Tuesday Jan.25, 2022

☕ Starbucks as an insurance perk

Auditioning to be the Taco Bell Business School mascot [Patricia Marroquin/Moment via Getty Images]
Auditioning to be the Taco Bell Business School mascot [Patricia Marroquin/Moment via Getty Images]

Hey Snackers,

Looking for a tomato-ey taste of what it’s like to be royal? Queen Elizabeth is said to be releasing a line of condiments, and a small bottle of Her Majesty’s ketchup could be yours for £7 ($9.50).

Stocks fell sharply and then rallied for the second afternoon in a row, but the Dow still closed slightly lower and the tech-heavy Nasdaq slumped 2.3%. Pfizer launched the first study testing an Omicron-specific vaccine in people, while the IMF cut this year’s global growth forecast as recovery slows in the US and China.

Grande

Insurance giants offer perks like Starbucks discounts and Prime subs for safe driving

Going 50 in a 30… Forget the free cold brew. Safe drivers can now earn discounts at Starbucks through a data-sharing deal between life insurer John Hancock and car insurer Allstate. Hancock customers already earn discounts on life insurance, Starbucks lattes, and Amazon Prime subs for making healthy lifestyle choices. Think: getting 10K steps in or eating kale. Now they’ll also get perks for driving safely.

  • Different datasets: Hancock uses health data from Apple Watches and Fitbits to inform life-insurance prices, and Allstate uses driving data from GPS systems to help set car-insurance prices.
  • But safer drivers don’t just crash less… they also live longer. That’s why Hancock is incentivizing its life-insurance customers to enroll in Allstate’s tracking program to earn rewards for not speeding.
  • Win-win: Both insurers hope to gain access to each other’s customers by giving them more ways to earn rewards.

Surveillan-surance… is becoming more popular as data collection gets easier. In 2018, Hancock became one of the first major US life insurers to use personal health data to set all its prices. Today many insurers like United Healthcare, Oscar Health, and CVS-owned Aetna also use interactive systems to track and reward customers for risk-reducing behaviors. Like: jogging or getting a mammogram.

There’s a trade-off between savings and privacy… Data-tracking programs let Hancock customers save money on insurance premiums and lattes. But those savings come at a cost — in some cases nearly constant surveillance. Critics of data-driven-pricing programs worry they could be problematic for other insurers too. Think: health insurers denying coverage to people with preexisting conditions. As connected devices increase, so will the prevalence of consumer data.

Crunch

Taco Bell opens a business school, because the most in-demand ingredient is retention

Welcome to Taco B-school... where an MBA comes with a CGC (Cheesy Gordita Crunch). Taco Bell is launching a business school for aspiring franchisees in partnership with the University of Louisville. The six-week boot camp will train existing Taco Bell managers on financing, HR, marketing, and other topics related to running a business. TB employees who are accepted will receive scholarships to cover tuition, plus some enviable Taco B-school swag.

  • Most of Taco Bell's 7K locations are franchised, aka: owned by ordinary people or orgs. Taco Bell sells the rights to use its brand (as long as the gorditas are crunchy, no one knows who owns it). Franchise owners give TB a cut of their sales.
  • The new program will be supported through the Yum Center for Global Franchise Excellence, which aims to unlock opportunities for underrepresented communities through education on the business of franchising.
  • KenTacoHut: TB's parent, Yum Brands, also owns KFC and Pizza Hut. Yum shares are up 18% over the past year as drive-thrus + fried foods = pandemic comfort.

Taco baseball cap... T-Bell isn't the only chain to start a school for employees: McDonald's Hamburger University has been training managers and franchisees for 60 years, and California staple In-N-Out runs a university for new managers.

  • While fast-food jobs are often seen as stepping-stones to other careers, TB wants to show restaurant leaders “how their careers could flourish” at Taco Bell.

