largest investment manager (with $7T in hand), just said it'll focus on creating funds that invest in climate-friendly companies. While the products companies make are important, sometimes the way companies operate matters more.

Not just hot air (pun intended)... While these sustainability pledges are PR-boosters, it's not all talk. American companies' enviro-pledges require the purchase of tons of renewable energy — tech companies' data centers are huge electricity hogs. And that clean energy demand is why half of all corporate-sponsored wind and solar projects in the EU were built. Google-parent Alphabet bought enough wind and solar energy in 2019 to power about 500M European homes.

Highs

Who's up...

Money doesn't grow on trees... It grows on bank branches. Last week's big bank earnings validated both Wall Street's and Main street's economic booms. The biggest winner was JPMorgan Chase, which had the most profitable year of any American bank ever – $36B in profits was 12% growth from 2018. JPM is already the bank that 1/2 of Americans do business with, including the Chasers racking up travel/dining expenses on Sapphire Reserve cards.

Delta's updated resume... Beat quarterly profit expectations. Biggest strength? Not having any Boeing 737 Max planes, which will be grounded at least 15 months (through June) for rivals United, Southwest, and American. Besides Delta's incredibly lucky jet selection, strong travel demand and cheap(er) fuel are helping Delta's profits fly. And it saw success in steering travelers to pricier not-quite-first-class fares (Comfort+, Premium, Business).

Lows

...and who's down

Lost my appetite... How American meal-kit company Blue Apron felt after German rival HelloFresh remained America's most-used meal kit crafter. Despite shrinking overall meal kit demand, HelloFresh's simpler DIY-ish mealkits enjoy 1.5M customers, a stock that's up 250% in the last year, and profitability. Blue Apron's down under 400K customers now, with shares 96% lower than their IPO price and it's so far allergic to profits.

Hands off my wheels... Volkswagen, BMW, and Daimler felt pressure from China over Germany's prized auto industry. Fun Snackfact: Germany sells more cars to China than to any other country (including Germany). Not-so-fun: China wants its own tech giant Huawei to build out Germany's 5G wireless network. Even-less-fun: US officials suspect Huawei can be used by China's gov to spy on American/Euro communications. Now Germany's stuck between US pressure (and potential tariffs) and China's threat to drop the Audis and Mercedes purchases.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Think: How ancient philosophies like stoicism are still relevant to navigating life in 2020
  • Deny: Why many big streaming execs will never admit there's a Steaming War going on (some deny even being part of the conversation)
  • Royalties: The net worth of the British royal family and where it comes from (it's lower than you think)
  • Move: The world's 10 most liveable cities (spoiler: Vienna has taken the top spot for 2 years in a row)
  • Unreal: Why half the luxury skyscraper condo units in Manhattan that went on the market in the past 5 years are still unsold

This Week

Disclosure: Authors of this Snacks own shares of Microsoft, Amazon, and Volkswagen

ID: 1063652

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Latest Stories

Markets

Chipotle continues to go on a tear, hitting a sales record

Hey it might not be the kind of AI stock investors are all hot and bothered over, but don’t sleep on the burrito business.

Chipotle posted much better-than-expected results on Wednesday, with sales rising 14% to a record $2.70B in the first quarter, which is like a billion additions of guac.

Profits jumped 23% to $359M.

Chipotle has quietly cruised higher over the last year. It’s up 63%, compared to the 24.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the 12 months through Wednesday’s close. Not bad for a rice-and-beans based business model.

Tech

Facebook had great earnings, the market hates it

Facebook reported impressive earnings. Record first-quarter revenue thanks to AI! Profit up 117% compared to a year earlier! But at the same time, its capital expenditures are going up and it’s expecting second quarter revenue potentially lower than analyst estimates. So in other words, the future doesn’t look as bright as the present.

All in all the stock is down more than 10%. (Basically the opposite of what happened with Tesla yesterday).

Business

Why Tesla investors are holding on to hope for a cheap car

Despite terrible earnings numbers last night — declining vehicle sales, disappointing revenue and profit, enormous spending — Tesla stock is up more than 10% as of midday. That’s a welcome move for the car company, that’s been among the worst performers this year in the S&P 500.

Why the about face?

While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

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Culture

Not so Gucci

French luxury fashion conglomerate Kering has seen its shares fall ~10% in the last 24 hours after reporting that sales at its flagship brand Gucci had dropped 21% in its latest quarter.

Kering’s other brands, which include Yves Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga, fared slightly better — but the only real bright spot was the company’s eyewear division, where sales rose 24% (9% on a comparable basis).

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales
Business

The FTC vs. Big Handbag

The Federal Trade Commission has sued to block big tech, big grocery, big vacuum, and now, big… “affordable luxury handbag.”

Yesterday, the FTC sued to block Tapestry Inc’s $8.5B acquisition of Capri holdings. The agency is worried that a merger between Tapestry, which owns the Coach and Kate Spade brands, and Capri, which owns Michael Kors, would eliminate competition in the market.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

Tesla had a good ride, but the stock’s price destruction is historic

Few people have created as much value as Elon Musk. The iconoclastic entrepreneur took Tesla from a market capitalization of roughly $2 billion at the time of its IPO in 2010 to $1.2 trillion in early 2023. That’s a return of about 55,000%. Musk made a lot of people a lot of money.

On the other hand, Tesla shares are down nearly 60% since their all-time peak. The company has ceded ground in EVs, prompting a series of profit crushing price cuts to preserve market share. The cumulative loss in market value over that period is pushing $800 billion. Few corporate executives have presided over such a degree of value destruction.

And it could get worse, as people are bracing for an ugly update when Tesla reports after the close Tuesday.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/23/24

Smaller AI models are in

Tech companies that have long touted the enormity of their AI models are now saying size doesn’t always matter.

Microsoft is the latest tech company to introduce smaller AI models, as part of its Phi-3 tech family. Last week Meta released two smaller models of its AI Llama 3 and earlier this year Alphabet did the same. All are open sourcing these models to encourage wider adoption.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.