Wednesday Sep.15, 2021

🍎 Apple's new(ish) gadgets

_It's a bigger battery [Klaus Vedfelt/DigitalVision via GettyImages]_
_It's a bigger battery [Klaus Vedfelt/DigitalVision via GettyImages]_

Hey Snackers,

It’s not often a whole month kicks off mid-month… In honor of Hispanic Heritage Month, we'll be featuring SnackFacts at the intersection of culture, business, and the economy. Have a fact to share? Submit here.

Stocks slipped again yesterday, despite word that prices rose at a slower-than-expected pace in August. Tonight, SpaceX's historic civilian-only flight is slated to launch into orbit — if the weather allows.

Club

The iPhone 13 may not be a jaw-dropper, but it's still getting harder to leave Club Apple

13th time’s the charm… Is it though? Apple dropped a new iPhone at its launch event yesterday, but Fruit-heads hoping for dazzling news iProducts may be disappointed by marginal upgrades. A few highlights:

  • Oscar-level selfies: iPhone 13 features improved cameras with cinematic video features, better graphics, and a bigger battery. Price didn't budge: still $799 for the mid-range — or $33/month in installments.
  • Fewer ways to lose your stuff, thanks to new accessories, like a leather MagSafe wallet that connects to Apple’s “Find My” network.
  • More ways to sweat using the new Apple Watch 7, including Group Fitness classes, a calorie tracker for indoor cyclists, and a new crash alert system for outdoor bikers.

The apple of Apple's eye… Still iPhone. iPhone sales make up over half the Fruit's total, though they slowed in 2019 and 2020. This year, sales soared as the new 5G-enabled 12 fueled an upgrade cycle. While iPhone sales have slowed quarter-to-quarter, Apple is hoping the new model + jacked-up services will rev up demand for its precious hardware.

Easier to walk in, harder to leave… By keeping iPhone prices flat and offering accessible installment payment options, Apple’s making it easier to walk into “Club Apple.” And it's making it harder to walk out. Apple is expanding its connected ecosystem, getting customers hooked on original content like Ted Lasso and services like Fitness+. That way, the world’s most valuable company could continue growing with some relatively simple additions.

HHM

The pandemic effect on Hispanic Americans: looking back, and looking forward

Lay down the stats… Hispanic and Latino Americans are still far from the pandemic recovery finish line. The community has been disproportionately affected, both from economic and health standpoints. Latinos account for over half of the US' population growth over the past decade, and make up ~18% of the total population — but represent nearly 30% of coronavirus cases.

The pandemic effect… Hispanics have a higher labor force participation rate than any other US demographic. But Covid sparked a sharp surge in unemployment — and the economic effects still linger today. That’s partly because Latinos are disproportionately represented in industries that were hardest hit, like restaurants and hotels. With Hispanics already earning 26% less than their white counterparts pre-pandemic, elevated unemployment has been even harder to endure financially.

  • Today: While the Latino unemployment rate is falling, it was 6.4% in August — compared to 4.5% for white Americans, 4.6% for Asian Americans, and 8.8% for Black Americans.
  • Still… Over the course of the pandemic, Latinos have become more optimistic about the country's direction and the situation of US Latinos.
  • As one of the largest and fastest-growing populations in the US, the Latino community has seen major economic growth over the past decade.

There's more growth ahead… Hispanic Americans saw faster income growth than any other major demographic group from 2014 to 2019. Despite pandemic challenges: in the past two-years, Latino-owned businesses grew revenue at an average rate of 25% per year, vs. 19% for white-owned businesses. The young and educated Latino labor force is expected to continue driving growth for the US economy. Case-in-point: If the US Latino market was its own country, it'd be the 8th-largest economy in the world.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Juicy: EV startup Rivian became the first automaker to bring an electric pickup to the consumer market, beating Tesla, GM, and others.
  • Compete: Amazon plans to hire another 125K employees for roles that'll pay an average of $18/hour, as the race to attract workers continues.
  • Searched: South Korea’s competition watchdog slapped Google with a $177M fine for forcing smartphone makers to use its Android operating system.
  • Crunchy: Taco Bell is testing a monthly taco subscription. For $5 to $10 per month, the Taco Lover's Pass gives subscribers one taco a day.
  • Greener: Oil giant Chevron is tripling spending on low-carbon initiatives. It plans to drop $10B through 2028 on carbon capture, biofuels, and other tech.

Wednesday

  • Earnings expected from JinkoSolar

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Apple, Tesla, Uber, and Google

ID: 1837334

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Latest Stories

Tech

SpaceX is creating NASA spaceport congestion problems

NASA is considering expanding its Wallops Island, Virginia, facilities to support three times as many rocket launches, TechCrunch reports. Why does it need space for that many rockets? Mostly Elon Musk’s SpaceX. Launches by SpaceX and other private space exploration companies have been taking off in recent years.

