Wednesday Jan.18, 2023

🏛️ Elon’s $420 trials

Tweet regret? (Patrick Pleul/Getty Images)
Tweet regret? (Patrick Pleul/Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

The hottest TikTok trend: canned tuna. As US sales of canned seafood soar, social media is swimming with recipes and reviews for #tinnedfish.

Stocks ticked down yesterday after a deal-making drought hit quarterly profits at some big banks. Crypto’s market cap briefly topped $1T for the first time since November.

Served

Elon Musk heads to trial over his infamous $420 tweet as regulatory tension brews

Lawsuit secured… Elon Musk is heading to court over his “funding secured” tweet. Refresher: in 2018 Musk tweeted that he’d secured funding to take Tesla private at $420/share. Turns out the funding wasn’t so secure. Another issue: Elon didn’t follow required SEC disclosure procedures. Regulators said Musk’s surprise tweet misled investors and caused Tesla stock to spike. Also in 2018, Elon and Tesla agreed to pay $20M each in fines to settle with the SEC (and Elon agreed to step down as chairman). But the chapter wasn’t closed there…

  • Elon’s trial kicked off yesterday in San Francisco. The subject: a class-action lawsuit brought by former Tesla investors who said the $420 tweet lost them billions.
  • Elon says he did talk to Saudi sovereign wealth fund execs about securing funding for a $72B Tesla buyout — but the cash turned out to be far from secure.
  • Experts say it could be a hard case for Musk to win, with one judge saying no reasonable jury would find the tweet “accurate or not misleading.”

Stirring the pot… Elon’s tension with securities regulators and investors has been building for years, from calling regulators “bastards” over the $420 fraud charges to his slew of tweets about dogecoin in 2021. Now the billionaire could pay billions if jurors rule in shareholders’ favor when his trial ends next month.

Private takes can bring public problems… Elon is boss of three companies (Tesla, Twitter, SpaceX) but Tesla’s the only one that’s public. That status comes with lots of responsibilities and expectations, both from regulators and from investors. Elon’s used to ruffling feathers and getting away (mostly) unscathed. But this trial could hit Tesla’s rep.

LouisV

Younger consumers dominate luxury spending as social media fuels designer FOMO

Chanel? In this economy?... Apparently, if you’re under 40. Millennials and Gen Z’ers were responsible for all the luxury market’s growth last year, according to a Bain & Co. report. The luxe consumer is getting younger: Gen Z shoppers are starting to buy designer goods at 15 (3 years earlier than millennials). Think: Dior foundation, Cartier watches, and Moncler puffer jackets. The trend’s benefiting the industry’s biggest companies.

I could wear my Louis Vuitton… raincoat. The economic weather isn’t favorable, with soaring interest rates, slowing growth, and sticky inflation. Still, luxury sales have largely stayed shielded from the economic storm. Designer retailers like Louis Vuitton owner LVMH and Gucci owner Kering thrived last year as the strong US dollar put European goods “on sale” for Americans, while a surge in wealth creation has boosted spending.

  • Vuitton index: LVMH shares surged to a record high yesterday, solidifying its lead as Europe’s most valuable company (its owner, Bernard Arnault, is also the world’s richest person). LVMH owns 70+ luxe brands, including Dior, Bulgari, and Dom PĂŠrignon.
  • Sticker shock: Thanks to strong demand, luxury labels can get away with big price hikes. Chanel’s classic flap bag now costs 60% more than it did prepandemic. Meanwhile, Rolls-Royce sold a record # of cars last year — at an average price of $534K.

Luxury labels are social staples… Social media is driving a luxury spending craze among younger consumers who see designer staples as social-status symbols. Teens are ordering those Jacquemus mini bags they see in fashion posts and that Armani foundation that went viral on TikTok. It’s partly why younger generations are expected to account for 80% of global luxury purchases by 2030.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Brew: DoorDash is expanding its Starbucks delivery partnership nationwide (think: ordering a cold brew mid-Zoom call). Starbs, which already partners with Uber Eats, will get double delivery exposure.

  • Aisle: Americans aren’t shying away from $500 Chicago-Miami round trips: United Airlines unloaded expectation-beating earnings thanks to healthy demand and pricey fares, which offset high fuel costs.

  • SuitePT: Microsoft plans to integrate OpenAI’s generative AI tech into all its products, like Word, Bing, and Outlook (think: using ChatGPT to help you write emails).

  • Slip: Goldman Sachs had its worst earnings miss in a decade after a deal-making slowdown led to a 66% profit hit. Morgan Stanley also saw profits slump, but was boosted by record wealth-management revenue.

  • Chill: As the World Economic Forum kicks off in Davos, Switzerland, biz leaders and economists are warning of a global recession this year. On the plus side, tech giant ABB says the worst of the chip shortage could be over.

Wednesday

  • Earnings expected from Charles Schwab, Prologis, and JB Hunt

Authors of this Snacks own shares: of Tesla, Microsoft, and Starbucks

ID: 2684616

Get Your News

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Latest Stories

$70B

Alphabet shares are soaring in the after-market session, with a initial jump of more than 10% implying a gain of upwards of about $200B in market value when the stock opens tomorrow morning.

Google’s parent company crushed earnings expectations, initiated a cash dividend for the first time, and authorized a fresh $70B in share repurchases for good measure. The market likes it very much.

Go Deeper with Market Depth

Nasdaq TotalView powers the need-to-know data serious investors rely on.

Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
Business

No, Apple hasn’t cut its Vision Pro production estimates in half

Quite a few news outlets are reporting that Apple thinks it’s only going to sell 400,000 to 450,000 Vision Pros in 2024, compared a “market consensus” of 700,000 to 800,000. They’re all citing a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

Obviously there’s no question that Apple’s $3,500 face computer will have a limited audience and could be a huge flop, but this also doesn’t seem like accurate news.

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

 Max Holloway and Mark Zuckerberg

Meta exhaustingly tries to merge the metaverse and AI

Gonna have to rename the company... again

Your inbox is ready

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Markets

Chipotle continues to go on a tear, hitting a sales record

Hey it might not be the kind of AI stock investors are all hot and bothered over, but don’t sleep on the burrito business.

Chipotle posted much better-than-expected results on Wednesday, with sales rising 14% to a record $2.70B in the first quarter, which is like a billion additions of guac.

Profits jumped 23% to $359M.

Chipotle has quietly cruised higher over the last year. It’s up 63%, compared to the 24.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the 12 months through Wednesday’s close. Not bad for a rice-and-beans based business model.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/24/24

Facebook had great earnings, the market hates it

Facebook reported impressive earnings. Record first-quarter revenue thanks to AI! Profit up 117% compared to a year earlier! But at the same time, its capital expenditures are going up and it’s expecting second quarter revenue potentially lower than analyst estimates. So in other words, the future doesn’t look as bright as the present.

All in all the stock is down more than 10%. (Basically the opposite of what happened with Tesla yesterday).

Business
Rani Molla
4/24/24

Why Tesla investors are holding on to hope for a cheap car

Despite terrible earnings numbers last night — declining vehicle sales, disappointing revenue and profit, enormous spending — Tesla stock is up more than 10% as of midday. That’s a welcome move for the car company, that’s been among the worst performers this year in the S&P 500.

Why the about face?

While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

Job switchers and stayers

The FTC is banning non-compete clauses

Why that might make job switching even more lucrative