Wednesday Mar.11, 2020

🌳 Grove goes "tree-positive"

_Stitch Fixers gone wrong_
_Stitch Fixers gone wrong_

Hey Snackers,

Kirkland peanut butter and 36-packs of toilet paper aren't the only hot commodities at Costco: one value-savvy shopper just dropped over $600K on a diamond engagement ring.

The Dow rebounded up 1.1K points Tuesday after Monday's dramatic drop — hints of possible economic stimulus sent tech, travel, and financial stocks higher.

Strut

Stitch Fix falls 25% because we may have hit peak Fix

In need of financial stitching... Stitch Fix, the online personal styling service, just unveiled its earnings for the last quarter — far from glamorous. It's a fashion company trying to look like a tech company. You fill out a style quiz (modern or boho? Slim fit or athletic?) and Stitch Fix sends you monthly subscription boxes of ambitious clothes to push your looks envelope.

  • The population of Fixers jumped 17% over the year to reach 3.5M.
  • And it's a scaling up tech company that's actually profitable ($11M last quarter).

But its latest service reveals a problem... "Direct Buy." Instead of using Stitch Fix's proprietary, algorithm-enabled, human-curated style decision tool to hook you on a monthly subscription, Stitch Fix offers the option to just buy clothes from its online store instead. Direct. Just like other ecommerce sites. That undermines Stitch Fix's core service and could be a sign of an underlying demand problem.

It's struggling to move past early adopters... And that's why the stock is down 67% from its peak. Early adopters drive initial sales and growth for innovative new companies — then it's time to go mainstream. The true test of success is expanding beyond its early demographic. But 2 stats show that's not exactly happening for Stitch Fix:

  • To find new customers, Stitch Fix had to up its spending on ads — by 49% last quarter.
  • But customers spent less per "Fix" on average.
Sustain

Grove Collaborative is going plastic-free by 2025 — it's a "tree-positive" story

I want to break tree... The commercial use of tree, that is. Grove Collaborative is a consumer packaged goods unicorn offering sustainable products and a Millennially-pleasing website font. Grove elevates un-sexy basics — like toilet paper, trash bags, and fabric softener — by positioning itself as a positive force for the environment:

  • 'Tree-Free': How Grove describes its Seedling paper products (like tree-free TP) — they're made of just one ingredient: 100% Sustainable Bamboo
  • 'Tree-Positive': Grove offers the "first 'tree-positive' paper in the World" (don't bother Googling the term — we tried). A portion of every Seedling purchase goes toward tree-planting.

Grove just announced it's going Plastic Free by 2025... It's already plastic-neutral, which is the same idea as carbon-neutral — it pays to intercept plastic before it reaches oceans/landfills. It also offsets carbon emissions from its free shipping. To get plastic-free, Grove will gradually use more glass and aluminum. But here's what really fascinated us:

  • Bamboo: Grove is obsessed with it — bamboo paper, straws, cutting boards — even the $25 paper-towel holder has a bamboo handle (to hold your bamboo paper towels).
  • Bamboo is the fastest growing plant in the world (note: not a tree). While trees take around 20 years to grow back after harvesting, bamboo takes only 3 months – Grove also assures us) that no baby panda will be left hungry in the making of its paper.

Being "sustainable" is no longer enough for a brand... Supermarkets and drugstores already boast eco-friendly options like Seventh Generation or Method. Grove's brand stands for approachable sustainability — but its new aggressive commitment to tree-free-ness is what sets it apart. We're in an era of sustainable products right now (think plant-based meat) — Grove's focused on the next era: sustainable packaging. They're even working on shampoo concentrate to reduce plastic bottles.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Inmate: The state of New York engages prisoners to produce hand sanitizer as the shortage continues — Governor Cuomo thinks it smells like a "floral bouquet"
  • Zero: Trump pitches a 0% payroll tax rate for the rest of 2020 on coronavirus worries (less taxes paid usually means more spending)
  • Descend: United Airlines' US bookings plunge 70% as travelers avoid traveling
  • Sugar: Hostess launches Twinkie and Ding Dong-flavored iced lattes — TBD on when it'll launch ice-latte flavored Twinkies
  • Stay: Zumper raises $60M to double down on its apartment rentals platform
  • Ghosted: Some European airlines are flying near-empty 'ghost flights' — an EU law requires them to fly 80% of slotted trips to remain at major hubs

Wednesday

  • Earnings expected from LG

ID: 1115749

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Do you want to run the State Department of McDonald’s?

A couple of days ago, a tweet making fun at McDonald’s hiring a “Manager for Diplomatic Relations” went viral.

At first glance, the idea that McDonald’s, a burger franchise known for its double quarter pounders and perfectly salted fries, is expanding its diplomatic influence with policy makers in Foggy Bottom and the world at large sounds comical. But it’s actually crucial.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

Nuke stocks up on AI excitement

For most of humanity, the thought of “nuclear-powered AI” sends a shiver down the spine. But the stock market is all for it! Just check out the list of top performing S&P 500 stocks this year. Just behind established AI plays — Super Micro Computer and Nvidia, you’ll find Constellation Energy, the largest operator of nuclear plants in the U.S. NRG Energy, which also operates nuclear plants, isn’t far behind. Bloomberg reports that CEO of power distributor Exelon — which spun off Constellation in 2022 — says in the Chicago area alone, AI could drive a 900% jump in demand for energy from data centers.

Tech
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China makes Apple remove WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram from app store

In its latest move to restrict foreign tech, Beijing has ordered Apple to remove a number of popular messaging apps from its app store there, including WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram.

These apps had only been available through VPNs but were popular nonetheless, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

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Business
Rani Molla
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Tesla's recall reveals just how bad Cybertruck delivery numbers have been

Thanks to a recall of Tesla’s Cybertrucks, we now know how many of them have actually been delivered: 3,878 since the EV company began releasing them to customers in November.

In its third and fourth quarter earnings report, Tesla said that its current Cybertruck production capacity was greater than 125,000 a year. Musk had previously said he expected to produce 250,000 Cybertrucks a year by 2025.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

Markets

Cocoa hits $11,000

Cocoa prices are breaking records on an almost daily basis — with cocoa futures closing at (another) all-time high of $11,020 per metric ton yesterday.

That’s up 158% since the start of the year, and over 4x on the typical prices seen in 2022 — as crop production continues to fall short of demand.

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices
Power

World out of balance: It costs the US 3¢ to make 1 penny

The cost of producing a US penny rose 13% in fiscal 2023 to 3.07 cents. Yes, it means that Uncle Sam loses more than 2 cents for every cent it produces. (And no, you can’t make it up on volume.)

For the record, that’s the 18th straight year the penny’s face value has been below production costs, fueling calls for abolishing the lowest value denomination coin. Canada started to phase out the penny in 2013, joining Australia, Brazil, Finland, New Zealand, Norway, and Israel, according to Smithsonian Magazine.

3.07¢