Thursday May.12, 2022

⛰️ Inflation’s peak?

The dreaded dairy aisle (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)
The dreaded dairy aisle (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

It’s #WeddingSzn, and some people are really feline the love: a British woman just married her cat to stop her landlord from separating them. Weirdest honeymoon ever.

Stocks were back in tank mode after April’s inflation report showed prices continuing to come in hot (more on that in a sec). The techy Nasdaq dropped another 3%, and the Dow notched its fifth consecutive loss.

Flated

From flights to cheese, prices are still rising — and while inflation could be peaking, real relief looks distant

April showers bring... May's expensive water bill. We're checking in on our old frenemy, inflation. Consumer prices were up 8.3% in April from a year earlier. The pace of inflation slipped a bit from March, falling for the first time in eight months — but is still close to a 40-year high. The biggest culprits were food, plane tickets, and housing. Zooming in:

  • That bites: Food prices were up over 9% from a year ago. Dairy products jumped 2.5% from March alone, the category's largest monthly price gain since 2007. Milk is up 15% from April 2021, and your omelet isn't faring much better: eggs are +10% month over month.
  • Not fly: Your summer getaway’s making you sweat before you hit the beach. Airline fares were up a whopping 33% from a year ago, and soared 19% from March alone.
  • Lost steam: Not everything got more #flated. Energy and clothing prices fell from March to April, with gas dropping 6%. Don't get too pumped — that’s still up 44% year over year.

JFK to LAX... You know it's bad when $600 looks like a sweet deal. With stimulus gone, consumers are dipping into savings to support rising spending. The Fed’s hiked rates twice so far this year to tame prices, but April's data inspires little confidence that broad inflation is cooling. And despite the hot labor market, prices are rising faster than historically high wage gains.

Lower income = smaller runway… Americans with low incomes are the most sensitive to inflation because they have smaller cash reserves to meet elevated prices for necessities (think: $4.50 milk gallons and wild rent prices). While there are signs that inflation could be peaking, the real question is how long it’ll take to get back to “acceptable” levels. The longer it takes, the sooner savings will run dry.

Treehouse

Airbnb pulled off a pandemic turnaround for the ages — now it’s betting on a future with all-new travel habits

Sunbathing at a shepherd’s hut… welcome to the new age of great escapes. Airbnb has launched its biggest makeover in more than a decade, hoping you’ll ditch your spa getaway for an off-the-grid excursion. The revamp includes the ability to search by category, from castles to tiny homes, no specific destination required. Plus:

  • AirCover: Free travel protection with a 24/hr safety line, and a “get what you booked” guarantee. AKA: travel insurance.
  • Split stays: A frictionless way to split longer trips between two homes, intended to appeal to digital nomads.
  • “OMG” getaways: A new category highlighting IG-worthy stays, like an alien-themed glamping site in Joshua Tree (FYI: it’s booked solid till 2025).

Team meetings in Tahoe... Airbnb almost collapsed when Covid hit, cutting a quarter of its workforce as bookings fell off a cliff. But the rental giant staged a quick pivot — not to mention an IPO — recognizing that "old" travel was gone while creating experiences for remote safety-conscious customers. Bookings reached a record 102M last quarter, and nearly a quarter were long-term rentals. The company expects a strong summer travel season to keep fueling record sales.

  • Rental competition: Rival VRBO (owned by Expedia) also saw record bookings in the first quarter, and said half its customers were brand new.
  • 7 out of 10 Americans expect to travel this summer, though inflation could scramble some of those plans.

Flexibility and discoverability are the future of travel… and Airbnb has always had a built-in advantage for that future. Its revamp is intended to merge the things that customers love about the service (think: the whimsy of finding and staying in a treehouse) with the comforts of the traditional hotel experience (think: getting exactly what you pay for, and a refund if you don’t).

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Ears: Disney’s managed to avoid the Netflix curse: the Mouse House reported 7.9M new Disney+ subscribers last quarter, more than expected — and a long way from the Flix’s 200K loss. Shares popped 3% after hours.
  • Frunk: Rivian shareholders breathed a sigh of relief after the EV maker kept its annual production target of 25K cars despite ongoing supply issues. Riv’s quarterly loss came in a bit less than expected too.
  • Meltdown: The (not so) stablecoin UST continued its free fall, at one point trading as low as $0.30 after losing its dollar “peg” amid a crisis of crypto confidence. UST’s sister coin, luna, is down 97% in the turmoil.
  • Stock: Redbox, the DVD-rental service with a small on-demand arm, is being acquired by Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment. It’s a streaming play, with Chicken Soup looking to bulk up its Crackle service.
  • RTO: Or not. Just 8% of Manhattan office workers are back at their desks full time, a sign that employees in the US’s economic center are winning the hybrid-work battle with their bosses (at least for now).

Thursday

  • Weekly jobless claims.
  • Earnings expected from Alibaba, Toast, Affirm, WeWork, Mister Car Wash, Duolingo, Six Flags, Squarespace, Joby Aviation, and Canada Goose

Authors of this Snacks own: shares of Disney and Netflix

ID: 2198449

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Latest Stories

7.13%

The 30-year fixed rate mortgage is back above 7%, according to weekly numbers from the Mortgage Bankers Association, the highest level in four months. High borrowing costs are creating havoc for would-be buyers, as affordability lingers at the low levels not seen consistently since the late 1980s.

Business

Amazon’s spy ops on rivals: shell companies, printed docs, and a fake Japanese streetwear brand

Some companies check out rivals’ websites, stores and public filings to stay abreast of the competition. Amazon made its own fake shell company and brands, transacted hundreds of thousands of dollars per year undercover on competitors’ platforms, and kept its intel operation a secret for nearly a decade even from others at Amazon, according to a fascinating investigation by the Wall Street Journal.

Working as a seller called Big River, a secret group of Amazon employees gained access to rival platforms, including Walmart, FedEx, and Alibaba. They used Big River email addresses and went to seller conferences as Big River employees. They even stayed hidden within Amazon itself. These employees would take screenshots of competitors’ systems that they would then show others at Amazon in person to avoid an email paper trail.

Perhaps most strange of all, the company created a fake Japanese streetwear brand called “Not So Ape” (clearly a play on A Bathing Ape) and continues to sell products from the brand on a Shopify store, presumably as an attempt to learn the inner workings of the shopping platform. Of course, copying is old hat for Amazon.

In meetings where they’d use this clandestine information to inform Amazon’s own business practices, the group resorted to literal paper. “[T]he team avoided distributing presentations electronically to Amazon executives. Instead, they printed the presentations and numbered the documents. Executives could look at the reports and take notes, but at the end of the meeting, team members collected the papers to ensure that they had all copies."

Working as a seller called Big River, a secret group of Amazon employees gained access to rival platforms, including Walmart, FedEx, and Alibaba. They used Big River email addresses and went to seller conferences as Big River employees. They even stayed hidden within Amazon itself. These employees would take screenshots of competitors’ systems that they would then show others at Amazon in person to avoid an email paper trail.

Perhaps most strange of all, the company created a fake Japanese streetwear brand called “Not So Ape” (clearly a play on A Bathing Ape) and continues to sell products from the brand on a Shopify store, presumably as an attempt to learn the inner workings of the shopping platform. Of course, copying is old hat for Amazon.

In meetings where they’d use this clandestine information to inform Amazon’s own business practices, the group resorted to literal paper. “[T]he team avoided distributing presentations electronically to Amazon executives. Instead, they printed the presentations and numbered the documents. Executives could look at the reports and take notes, but at the end of the meeting, team members collected the papers to ensure that they had all copies."

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Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
Crypto

Worldcoin pivots to the blockchain… with a 'humans only' discount

Worldcoin, the “proof of personhood” crypto project launched by OpenAI’s Sam Altman, said it plans to launch its own ethereum layer-2 (L2) blockchain dubbed World Chain. The pitch: a blockchain where it’s both easier and cheaper for people to transact than bots.

Worldcoin has made waves for its iris-scanning metallic orb that promises a future where people can mathematically prove they’re real humans and not AI bots.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

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Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Business

Smooth sailing? Not for superyachts

Sales of the luxury boats sank 17% last year. Meanwhile, Super-SUPER yachts (over 650 feet long) took the biggest sales dip, falling around 40%. Part of the problem: a pandemic-era backlog has led to a three- to four-year waitlist for new yacht orders. Meanwhile Russian oligarchs — former MVP customers — are largely out of the boat-buying business due to sanctions.

