It’s Day 12… and there’s no sign of Shanghai’s lockdown lifting. Almost two weeks ago, China locked down its largest city and financial capital to contain its biggest Covid outbreak in two years. Since then, China’s zero-Covid policy has brought life to a halt for 26M people, virtually freezing one of the world’s most important manufacturing hubs.
Indefinite lockdown, definite damage… Shanghai accounts for 4% of China’s GDP and 10% of its exports, so the lockdown threatens to slow the entire country’s economy. But the rest of the world could be affected, too, since Shanghai is an industrial nerve center.
Supply struggles could speed the “decoupling”… of the West’s business ties with China. If a pandemic and a war didn’t persuade global businesses to strengthen their own supply chains, this Shanghai shutdown might. Chinese citizens have no choice but to obey their government and its robo-dogs. But multinational companies have options — and a growing list of reasons to reduce dependence on China.