Wednesday Jan.15, 2020

JPMorgan owns 1/2 of America’s wallets

_"We'll never get through Plaid with this!"_
_"We'll never get through Plaid with this!"_

Thank you, Snackers.

10 Million. Our 15-minute Snacks Daily podcast hit 10M downloads — it's consistently ranked in Spotify's top 10 podcasts and #3 in Apple's Business News category. Oh, and we hired a 3rd Snacker.

10 million 15-minute-long pod downloads are like...

  • 152 Martian years of Snacks (Mars years are 1.88x longer than Earth years)
  • 38,298,524 Spice Girls Wannabe plays on repeat (it's a 3:55 minute jam)
  • 127,226 Harry Potter movie marathons (yes, all 8 movies)
  • 301 laps around the world (Earth's circumference is 25K miles and you can walk 3 MPH listening to Snacks Daily on your AirPods)

Thank you for Snacking (with your ears) to our pod on Apple and Spotify. Now let's get to it 🙌.

Pay

Plaid, the financial bouncer of fintech apps, gets acquired by Visa for $5.3B

Whip out the corporate card... Visa is swiping $5.3B to treat itself to Plaid. You've used Plaid and didn't even know it — the FinTech unicorn connects your old school Citi, Bank of America, or Wells Fargo bank account to financial apps like Venmo, Robinhood, or Coinbase. Here's how Plaid's more like a financial bouncer (call it "the club analogy"):

  • ID Scan: After downloading Venmo, you enter your bank account login info on Venmo to pay Ashley back for the $15 cocktail — Plaid grabs that username/password.
  • Bouncer: Once Plaid verifies the ID with your bank, your checking account gets in to party in Venmo.
  • Security: Plaid securely holds your bank info so that it can safely travel across the web (like a Chanel purse left at coat-check).
  • Stamp: You're in — Your account is linked to Venmo. That bank account doesn't need to show ID again.

Plaid is a bouncer with connections... It's a low-profile service, but it dominates the fast-growing financial app space:

  • Plaid connects 200M accounts at 11K banks to 2,600 FinTech apps.
  • A whopping 25% of Americans have connected their accounts to a fintech app through Plaid (anyone still use Mint?).

Keep your friends close... and your enemies acquired. Think of the financial info Plaid has access to — LendingClub can use your debit card data to learn your spending habits, then decide on a loan for you. With the same info, Plaid could someday offer its own credit card — aka a Visa competitor. So Visa snagged Plaid instead, before its other investors (Citi, Mastercard, Goldman, AmEx) could.

Bank

JPMorgan Chase has the most profitable year of any American bank, ever

Big money mood... How JPMorgan Chase is feeling after its biggest year of profit, ever (and best year of any bank in US history, nbd). While you racked up travel points with Chase Sapphire Reserve, JPMorgan pulled in $36B in profits for 2019 (a 12% increase from 2018) — that 1-year profit is more than twice Lyft's entire company valuation, aka Lyft's market capitalization.

More than half of Americans are customers... of JPM's retail bank, Chase. Here's how it got so intimate with so many US wallets:

  1. Lotta acquisitions: JPM merged with Chase (the #3 largest bank at the time) in 2000, bought Bank One in 2004 (#6), and then scooped up Bear Stearns and Washington Mutual during the '08 financial crisis.
  2. Insane branches: In the app age, physical bank branches are still somehow big. JPM Chase's 4,900 branches and 16K ATMs only trail Wells Fargo. It added 400 more branches last year.
  3. Perks on perks: Everyone has that friend obsessed with their Chase Sapphire card — it's so popular, they ran out of the metal to make it.

JPM's success reflects Wall Street and Main Street... JPM's stock has risen thanks to the kumbaya good times on stock markets and the broader economy right now. Here's what its record profit screams:

  • Wall Street ...booming. Stocks are at record highs thanks to rising profits, fueling investing banking activity for JPM.
  • Main Street ...booming. The unemployment rate is at a record low, which drives demand for JPM's lending and retail banking biz.
  • Taxes ...cut thanks to Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017. Overnight, companies became way more profitable as they shipped less money to the IRS (JPM's tax rate was 18% last year).

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Pin'd: Pinterest shares spike an aesthetically pleasing 10% on word it now has more users than Snapchat (making it #3 in US social media)
  • Takeoff: Delta posts its 10th straight year of profit (up 21% from 2018) — its biggest strength: being the only US carrier without the 737 Max in its fleet
  • Arrivederci: Domino's plans to expand its 28 pizza stores in Italy to a whopping 880 — Italians are not loving it (neither is Twitter)
  • Zon'd: Amazon lifts its FedEx ground delivery ban for sellers, sending FedEx's shares up
  • InDirect: SmileDirectClub will sell its aligners directly to orthodontists (no longer just straight to your door), tossing it in direct competition with Invisalign
  • Rent-cycle: Rent the Runway is launching a clothing brand made entirely out of recycled materials (plastic bag-chic)

Wednesday

  • President Trump and China Vice Premier Liu sign the Phase 1 trade deal at the White House (we'll finally see what's in it afterward)
  • Big bank earnings continue with Bank of America, BlackRock, and Goldman Sachs

Disclosure: Authors of this Snacks own shares of JPMorgan Chase and Amazon

ID: 1058896

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Latest Stories

$70B

Alphabet shares are soaring in the after-market session, with a initial jump of more than 10% implying a gain of upwards of about $200B in market value when the stock opens tomorrow morning.

Google’s parent company crushed earnings expectations, initiated a cash dividend for the first time, and authorized a fresh $70B in share repurchases for good measure. The market likes it very much.

Business

No, Apple hasn’t cut its Vision Pro production estimates in half

Quite a few news outlets are reporting that Apple thinks it’s only going to sell 400,000 to 450,000 Vision Pros in 2024, compared a “market consensus” of 700,000 to 800,000. They’re all citing a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

Obviously there’s no question that Apple’s $3,500 face computer will have a limited audience and could be a huge flop, but this also doesn’t seem like accurate news.

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

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Markets

Chipotle continues to go on a tear, hitting a sales record

Hey it might not be the kind of AI stock investors are all hot and bothered over, but don’t sleep on the burrito business.

Chipotle posted much better-than-expected results on Wednesday, with sales rising 14% to a record $2.70B in the first quarter, which is like a billion additions of guac.

Profits jumped 23% to $359M.

Chipotle has quietly cruised higher over the last year. It’s up 63%, compared to the 24.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the 12 months through Wednesday’s close. Not bad for a rice-and-beans based business model.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/24/24

Facebook had great earnings, the market hates it

Facebook reported impressive earnings. Record first-quarter revenue thanks to AI! Profit up 117% compared to a year earlier! But at the same time, its capital expenditures are going up and it’s expecting second quarter revenue potentially lower than analyst estimates. So in other words, the future doesn’t look as bright as the present.

All in all the stock is down more than 10%. (Basically the opposite of what happened with Tesla yesterday).

Business
Rani Molla
4/24/24

Why Tesla investors are holding on to hope for a cheap car

Despite terrible earnings numbers last night — declining vehicle sales, disappointing revenue and profit, enormous spending — Tesla stock is up more than 10% as of midday. That’s a welcome move for the car company, that’s been among the worst performers this year in the S&P 500.

Why the about face?

While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

Job switchers and stayers

The FTC is banning non-compete clauses

Why that might make job switching even more lucrative

Culture

Not so Gucci

French luxury fashion conglomerate Kering has seen its shares fall ~10% in the last 24 hours after reporting that sales at its flagship brand Gucci had dropped 21% in its latest quarter.

Kering’s other brands, which include Yves Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga, fared slightly better — but the only real bright spot was the company’s eyewear division, where sales rose 24% (9% on a comparable basis).

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales