Thursday Sep.23, 2021

🚐 Airbnb's travel-ution

_Airbnb review: 5 stars for location, 1 star for no microwave [Marco Bottigelli/Moment via GettyImages]_
_Airbnb review: 5 stars for location, 1 star for no microwave [Marco Bottigelli/Moment via GettyImages]_

Hey Snackers,

That "new car smell" doesn't just happen on its own. A team of trained noses sniffs your seat leather and steering wheel plastic to curate an intoxicating scent. It's an art.

Stocks bounced back yesterday, even though the Fed signaled it could begin reducing its economy-boosting bond purchases soon and raise interest rates as early as next year.

Bleisure

Airbnb's CEO is planning for a travel-ution — and it’s all about flexibility (and yurts)

Welcome to workationland... Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky predicts a revolution: a travel revolution. At a conference this week, Chesky said he expects the industry to bounce back bigger than ever. Chesky believes a “travel revolution” will usher in a new golden age of travel, that’s more free-style than pre-pandemic travel. What he expects:

  • Long stays: 50% of Airbnb stays are a week or more, and 20% exceed a month.
  • Loose plans: 40% of travelers don’t initially have a destination or date in mind when they visit Airbnb’s site.
  • Rural > urban: Rental occupancy in large US cities fell 11% this year from pre-pandemic levels, but increased 27% in rural areas.

You say you want a travel-ution… Airbnb is a comeback story of the corona-conomy. The rental icon lost 80% of its business when the pandemic hit. But it quickly embraced the work-from-home life and catered to changing travel trends. Since then, sales have rebounded to exceed pre-pandemic levels. How Airbnb’s ushering in the travel-ution:

  • “I’m Flexible” options let travelers go anywhere, anytime. Handy, since 70% of US companies will continue offering flexible and remote work.
  • Unique stays like boat houses, yurts, caves, and even shipping containers cater to adventure-hungry, couch-tired remote workers (#edgy).
  • Off-the-beaten-track options in rural allow travelers to stay socially distanced as part of Airbnb’s “Greatest Outdoors” campaign.
  • Online experiences, like a Mezcal & Tequila Cocktail Masterclass, give travelers Covid-safe options.

Revolutionize to thrive... is better than “adapt to survive.” Airbnb thrived during the pandemic by recognizing the “old” travel biz was gone, and quickly building new experiences for remote, Covid-conscious customers. But it’s harder for some travel companies to adapt: Despite a rebound in leisure trips, the airline biz is struggling. Business travel, which brings in 75% of airlines' profits, still isn't budging back.

Wedge

Princess Polly parent A.K.A Brands goes public as fast-fashion butts heads with sustainable trends

Square-toe heels out in public... Princess Polly just hit the US public market. You've probably seen Gen Z “microinfluencers” doing hauls of its clothes (#PollyHaul). The trendy online fashion boutique, owned by A.K.A Brands, is one of the first fast-fashionistas to hit Wall Street since ASOS. Like ultra-fast fashion giant Shein, A.K.A churns out 500 to 800 styles per week across its brands, which include Princess Polly, Petal & Pup, and Rebdolls. But A.K.A. shares fell 9% after their NYSE debut.

  • Used > new... Fast-fashion isn't so fashionable anymore. Recommerce and thrifting have been #thriving recently thanks to enviro-focused Zillennials.
  • Wild stat: The fashion industry is responsible for 10% of global carbon emissions — and fast-fashion is one of the worst offenders.

Recycled t-shirt bidding war... The ~$30B fast-fashion market is projected to grow 22% this year from 2020 – but younger consumers don't love the environmental price tag, and are willing to pay extra for more sustainable fashion. Now, fast-fashion brands are trying to hop on the green wave. Polly launched an "Earth Club" and started using "low-impact" clothing material, H&M plans to use 30% recycled materials by 2025, and UK-based BooHoo pledged to halve emissions by 2030.

