Wednesday Jul.29, 2020

🧽 Lysol does "Hygiene Consulting"

_The Hygiene Consultants have arrived_
_The Hygiene Consultants have arrived_

Hey Snackers,

Domino's is bored with all its corona-conomy delivery success, so it's branching out to more highbrow pursuits. The pizza legend is launching a film festival. We're expecting masterpieces like: Pizzablanca, Lawrence of Pepperoni, and Some like it Garlic Knot.

The market ticked down on some Big Tech stock drops. The Senate GOP revealed its new stimulus plan, which includes checks of up to $1.2K and an extra $200/week in bonus unemployment pay (the $600/week bonus ends this week). TBD whether it'll pass.

Sanitize

Lysol leverages its clean reputation to launch a hygiene consulting business

Crank out the case interview books... Reckitt Benckiser is the consumer packaged goods company that makes Lysol. Now Lysol sales have surged a lemon-scented 70% during the pandemic. To expand on its success, Lysol's launching a new business line:

  • The Deloitte of Hygiene: Lysol is offering its cleaning products and sanitizing expertise to the travel and hospitality industries. It's positioning itself as a hygiene expert.
  • Case study: With its sanitizing know-how, Lysol tells the Bellagio that the mini bar needs to be sprayed down exactly 57 times.

"Hygiene Consulting" could be big... Travel and hospitality have been decimated by the pandemic. Hotels and airlines know that the only way to get customers back is to make them feel safe. Instead of complimentary continental breakfast, hotels are touting obsessive cleanliness. Lysol has capitalized on that concern to bag some big corporate partners:

  • Hilton is partnering with Lysol, leaving a sticker on your bed that shows the room was cleaned according to "Lysol standards." Also: Lysol wipes everywhere.
  • Delta is working with Lysol to research and develop new protocols and disinfectants for flights, starting with the airplane lavatory. The cleaning routines will be Lysol-certified.
  • BTW: Lysol's not the only Hygiene Consultant. Clorox has been a hygiene partner for United Airlines since May.

The value of brand equity... AKA brand clout. Brand equity is the extra value companies can squeeze from our perception of their brand. It's the reason why people pay $160 for Apple AirPods instead of $50 for generic wireless buds. Lysol and Clorox probably aren't more effective than a rando sanitizer that kills 99.99% of germs, but their brands allow them to capitalize on reputation. Hotels and airlines think they can piggy-back off that, too.

Dance

Facebook will pay TikTok stars to post on Instagram Reels (its new TikTok knock-off)

5th degree Zucking... Facebook's perpetual MO to crush competitors: bring their most successful feature to Instagram. In 2016, FB essentially crushed Snap Stories by launching Instagram Stories. In 2018, FB tried to take on YouTube by intro'ing IGTV. In May 2020, FB threatened Amazon by shipping "Shops" for ecommerce on Insta. Then FB started obsessing over the fact that TikTok has been downloaded over 2B times. So...

  • FB will try to kill TikTok with its Reels feature on (you guessed it) Instagram. Reels, which is launching in the US in August, lets users make short vids with musical tracks (sounds promising).
  • Double whammy: For Chinese-owned TikTok, which has major trust issues. India just banned TikTok over security/spying concerns, and TikTok is facing political threats of the same fate in the US.
  • Triple whammy: FB announced Reels back in November, so that's an old whammy. The new whammy: FB is reportedly paying popular TikTok stars to leave TikTok and post on Reels, instead.

"Reel it in, I got a bag"... FB has the $$$ to not only nab TikTok's product, but also its content. According to the WSJ's infamous "people familiar with the matter" (#PFWTM):

  • Insta has made big offers to some of TikTok's top creators. The biggest $$$ goes to those who ditch the Tok completely and go Reels-exclusive.
  • FB hopes that these influencers will bring their millions of followers over to Reels. That's why TikTok just announced a $200M fund of its own to counter Facebook's courting and keep stars on TikTok.

Success breeds copycats... But not all copycats are created equal. FB isn't the only one trying to replicate TikTok features, and TikTok-style apps like Triller and Dubsmash were launched years before TikTok. Since these product ideas aren't something companies can patent, they're up for grabs when they launch. Companies in similar industries are always incorporating each others' successes. But because of their huge-ness, FB and other Big Techies are facing intense regulatory scrutiny (including by Congress today).

Defend

Kodak stock jumps 300% on a $765M loan from the US gov to make drugs

Dust off the 5th grade field trip prints... Kodak is back, baby. You might remember Kodak as the company that supplied disposable cameras for your early 2000s "Kodak moments" (don't forget to scroll wheel). Then iPhones took over and Kodak filed for bankruptcy in 2012. Now the 131-year-old former photo leader is back with a flashy headline:

  • Kodak is getting a $765M loan from the US government under the Defense Production Act. The DPA lets the US prez force companies to prioritize production of necessary resources in a national emergency.
  • But Kodak won't be printing out pics. It'll be cranking out ingredients for medical drugs.
  • The goal: Reduce the US' reliance on foreigners for drugs. Kodak stock jumped a whopping 300% on the news.

Definitely frame-able... This is the 1st loan of its kind under the DPA, which was used earlier this year to speed up production of masks and ventilators. The US is heavily reliant on China for pharma drugs, so this domestic loan is a way to protect the supply chain in case something goes South (because, 2020). For Kodak, it's a big business pivot:

  • Kodak's factories manufacture chemicals used in photographic film, among other things — now they're ramping up to produce drug ingredients.
  • Kodak now says it expects pharma ingredients will make up 30%-40% of its biz in the future (funny, because it didn't say a word about pharma in its last earnings).

To successfully pivot, companies need to zoom out... Kodak's walking away from its OG camera reputation to focus on the chemicals that underlie it. It doesn't want to be "the company that makes chemicals for camera stuff" — it wants to be "the company that makes chemicals for anything." When BlackBerry realized its phones were doomed, it focused on the underlying software — Now it’s developing secure software for self-driving cars.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • UnHappy Meal: McDonald's sales plunge 23% despite drive-thru fame — profits also tanked on corona-related spending.
  • Post-it: 3M posts a sales drop, despite a surge in demand for its N95 masks — school and office supplies (like Post-its and Scotch tape) aren't happening.
  • Frappy: Starbucks sales fall 40%, but it claims the pandemic worst is behind it.
  • Puff: Marlboro-maker Altria says cigarette smoking is making a comeback on e-cig restrictions and stimulus checks.
  • Exciting: Paint legend Sherwin-Williams saw "unprecedented" demand for its DIY paint products this quarter as you pimp your home.

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Wednesday

Disclosure: Authors of this Snacks own shares of Spotify and Shopify.

ID: 1277329

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Nicolai Tangen, the CEO who holds the purse strings of Norway’s $1.6 trillion sovereign wealth fund, thinks that his fellow Europeans don’t quite stack up to US employees when it comes to pure hustle, telling the Financial Times in a recent interview that there is a difference in “the general level of ambition” and thatthe Americans just work harder”. 

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Tangen has clearly been putting his money — or more specifically Norway’s — where his mouth is: the sprawling Norwegian oil fund, now one of the largest investors on the planet, has been pumping more capital into its US holdings in the past decade, while decreasing its investment into European entities.

The troublesome news for our European readers? Tangen might be onto something. According to data from the OECD, American workers are putting in almost 60 hours a year more than the weighted average for OECD nations… a benchmark that workers from countries in the European Union are already ~180 hours shy of.

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$70B

Alphabet shares are soaring in the after-market session, with a initial jump of more than 10% implying a gain of upwards of about $200B in market value when the stock opens tomorrow morning.

Google’s parent company crushed earnings expectations, initiated a cash dividend for the first time, and authorized a fresh $70B in share repurchases for good measure. The market likes it very much.

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Rani Molla
4/25/24

No, Apple hasn’t cut its Vision Pro production estimates in half

Quite a few news outlets are reporting that Apple thinks it’s only going to sell 400,000 to 450,000 Vision Pros in 2024, compared a “market consensus” of 700,000 to 800,000. They’re all citing a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

Obviously there’s no question that Apple’s $3,500 face computer will have a limited audience and could be a huge flop, but this also doesn’t seem like accurate news.

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

 Max Holloway and Mark Zuckerberg

Meta exhaustingly tries to merge the metaverse and AI

Gonna have to rename the company... again

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