Currently the Wallops Flight Facility authorizes 18 launches a year. The proposed additions could bring that number up to 52. Given that the U.S. had 116 launch attempts in all of last year, an additional 34 launches adds a lot more capacity in an increasingly lucrative space.

The space economy was already worth $564 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow another 41% in five years.

Currently the Wallops Flight Facility authorizes 18 launches a year. The proposed additions could bring that number up to 52. Given that the U.S. had 116 launch attempts in all of last year, an additional 34 launches adds a lot more capacity in an increasingly lucrative space.

The space economy was already worth $564 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow another 41% in five years.

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Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
Markets

Carvana’s stock is sometimes up, sometimes down, always volatile

Shares in online car seller Carvana surged some 34% yesterday, continuing their recent resurgence. That rebound has made the father-son duo behind the company some $11B since late 2022 — a period when the stock was dropping as much as 40% in a single day, and was teetering on the verge of insolvency as creditors explored options to restructure its debt.

Since then the company, famous for its “car vending machines”, has seen its fortunes reverse, as the used-car market has stabilized and sales have returned to growth (up 17% in Q1 2024). Most importantly, however, Carvana seems to have gotten a handle on its massive $5B+ debt load — which was a major factor in why the equity in the company was so volatile — after swinging into profitable territory in Q1.

Yesterday’s move leaves the stock up more than 16x in the last 12 months.

Carvana stock volatility

Since then the company, famous for its “car vending machines”, has seen its fortunes reverse, as the used-car market has stabilized and sales have returned to growth (up 17% in Q1 2024). Most importantly, however, Carvana seems to have gotten a handle on its massive $5B+ debt load — which was a major factor in why the equity in the company was so volatile — after swinging into profitable territory in Q1.

Yesterday’s move leaves the stock up more than 16x in the last 12 months.

Carvana stock volatility

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$110B

Apple announced a massive $110B boost in share buybacks — the biggest of all time. That’s even higher than the $90 billion analysts expected. For context in the last 12 years Apple spent a total of $650 billion buying back its own stock. The entire S&P 500 did $795 billion last year. That certainly softens the blow from a 4% decrease in revenue.

Ozempic, Wegovy drive Novo Nordisk profits up

Shares of Danish drugmaker Novo Nordisk fell on Thursday, as investors digested the latest hard numbers from the maker of heavily-hyped drugs Ozempic and Wegovy.

For the record, sales of both continue to explode, though sales of Wegovy, which more than doubled to kr. 9.8B, came in about 10% below analyst expectations. Ozempic sales, which slowed, actually were better than expectations.

In Danish currency terms, Q1 profit jumped 28% for the company, which is based in suburban Copenhagen. Novo Nordisk’s market value of roughly $570 billion is now larger than the entire Danish economy.

Luke Kawa
5/2/24

Short sellers are getting squeezed on Carvana, Wayfair, and Enovix

Shares of Carvana, Wayfair, and Enovix were ripping Thursday morning.

These companies don’t have too much in common from a business operations standpoint — one makes batteries, another needs batteries, and one sells furniture and rugs that really tie the room together.

What they do have in common right now though: traders were betting on their shares to fall, and each released quarterly earnings reports either after the market closed on Wednesday or on Thursday morning that weren’t as bad as feared, in one way or another.

As of mid-April, short interest as a percentage of equity float for these stocks ranged from 26% (Wayfair) to 31% (Enovix), according to exchange data.

Betting against two of these companies had paid off so far this year, with Carvana being the exception. Shares of the used-car retailer were up 78% heading into Thursday’s session versus Wayfair (-14%), and Enovix (-47%). For comparison, the S&P 500 Index is up 5.8 percent year-to-date.

Hat tip to Tom Hearden, senior trader at Skylands Capital, for bringing this to our attention.

World

Japan's yen is lassoed to the dollar, for better or for worse

What happens in the US economy doesn’t stay there: the Fed’s choice to keep interest rates unchanged could increase pressure pushing down the Japanese yen. On Wednesday, Jerome Powell held interest rates steady at a two-decade high. 

Before sticky interest-rates were announced, the yen on Monday flirted with (but didn’t quite hit) a 160:1 conversion rate with the US dollar. It’s widely thought that Japanese authorities intervened to prop up the yen by buying yen and selling dollars. But the suspected trading spree barely budged the yen’s value, which is the weakest it’s been vs. the dollar since the ’80s. 

ÂĄ157 to $1

Japan’s especially sensitive to US interest-rate decisions because its own rates are ultra-low. The problem: investors buy yen at low borrowing rates but quickly convert it to another currency for higher returns. 

Even just the anticipation (more like dread) of rate-cut delays has contributed to the yen’s slide. When it comes to when the Fed expects confidence to rise enough to slash rates, Powell on Wednesday left investors on read with a big “IDK.”