Tuesday May.03, 2022

🏖️ Vacay earnings

Packed week of travel earnings (Peter Dazeley/Getty Images)
Packed week of travel earnings (Peter Dazeley/Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

A fowl situation: a wild turkey — described as “increasingly aggressive” — is attacking people in the nation’s capital. Several agencies are in hot pursuit of the wanted bird.

Stocks jumped on the first trading day of May, after capping off their worst month since lockdowns hit in March 2020. The 10-year Treasury yield — which affects what you’ll pay for a mortgage and other loans — hit 3% ahead of this week’s Fed meeting.

Coach

From Delta to Expedia, travel companies are still on the rebound — but the economy isn’t feeling the vacay vibes

Stocking up on mini shampoos... one bottle = one squeeze. It's hospitality week, with Hilton, Marriott, Airbnb, Booking.com, and Royal Caribbean dropping earnings. First up: Expedia reported sales were up 81% from last year as bookings reached pandemic-era highs. Ahead of the rest, we're checking in on travel:

  • In the sky: TSA traveler volume is almost back to 2019 levels, as you reveal holes in your socks en route to Cabo. Delta returned to profitability in March, while United and American expect to hit green this quarter.
  • On the bed: Disappearing mandates, spring-break getaways, and inflated room prices are helping hotels. In March, US hotel profit per available room reached its highest level since 2019.
  • On the card: Amex saw travel spend more than double last quarter as you swiped for gate-side chardonnay, while Mastercard said cross-border travel beat 2019 levels for the first time since the pandemic.

Flying coach to Stagecoach... Travel companies are considered "cyclical" because they tend to do well when the economy thrives (and vice versa). ICYMI: the economy isn't exactly crushing it. US GDP shrank last quarter, and global economic growth forecasts have been slashed. Still:

  • Travel-related companies have outperformed on earnings compared to their cyclical peers (think: tech, banks, construction).
  • Some travel stocks are beating the market. Delta, Southwest, United, and Marriott shares are all up over 5% for the year, while the S&P 500 is down nearly 14%.

The vacay rebound doesn’t appear to have peaked yet… Unlike the booms experienced by tech and banks last year, travel companies have seen more of a slow-and-steady climb (peppered with Covid-related dips). So far, it looks as if it’s still going, and Visa said demand for summer bookings is “very high.” But inflated prices, war, and new Covid outbreaks could threaten the jet-set recovery.

Nomad

Airbnb lets employees work from anywhere with no pay cut, as the tussle for talent escalates

Hold on to your sweatpants… Offices are becoming optional. Airbnb has reversed its plans to return to offices in September, telling workers they can WFH forever — without pay cuts. It’s a sharp reversal: Airbnb laid off a quarter of its workers during lockdowns as travel collapsed. But bleisure (long trips that blend business and leisure) helped business rebound, and now Airbnb wants its 6K+ workers to join in:

  • Bay Area salary… but in Belize. Airbnb’s new policy lets workers live and work in 170+ countries for up to 90 days (after that, visas get complicated). The company plans to host quarterly in-person events for workers.

Return-to-office roulette… Pajama-wearing workers have gotten so comfortable WFH that their employers are struggling to get them to return: half of companies expect workers back in the office five days a week, but 90%+ of WFH warriors want to stay remote. To keep them happy, companies have adopted several return-to-office strategies.

Work-from-anywhere is the new kombucha on tap… a popular perk among workers and an important hiring strategy for flexible employers. The option to work from St. Barts for full pay could inspire an applicant to work for Airbnb instead of Apple — a big deal in today’s tight labor market. Airbnb’s CEO, Brian Chesky, said he expects other companies to go remote so that they don’t “limit their talent pool.”

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Rebuff: Spirit Airlines rejected JetBlue’s $3.6B takeover bid, saying it would stick with plans to merge with Frontier. Spirit execs weren’t optimistic regulators would’ve given the go-ahead to JetBlue’s proposal.
  • Tap: Europe is accusing Apple of restricting access to the tech behind Apple Pay, saying the Fruit is abusing its market power in mobile payments. It's the latest EU antitrust action focused on Big Tech.
  • Bananas: Yuga Labs, the startup behind the popular Bored Ape NFT series, sold >$300M of virtual real estate in a yet-to-be-built metaverse. There was so much demand that the mint crashed the ethereum network.
  • Link: Ukraine says ~150K people are using SpaceX's Starlink internet service every day. The satellite-based network has made it harder for Russia to interfere with Ukrainian comms.
  • Crown: Not even Meghan Markle’s safe from Netflix's belt-tightening. The streamer has dropped the duchess' upcoming animated series, “Pearl,” as it looks to cut costs after a drop in subscribers.

Tuesday

  • Earnings expected from Avis, Pfizer, EstĂ©e Lauder, Airbnb, Starbucks, Hilton, AMD, Molson Coors, Public Storage, Lyft, and Caesars Entertainment

Authors of this Snacks own: Ethereum, and shares of Starbucks, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Apple, Netflix, and Delta

ID: 2182422

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Latest Stories

7.13%

The 30-year fixed rate mortgage is back above 7%, according to weekly numbers from the Mortgage Bankers Association, the highest level in four months. High borrowing costs are creating havoc for would-be buyers, as affordability lingers at the low levels not seen consistently since the late 1980s.

Business

Amazon’s spy ops on rivals: shell companies, printed docs, and a fake Japanese streetwear brand

Some companies check out rivals’ websites, stores and public filings to stay abreast of the competition. Amazon made its own fake shell company and brands, transacted hundreds of thousands of dollars per year undercover on competitors’ platforms, and kept its intel operation a secret for nearly a decade even from others at Amazon, according to a fascinating investigation by the Wall Street Journal.

Working as a seller called Big River, a secret group of Amazon employees gained access to rival platforms, including Walmart, FedEx, and Alibaba. They used Big River email addresses and went to seller conferences as Big River employees. They even stayed hidden within Amazon itself. These employees would take screenshots of competitors’ systems that they would then show others at Amazon in person to avoid an email paper trail.

Perhaps most strange of all, the company created a fake Japanese streetwear brand called “Not So Ape” (clearly a play on A Bathing Ape) and continues to sell products from the brand on a Shopify store, presumably as an attempt to learn the inner workings of the shopping platform. Of course, copying is old hat for Amazon.

In meetings where they’d use this clandestine information to inform Amazon’s own business practices, the group resorted to literal paper. “[T]he team avoided distributing presentations electronically to Amazon executives. Instead, they printed the presentations and numbered the documents. Executives could look at the reports and take notes, but at the end of the meeting, team members collected the papers to ensure that they had all copies."

Working as a seller called Big River, a secret group of Amazon employees gained access to rival platforms, including Walmart, FedEx, and Alibaba. They used Big River email addresses and went to seller conferences as Big River employees. They even stayed hidden within Amazon itself. These employees would take screenshots of competitors’ systems that they would then show others at Amazon in person to avoid an email paper trail.

Perhaps most strange of all, the company created a fake Japanese streetwear brand called “Not So Ape” (clearly a play on A Bathing Ape) and continues to sell products from the brand on a Shopify store, presumably as an attempt to learn the inner workings of the shopping platform. Of course, copying is old hat for Amazon.

In meetings where they’d use this clandestine information to inform Amazon’s own business practices, the group resorted to literal paper. “[T]he team avoided distributing presentations electronically to Amazon executives. Instead, they printed the presentations and numbered the documents. Executives could look at the reports and take notes, but at the end of the meeting, team members collected the papers to ensure that they had all copies."

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Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
Crypto

Worldcoin pivots to the blockchain… with a 'humans only' discount

Worldcoin, the “proof of personhood” crypto project launched by OpenAI’s Sam Altman, said it plans to launch its own ethereum layer-2 (L2) blockchain dubbed World Chain. The pitch: a blockchain where it’s both easier and cheaper for people to transact than bots.

Worldcoin has made waves for its iris-scanning metallic orb that promises a future where people can mathematically prove they’re real humans and not AI bots.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees. 

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

But it’s run into trouble: the orbs have been banned across Europe and Africa, and the associated WLD crypto token has plunged 50% over the past month.

For project insiders, who reportedly received a token allocation of 25% of supply, that could equal significant losses. 

Which is what may make World Chain attractive. Crypto exchange Coinbase launched its own L2, Base, last year. Base has since seen rapid user growth — activity that’s generated the exchange millions of dollars in weekly fees. 

Worldcoin could benefit from similar revenue if its L2 is adopted around the world.

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Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Business

Smooth sailing? Not for superyachts

Sales of the luxury boats sank 17% last year. Meanwhile, Super-SUPER yachts (over 650 feet long) took the biggest sales dip, falling around 40%. Part of the problem: a pandemic-era backlog has led to a three- to four-year waitlist for new yacht orders. Meanwhile Russian oligarchs — former MVP customers — are largely out of the boat-buying business due to sanctions.

Dr Martens shares have been stomped

American sales of Docs have dropped

2024-04-17-ai-capabilities-site

AI is getting good at a lot of different tasks

Business

The monkey’s paw curls on endless shrimp

Red Lobster’s shrimp promotions may have contributed to jumbo problems for the company.

The seafood chain is considering a bankruptcy filing to deal with cash flow problems, Bloomberg reports.

Red Lobster has been weighed down by pricey leases and labor costs, but it’s important to remember that it also blamed an $11M operating loss last fall in part on too many people going crustacean-mode on its Ultimate Endless Shrimp deal.

“The proportion of the people selecting this promotion was much higher compared to expectation,” said Red Lobster owner (and seafood supplier) Thai Union Group last year. The chain bumped the price of infinite shrimp by 25%, but Lobsterfest and Cheddar Bay Biscuits may not be enough to save it from Chapter 11.

“The proportion of the people selecting this promotion was much higher compared to expectation,” said Red Lobster owner (and seafood supplier) Thai Union Group last year. The chain bumped the price of infinite shrimp by 25%, but Lobsterfest and Cheddar Bay Biscuits may not be enough to save it from Chapter 11.

Power
Rani Molla
4/17/24

Elon Musk’s car company pays for Elon Musk’s security company

Elon Musk is a rich man who owns a lot of companies. One way he keeps those companies and himself rich is by making his companies support his other companies. Left pocket, meet right.

TechCrunch’s Sean O’Kane dug into Tesla’s latest annual proxy statement to find out the value of these relationships.

Musk’s Tesla bought ads on Musk’s X, aka Twitter, to the tune of $200,000 just through February this year. Tesla also paid X another $200,000 this year and a million in 2023 for “commercial, consulting and support agreements.” Musk’s SpaceX has also advertised on X, presumably helping prop up some of the budget the company has lost from non-Musk advertisers Musk seems hell-bent on driving away. Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s SpaceX $800,000 to use a private jet and paid Musk’s The Boring Company more than a million dollars for “commercial agreements.”

It also turns out that Musk owns a security company, whose job it is to protect Musk. Naturally Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s security company nearly $3 million since entering into a service agreement in December 2023. Apparently that represents just a “portion of the total cost of security services concerning Elon Musk,” so presumably Musk’s other companies will be left to foot the rest of the bill.

Musk’s Tesla bought ads on Musk’s X, aka Twitter, to the tune of $200,000 just through February this year. Tesla also paid X another $200,000 this year and a million in 2023 for “commercial, consulting and support agreements.” Musk’s SpaceX has also advertised on X, presumably helping prop up some of the budget the company has lost from non-Musk advertisers Musk seems hell-bent on driving away. Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s SpaceX $800,000 to use a private jet and paid Musk’s The Boring Company more than a million dollars for “commercial agreements.”

It also turns out that Musk owns a security company, whose job it is to protect Musk. Naturally Musk’s Tesla paid Musk’s security company nearly $3 million since entering into a service agreement in December 2023. Apparently that represents just a “portion of the total cost of security services concerning Elon Musk,” so presumably Musk’s other companies will be left to foot the rest of the bill.

Tech

A social app, but it’s just voice notes on 2X speed

Airchat is basically X meets Clubhouse, and Silicon Valley types are all over it. The social app consists of a feed of audio snippets that plays continuously on 2X speed until you press pause. The speed makes sense: chugging a cold brew and plowing through podcasts on 2X speed is a rite of passage for modern multitaskers.

A surge of new users joined Airchat over the weekend, joining entrepreneur Gary Vaynerchuk and Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan.

If users don’t want to inhale voice notes at hyper speed, there is a somewhat hidden way to adjust Airchat’s cadence, but it’s an intriguing feature. User-generated audio has struggled to break out of a niche, so targeting the personality that wants to listen to a podcast at twice the speed is one way to make the user experience more efficient.

A surge of new users joined Airchat over the weekend, joining entrepreneur Gary Vaynerchuk and Y Combinator CEO Garry Tan.

If users don’t want to inhale voice notes at hyper speed, there is a somewhat hidden way to adjust Airchat’s cadence, but it’s an intriguing feature. User-generated audio has struggled to break out of a niche, so targeting the personality that wants to listen to a podcast at twice the speed is one way to make the user experience more efficient.