Fashion isn't sustainable, but sustainability is fashionable.. On one end, we've got recommerce brands like ThredUp and Poshmark that have leaned in to green. On the other, brands like Shein and Forever21 are focused on constantly-changing trends — which requires churning out thousands of new items each day. Gen Z controls $140B+ in spending power, and 25% of GenZ'ers say their purchasing decisions are influenced by environmental impact. Fast-fashion may have to change to stay on trend.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Booted: Apple denied Epic Games' request to bring Fortnite back to the App Store, saying it won't reinstate Epic's developer account until their legal battle ends.
  • Amplify: Facebook's Zuck is getting heat for signing off on a proposed initiative which involved pushing positive news stories and ads about FB to users.
  • Vaxing: United Airlines has been accused of unlawfully denying employee exemptions to vaccine mandates, like religious and medical exemptions.
  • Primed: Amazon's upcoming physical department stores could feature high-tech dressing rooms, QR codes, and the Zon's own clothing brands.
  • Flated: Cheerios-maker General Mills says to expect higher prices as inflation and labor shortages continue to squeeze its operations.
  • Score: Chinese fintech giant Ant Financial, which has over 1B+ users, will fully share consumer credit data with the Chinese government.

Thursday

  • Jobless claims
  • Earnings expected from Nike, Accenture, Costco, Darden Restaurants, and Rite Aid

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Apple, Amazon, Netflix

ID: 1848112

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Latest Stories

$70B

Alphabet shares are soaring in the after-market session, with a initial jump of more than 10% implying a gain of upwards of about $200B in market value when the stock opens tomorrow morning.

Google’s parent company crushed earnings expectations, initiated a cash dividend for the first time, and authorized a fresh $70B in share repurchases for good measure. The market likes it very much.

Business

No, Apple hasn’t cut its Vision Pro production estimates in half

Quite a few news outlets are reporting that Apple thinks it’s only going to sell 400,000 to 450,000 Vision Pros in 2024, compared a “market consensus” of 700,000 to 800,000. They’re all citing a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

Obviously there’s no question that Apple’s $3,500 face computer will have a limited audience and could be a huge flop, but this also doesn’t seem like accurate news.

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

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Markets

Chipotle continues to go on a tear, hitting a sales record

Hey it might not be the kind of AI stock investors are all hot and bothered over, but don’t sleep on the burrito business.

Chipotle posted much better-than-expected results on Wednesday, with sales rising 14% to a record $2.70B in the first quarter, which is like a billion additions of guac.

Profits jumped 23% to $359M.

Chipotle has quietly cruised higher over the last year. It’s up 63%, compared to the 24.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the 12 months through Wednesday’s close. Not bad for a rice-and-beans based business model.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/24/24

Facebook had great earnings, the market hates it

Facebook reported impressive earnings. Record first-quarter revenue thanks to AI! Profit up 117% compared to a year earlier! But at the same time, its capital expenditures are going up and it’s expecting second quarter revenue potentially lower than analyst estimates. So in other words, the future doesn’t look as bright as the present.

All in all the stock is down more than 10%. (Basically the opposite of what happened with Tesla yesterday).

Business
Rani Molla
4/24/24

Why Tesla investors are holding on to hope for a cheap car

Despite terrible earnings numbers last night — declining vehicle sales, disappointing revenue and profit, enormous spending — Tesla stock is up more than 10% as of midday. That’s a welcome move for the car company, that’s been among the worst performers this year in the S&P 500.

Why the about face?

While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

Job switchers and stayers

The FTC is banning non-compete clauses

Why that might make job switching even more lucrative

Culture

Not so Gucci

French luxury fashion conglomerate Kering has seen its shares fall ~10% in the last 24 hours after reporting that sales at its flagship brand Gucci had dropped 21% in its latest quarter.

Kering’s other brands, which include Yves Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga, fared slightly better — but the only real bright spot was the company’s eyewear division, where sales rose 24% (9% on a comparable basis).

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales