Thursday Mar.09, 2023

👩‍⚕️ WeightWatchers' prescription bet

On-screen appointment (Rafael Henrique/Getty Images)
On-screen appointment (Rafael Henrique/Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

Apple’s latest launch is very… banana. To boost interest until the iPhone 15 is released, the tech titan unveiled a groundbreaking new color for the 14: Minion yellow.

The Dow slipped again yesterday after Fed Chair Powell wrapped up his congressional testimony, which suggested higher interest rates for longer. While job openings ticked down in January, there were nearly two open roles for each available worker.

RX

WeightWatchers steps into the Ozempic market as the telehealth industry tries to find its footing

An appetite for growth… WW International (aka: WeightWatchers) has its eye on telehealth. The OG weight-loss biz said it's buying health biz Sequence for $106M. Sequence's members pay $100/month for access to video appointments with docs who can prescribe weight-loss meds like Wegovy. WW says prescription meds can complement its lifestyle-based "points" program.

  • Sell-ehealth: The latest weight-loss push involves a class of drugs that include Wegovy and Ozempic. While Wegovy is FDA-approved for weight management, Ozempic is not (it’s approved to treat diabetes).
  • Hot topic: Elon Musk and Chelsea Handler are just two of several celebs who've said they've taken one of these injectable drugs.
  • StockWatchers: WW's stock jumped nearly 80% after the Sequence deal announcement, but is down 90% over the past five years as subscriptions have sagged.

The doctor is in… your iPhone. Telemedicine boomed during the pandemic, when trips to the doc’s office carried heightened Covid risks. But the path ahead is less clear. While Teladoc and Hims & Hers Health are still seeing some growth, other players like GoodRx saw declines. Meanwhile, scrutiny’s heating up: last year Cerebral paused prescriptions of controlled substances like Adderall after regulators reportedly began investigating. Now, as the Biden admin moves to require in-person doctor visits for prescriptions like Adderall and Oxycontin, the telehealth industry could pivot to cater to a growing demand for weight-loss meds.

You don’t need to buy the skyscraper… sometimes all it takes is a blueprint. WeightWatchers is one of the better-known weight-loss brands, but declining subs suggest it’s lost its star power. Meanwhile, Sequence is relatively unknown with only 24K members. Yet it has the prescription foundation that could help WW build on a growing trend: weight-loss meds prescribed virtually.

Notice

Women leaders are switching jobs at the highest rate as “the broken rung” stalls promotions

“The Great Breakup” is here… and it’s not a new rom-com. A recent McKinsey study says women leaders are leaving their companies at the highest rate ever as they demand more from their workplaces. Obstacles to getting promoted, pay gaps, and office microaggressions are all contributing to departures. Female leaders are 2X as likely as male leaders to be mistaken for someone in a junior position. And in the US women are paid 17% less than men. So while women have made major strides in the past century, leadership gaps remain:

  • Two steps ahead: For the first time in history, female CEOs run more than a tenth of Fortune 500 companies, including names like GM, Oracle, Walgreens, and AMD.
  • Still four steps back: Only one in five C-suite execs is a woman, and just one in 20 is a woman of color. Men also still make up the vast majority of S&P 500 board seats, despite the fact that companies with more women leaders tend to outperform.

Two weeks’ notice… Despite some gains over the past eight years, women are still underrepresented at each level on the corporate ladder. Men are more likely to be promoted from entry to management positions — a problem known as “the broken rung” — making it harder for women to climb the ranks. Only 87 women are promoted to managerial positions for every 100 men, and it’s lower for women of color.

It’s a self-feeding cycle… until the broken rung is fixed. When there are fewer women in top positions, women are less likely to have the same advancement opportunities as their male counterparts. Now companies risk losing the relatively few women leaders they have left — and consequently could risk losing the next generation of leaders.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Souper: Campbell Soup boosted its annual sales forecast after another hot quarter. Americans kept stocking its soup cans and snacks like Goldfish crackers and Pepperidge Farm cookies, despite several price hikes.
  • Kix: In its first earnings of the post-Yeezy era, Adidas reported a $760M+ loss and slashed its dividend. It expects its first annual loss in 31 years after nixing its lucrative sneaker collab with Kanye West.
  • TokOff: The White House supported a bipartisan bill that could give President Biden the power to ban TikTok in the US (or force a sale), and urged Congress to pass it quickly because of national-security concerns.
  • Rise: As travel booms, American Airlines said it would match Delta’s pay increases for pilots. Last week Delta became the first big US airline to seal a new deal with pilots. Others could be pressured to follow.
  • TruckOff: Uber stock rose after Bloomberg reported that the ride-hailer is considering spinning off its freight biz, which connects semitruck drivers with high-volume loads (and last quarter did $1.5B in revenue).

Thursday

  • Earnings expected from Solo Brands, Smith & Wesson, Gap, Build A Bear, Toro, Allbirds, Vail Resorts, and DocuSign

Authors of this Snacks own shares: of Delta, Apple, GM, and Uber

ID: 2782140

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While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

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Not so Gucci

French luxury fashion conglomerate Kering has seen its shares fall ~10% in the last 24 hours after reporting that sales at its flagship brand Gucci had dropped 21% in its latest quarter.

Kering’s other brands, which include Yves Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga, fared slightly better — but the only real bright spot was the company’s eyewear division, where sales rose 24% (9% on a comparable basis).

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales
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The FTC vs. Big Handbag

The Federal Trade Commission has sued to block big tech, big grocery, big vacuum, and now, big… “affordable luxury handbag.”

Yesterday, the FTC sued to block Tapestry Inc’s $8.5B acquisition of Capri holdings. The agency is worried that a merger between Tapestry, which owns the Coach and Kate Spade brands, and Capri, which owns Michael Kors, would eliminate competition in the market.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.