Wednesday Sep.25, 2019

WeWork gets rid of MeWork

_CEO Adam Neumann relishing his last day on the WeJob_
_CEO Adam Neumann relishing his last day on the WeJob_

Hey Snackers,

Tinker Bell's going vegan(ish). Disney announced 400 plant-based food items are magically hitting its theme parks next month.

Markets dropped yesterday after the Speaker of the House announced she's opening up an impeachment inquiry into President Trump — political uncertainty like that can mess with investors.

WeOut

WeWork CEO Adam Neumann steps down to save the IPO

There's no "We" in Adam... Since WeWork filed to IPO last month, it's become a Wall Street punchline: Its S-1 IPO filing paperwork was super cagey ("Our mission is to elevate the world's consciousness") and its new name ("We Company") led to some pronoun jokes. On Wednesday, co-founder/CEO Adam Neumann demoted himself to eliminate the distraction he'd become:

  • Title: He's out as CEO — that'll be replaced with "Non-Executive Chairman of the Board" on his LinkedIn (2 other execs will take over as co-CEOs).
  • Power: Neumann had engineered himself majority voting power — each of his shares got 20 votes on corporate decisions. 20. He downgraded that to 3 votes per share.

Tell us about a time when you... did something reckless. Adam can. Just last week, the Wall Street Journal profiled his brilliance and craziness. That got investors even nervous-er about investing in Adam's hugely unprofitable co-working real estate company. Here are the low-light highlights:

  • Adam had goals to never die, to become Earth's 1st trillionaire, and to be elected president of the world (more here).
  • He stashed weed in a private jet he took to Israel, complicating the flight home.
  • In 2016, he fired 7% of WeWork — then he passed around top-shelf tequila shots and hired Run DMC to play It's Tricky.
  • And Softbank, the top Venture Capital firm invested in WeWork, wanted him to be "even crazier."

Ousting Uber CEO Travis Kalanick didn't solve all of Uber's problems... and this won't solve all of WeWork's. The IPO was already delayed because of concerns about Adam's conflicts of interest (he trademarked the name "We" and then personally sold it to WeWork to use for $6M). Now the Adam liability is gone, but these problems aren't:

  • WeWork just lost the visionary leader who built it from nothing to a real estate beast.
  • Its underlying business still lost $1.6B last year, and it's reportedly considering firing 1/3 of its employees to reassure investors.
Unplugged

Nio — "the Tesla of China" — plummets 22% after canceling its earning call

Keep moving. Nothing to see here... Nio would like you to continue doing whatever you're doing (and not talk about Nio). That's why the Shanghai-based electric car company revealed its quarterly earnings and then abruptly canceled the call to discuss them with investors — that's when shares dropped 22%. Nio's had a rough few months:

  • Sales of its core product — the ES8 electric SUV — plummeted by 22%.
  • It's losing $5M a day. Let that sink in.
  • Back in June it awkwardly had to borrow $200M...from its Chairman, CEO, and buddy company Tencent.
  • Now it's focused on a new mission: “Pursue a leaner operation.

One problem... It was already pursuing a leaner operation before this. Here's how Nio was struggling already in the months before things got worse. Earlier this year, Nio had to:

  • Fire 2K workers and cancel plans for a new factory.
  • Close its Patagonia-enveloped Silicon Valley office.
  • Sell off its Formula E ("electric") racing team.
  • Spend a whopping $49M to recall cars because of fire issues (and its co-founder just retired).

Bubbles can happen anywhere... Like in China's electric car market. Half the world's e-vehicle sales are in China — but that demand is supported by subsidies (the government hands out money to make buying cleaner cars cheaper). Now China's phasing out those subsides, eliminating them by 2020. The result: Nio's sales have fallen 2-straight quarters.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Mind-blown: Facebook acquires a startup that aims to control computers through human brains
  • Club: Manchester United stock falls after the team lowered its revenue projections for the 1st time in 5 years (mainly because it didn't qualify for the UEFA Champions League)
  • Scrutiny: Tesla falls 7% after more legal pressure looking into its acquisition of SolarCity
  • Pivot: Kik, the messaging app, just shut down all that messaging so it can focus on its cryptocurrency (it's also got a lawsuit going with the SEC)
  • Diesel: VW execs were just charged with "misleading shareholders" right before news broke of their emissions cheating in 2015
  • Read: Vox Media acquires "brilliant" and "despicable" New York Magazine

Wednesday

Disclosure: Authors of this Snacks own shares of Tesla

ID: 962611

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Latest Stories

$70B

Alphabet shares are soaring in the after-market session, with a initial jump of more than 10% implying a gain of upwards of about $200B in market value when the stock opens tomorrow morning.

Google’s parent company crushed earnings expectations, initiated a cash dividend for the first time, and authorized a fresh $70B in share repurchases for good measure. The market likes it very much.

Business

No, Apple hasn’t cut its Vision Pro production estimates in half

Quite a few news outlets are reporting that Apple thinks it’s only going to sell 400,000 to 450,000 Vision Pros in 2024, compared a “market consensus” of 700,000 to 800,000. They’re all citing a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

Obviously there’s no question that Apple’s $3,500 face computer will have a limited audience and could be a huge flop, but this also doesn’t seem like accurate news.

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

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 Max Holloway and Mark Zuckerberg

Meta exhaustingly tries to merge the metaverse and AI

Gonna have to rename the company... again

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Markets

Chipotle continues to go on a tear, hitting a sales record

Hey it might not be the kind of AI stock investors are all hot and bothered over, but don’t sleep on the burrito business.

Chipotle posted much better-than-expected results on Wednesday, with sales rising 14% to a record $2.70B in the first quarter, which is like a billion additions of guac.

Profits jumped 23% to $359M.

Chipotle has quietly cruised higher over the last year. It’s up 63%, compared to the 24.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the 12 months through Wednesday’s close. Not bad for a rice-and-beans based business model.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/24/24

Facebook had great earnings, the market hates it

Facebook reported impressive earnings. Record first-quarter revenue thanks to AI! Profit up 117% compared to a year earlier! But at the same time, its capital expenditures are going up and it’s expecting second quarter revenue potentially lower than analyst estimates. So in other words, the future doesn’t look as bright as the present.

All in all the stock is down more than 10%. (Basically the opposite of what happened with Tesla yesterday).

Business
Rani Molla
4/24/24

Why Tesla investors are holding on to hope for a cheap car

Despite terrible earnings numbers last night — declining vehicle sales, disappointing revenue and profit, enormous spending — Tesla stock is up more than 10% as of midday. That’s a welcome move for the car company, that’s been among the worst performers this year in the S&P 500.

Why the about face?

While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

Job switchers and stayers

The FTC is banning non-compete clauses

Why that might make job switching even more lucrative

Culture

Not so Gucci

French luxury fashion conglomerate Kering has seen its shares fall ~10% in the last 24 hours after reporting that sales at its flagship brand Gucci had dropped 21% in its latest quarter.

Kering’s other brands, which include Yves Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga, fared slightly better — but the only real bright spot was the company’s eyewear division, where sales rose 24% (9% on a comparable basis).

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales