Zzz

Casper's sales fall despite record interest in its mattresses (it needs to get vertical)

Snacks / Monday, November 16, 2020

Googling: "How long can human go on 4 hours sleep"... Don't worry, Casper's right there with ya. The direct-to-consumer mattress company was a unicorn before it went public back in February. Now its valuation has dropped from $1.1B to just over $250M (quarter-corn?). Casper lost more sleep yesterday when its stock plunged 14% after earnings.

  • Casper's sales fell 3%, even though time spent in bed probably increased 1,000% (#work-from-bed). And it's still dreaming of profit. Buuut...
  • Casper saw record website traffic last quarter, pointing to record interest in its mattresses. People were browsing Casper.com to upgrade their takeout-in-bed game.

Sounds counterintuitive.... But it makes sense. Casper's sales fail wasn't due to weak demand, but to weak supply. Many mattresses were out-of-stock for weeks at a time, meaning Casper couldn't ship out enough to meet demand. Casper blamed supply chain challenges like fabric and foam chemical shortages. It should really blame its lack of vertical integration:

  • Vertical integration is when a company owns multiple stages of production in its supply chain. Apple just got more vertically integrated by ditching Intel to put its own Apple-made chips in Macs.

Controlling your supply chain helps control your destiny... Vertical integration can help lower costs, boost profitability, and avoid situations like Casper's. Casper isn't vertically integrated. That puts it at a disadvantage compared to competitors like Purple, which largely controls its manufacturing and saw sales jump 60% last quarter. Purple stock has nearly 3X'd in value this year while Casper is down by half.

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