There’s nothing tastier than retention… because internal marketing has never been more important. The Great Resignation is real: US job openings soared during the pandemic as workers quit for greener pastures, while employers dangled wage hikes and benefits like free college tuition to attract flighty labor. The restaurant industry still hasn’t recovered the 650K jobs lost early in the pandemic. Benefits like educational development could be the difference between shuttered chains and a thriving business.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Independent: Intel plans to build Earth’s largest chip manufacturing plant on US soil, as the global chip shortage continues disrupting supply chains and President Biden pushes for increased domestic production.
  • Sue-gle: Google was sued by four attorneys general over misleading users about when their locations were being tracked — while profiting from the alleged deception by using the data to fuel its ad biz.
  • Cron: American restaurants are asking Congress for more grant $$, as indoor dining has fallen since Omicron hit. The $28.6B in aid that lawmakers extended last year reportedly saved 900K jobs.
  • Crisis: As concerns mount over a Russian invasion of Ukraine, the US and EU are preparing to respond with sanctions. Since Europe conducts more trade with Russia, it would be hit harder economically than the US.
  • Depart: Kohl’s stock surged 36% yesterday as the struggling department store flirted with takeover offers from suitors. PE firm Sycamore is reportedly willing to pay a big premium on the shares.

Tuesday

  • Earnings expected from: Microsoft, Johnson & Johnson, Verizon, Texas Instruments, American Express, General Electric, 3M, Lockheed Martin, Capital One, and Alaska Air

Authors of this Snacks own: Bitcoin, and shares of Apple, Starbucks, CVS, Microsoft, and Google

ID: 2005618

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Latest Stories

Markets

Chipotle continues to go on a tear, hitting a sales record

Hey it might not be the kind of AI stock investors are all hot and bothered over, but don’t sleep on the burrito business.

Chipotle posted much better-than-expected results on Wednesday, with sales rising 14% to a record $2.70B in the first quarter, which is like a billion additions of guac.

Profits jumped 23% to $359M.

Chipotle has quietly cruised higher over the last year. It’s up 63%, compared to the 24.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the 12 months through Wednesday’s close. Not bad for a rice-and-beans based business model.

Tech

Facebook had great earnings, the market hates it

Facebook reported impressive earnings. Record first-quarter revenue thanks to AI! Profit up 117% compared to a year earlier! But at the same time, its capital expenditures are going up and it’s expecting second quarter revenue potentially lower than analyst estimates. So in other words, the future doesn’t look as bright as the present.

All in all the stock is down more than 10%. (Basically the opposite of what happened with Tesla yesterday).

Business

Why Tesla investors are holding on to hope for a cheap car

Despite terrible earnings numbers last night — declining vehicle sales, disappointing revenue and profit, enormous spending — Tesla stock is up more than 10% as of midday. That’s a welcome move for the car company, that’s been among the worst performers this year in the S&P 500.

Why the about face?

While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

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Culture

Not so Gucci

French luxury fashion conglomerate Kering has seen its shares fall ~10% in the last 24 hours after reporting that sales at its flagship brand Gucci had dropped 21% in its latest quarter.

Kering’s other brands, which include Yves Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga, fared slightly better — but the only real bright spot was the company’s eyewear division, where sales rose 24% (9% on a comparable basis).

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales
Business

The FTC vs. Big Handbag

The Federal Trade Commission has sued to block big tech, big grocery, big vacuum, and now, big… “affordable luxury handbag.”

Yesterday, the FTC sued to block Tapestry Inc’s $8.5B acquisition of Capri holdings. The agency is worried that a merger between Tapestry, which owns the Coach and Kate Spade brands, and Capri, which owns Michael Kors, would eliminate competition in the market.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

Tesla had a good ride, but the stock’s price destruction is historic

Few people have created as much value as Elon Musk. The iconoclastic entrepreneur took Tesla from a market capitalization of roughly $2 billion at the time of its IPO in 2010 to $1.2 trillion in early 2023. That’s a return of about 55,000%. Musk made a lot of people a lot of money.

On the other hand, Tesla shares are down nearly 60% since their all-time peak. The company has ceded ground in EVs, prompting a series of profit crushing price cuts to preserve market share. The cumulative loss in market value over that period is pushing $800 billion. Few corporate executives have presided over such a degree of value destruction.

And it could get worse, as people are bracing for an ugly update when Tesla reports after the close Tuesday.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/23/24

Smaller AI models are in

Tech companies that have long touted the enormity of their AI models are now saying size doesn’t always matter.

Microsoft is the latest tech company to introduce smaller AI models, as part of its Phi-3 tech family. Last week Meta released two smaller models of its AI Llama 3 and earlier this year Alphabet did the same. All are open sourcing these models to encourage wider adoption.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.