Dr Martens shares have been stomped

American sales of Docs have dropped

2024-04-17-ai-capabilities-site

AI is getting good at a lot of different tasks

Business

The monkey’s paw curls on endless shrimp

Red Lobster’s shrimp promotions may have contributed to jumbo problems for the company.

The seafood chain is considering a bankruptcy filing to deal with cash flow problems, Bloomberg reports.

Red Lobster has been weighed down by pricey leases and labor costs, but it’s important to remember that it also blamed an $11M operating loss last fall in part on too many people going crustacean-mode on its Ultimate Endless Shrimp deal.

“The proportion of the people selecting this promotion was much higher compared to expectation,” said Red Lobster owner (and seafood supplier) Thai Union Group last year. The chain bumped the price of infinite shrimp by 25%, but Lobsterfest and Cheddar Bay Biscuits may not be enough to save it from Chapter 11.

“The proportion of the people selecting this promotion was much higher compared to expectation,” said Red Lobster owner (and seafood supplier) Thai Union Group last year. The chain bumped the price of infinite shrimp by 25%, but Lobsterfest and Cheddar Bay Biscuits may not be enough to save it from Chapter 11.

Power
Rani Molla
4/17/24

Elon Musk’s car company pays for Elon Musk’s security company

Elon Musk is a rich man who owns a lot of companies. One way he keeps those companies and himself rich is by making his companies support his other companies. Left pocket, meet right.

TechCrunch’s Sean O’Kane dug into Tesla’s latest annual proxy statement to find out the value of these relationships.

Musk’s Tesla bought ads on Musk’s X, aka Twitter, to the tune of $200,000 just through February this year. Tesla also paid X another $200,000 this year and a million in 2023 for “commercial, consulting and support agreements.” Musk’s SpaceX has also advertised on X, presumably helping prop up some of the budget the company has lost from non-Musk advertisers Musk seems hell-bent on driving away. Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s SpaceX $800,000 to use a private jet and paid Musk’s The Boring Company more than a million dollars for “commercial agreements.”

It also turns out that Musk owns a security company, whose job it is to protect Musk. Naturally Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s security company nearly $3 million since entering into a service agreement in December 2023. Apparently that represents just a “portion of the total cost of security services concerning Elon Musk,” so presumably Musk’s other companies will be left to foot the rest of the bill.

Musk’s Tesla bought ads on Musk’s X, aka Twitter, to the tune of $200,000 just through February this year. Tesla also paid X another $200,000 this year and a million in 2023 for “commercial, consulting and support agreements.” Musk’s SpaceX has also advertised on X, presumably helping prop up some of the budget the company has lost from non-Musk advertisers Musk seems hell-bent on driving away. Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s SpaceX $800,000 to use a private jet and paid Musk’s The Boring Company more than a million dollars for “commercial agreements.”

It also turns out that Musk owns a security company, whose job it is to protect Musk. Naturally Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s security company nearly $3 million since entering into a service agreement in December 2023. Apparently that represents just a “portion of the total cost of security services concerning Elon Musk,” so presumably Musk’s other companies will be left to foot the rest of the bill.

Tech

A social app, but it’s just voice notes on 2X speed

Airchat is basically X meets Clubhouse, and Silicon Valley types are all over it. The social app consists of a feed of audio snippets that plays continuously on 2X speed until you press pause. The speed makes sense: chugging a cold brew and plowing through podcasts on 2X speed is a rite of passage for modern multitaskers.

A surge of new users joined Airchat over the weekend, joining entrepreneur Gary Vaynerchuk and Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan.

If users don’t want to inhale voice notes at hyper speed, there is a somewhat hidden way to adjust Airchat’s cadence, but it’s an intriguing feature. User-generated audio has struggled to break out of a niche, so targeting the personality that wants to listen to a podcast at twice the speed is one way to make the user experience more efficient.

A surge of new users joined Airchat over the weekend, joining entrepreneur Gary Vaynerchuk and Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan.

If users don’t want to inhale voice notes at hyper speed, there is a somewhat hidden way to adjust Airchat’s cadence, but it’s an intriguing feature. User-generated audio has struggled to break out of a niche, so targeting the personality that wants to listen to a podcast at twice the speed is one way to make the user experience more efficient.