Friday Mar.26, 2021

🚢 You're gonna need a smaller boat

_You're gonna need a bigger boat..._
_You're gonna need a bigger boat..._

Hey Snackers,

Prince Harry is trading his crown for a pair of Allbirds: he's joining a Silicon Valley startup as chief impact officer — aka: Count of Carbon Footprince.

Markets ticked up yesterday as investors rotated into "Reopening Stocks" on signs of economic recovery.

Canal

The Suez fiasco: oil prices jump as the world's favorite shipping shortcut gets blocked

If all roads lead to Rome... then all waterways lead to the Suez. Egypt's famous canal is the most important shortcut in global shipping. It provides the fastest link between Europe's Mediterranean waters and the seas surrounding Asia. Instead of going all the way around Africa, ships can sail straight from Saudi Arabia or India into Europe. So it's unfortunate that...

  • The Suez Canal has been blocked by one of the world's largest container ships. The "Ever Given" has been ever-stuck for three days, causing a major traffic jam.
  • "Days to weeks"... How long it could take to move the ship. Experts are digging sand from under it, and trying to straighten it with tugboats.

The Diagon Alley of the seafaring world.... A whopping 12% of global trade passes through the Suez. This Ultimate Traffic Jam is bringing billions of dollars of trade to a standstill: each day of blockage disrupts ~$9B+ worth of goods. Yesterday, at least 150 ships loaded with cargo were waiting to pass through the Suez — and many are carrying oil from the Middle East.

  • Oil prices soared yesterday, as massive oil tankers were halted by the jam. ~10% of total seaborne oil trade passes through the Suez.

Technology evolves, but some things never change... We’re used to seeing things magically appear at our doorstep. We can get gas in the tank at the swipe of a card, and food in our hands with a tap. But the “backend” of logistics that provides the materials fueling our lives still relies on a few key routes. This Suez fiasco highlights the potential fragility of global trading systems — and the crucialness of the un-techy parts.

WHM

Women and Money: how women earn, save, and invest compared to men

Inside the wallet… In honor of Equal Pay Day and Women’s History Month, we’re diving into how American women earn, save, and invest.

Earning... The first step in money management: having $$$ to manage. Women are the sole or primary breadwinners in 40% of US households with kids. They outnumber men in the college-educated workforce, and have received more college degrees than men since 1981. But they still earn less: an average of 82 cents for every $1 men earn (aka: the gender pay gap).

Saving... Even though women earn less, they're better savers. Women allocate more of their money to savings than men (41% vs. 35%), and save more of their salary (9% vs. 8.6%). Women are also more likely to join workplace retirement plans. Still, men end up with higher net savings: women’s average total retirement savings is just $23K — men’s average is over 3X higher at $76K.

Investing... When it comes to investing, women tend to take a more cautious and measured approach than men. Women are good at saving money, but not as good at placing it somewhere where it has the potential to grow.

  • Women invest less: Only 52% of American women are stock owners, compared to 58% of men. And that includes their retirement investments.
  • Women invest more conservatively: Women tend to take a longer-term "buy and hold" view, versus taking frequent action. The average female investor also keeps 68% of her portfolio in cash and cash equivalents, compared to 59% for men.
  • Women outperform men: Decades of studies have found that women earn better returns than male investors in the stock market.

Women have plenty to be confident about… They’re disciplined savers and strong investors — but they tend to be less confident in their financial prowess. Only 9% of women believe they make better investing decisions than men, despite evidence to the contrary. Women also tend to be less confident that they’ve planned adequately for retirement, and they scored lower as a group on FINRA’s financial literacy test. Women have made a lot of financial progress over the past decades. But to truly level the financial playing field, Americans need to close the pay gap and improve financial literacy for all.

Unpacked

Snacks Unpacked: The Gender Pay Gap

March 24th, 2021 was Women’s Equal Pay Day. It marks the day into the year on which women, on average, have earned what men did in 2020. That’s nearly 15 months of work to reach a man's yearly pay.

The What: Women working full-time earn an average of 82 cents for every $1 men earn. For Black and Hispanic women, the gap is even wider.

The Why: A few major reasons why women get paid less than men...

  • The “Motherhood Penalty”: Mothers are offered lower salaries and fewer promotions than women without children, as well as men. The result: mothers earn only 73% of what fathers earn. Because caregiving responsibilities still fall disproportionately to mothers, women are also more likely to take time out of the workforce, postponing advancement.
  • Occupational segregation, when one sex is overrepresented in a job sector, accounts for as much as 51% of the wage gap. Jobs with more men (like construction and IT) tend to pay better, regardless of skill or education level. Jobs that are predominantly done by women (like childcare and education), are less valued in the labor market. And even within the same fields and roles (like: HR manager), men tend to be paid more than women.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Vactastic: President Biden sets a new Covid vaccine goal of 200M shots within his first 100 days (up from 100M shots, which was reached last week).
  • Smoke: Congress grilled the CEOs of Facebook, Google, and Twitter yesterday about their handling of misinformation and extremism.
  • Matched: Match-owned Tinder will let users gift Lyft rides to their dates through the Tinder app.
  • Quibye: GM appointed tech veteran (and former CEO of Quibi) Meg Whitman to its board, which is now majority-led by women.
  • Cont'd: AstraZeneca releases updated data showing that its Covid vaccine is 76% effective, slightly lower than previously shared.

Friday

  • Consumer sentiment index

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Google and GM

ID: 1580040

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World

Do you want to run the State Department of McDonald’s?

A couple of days ago, a tweet making fun at McDonald’s hiring a “Manager for Diplomatic Relations” went viral.

At first glance, the idea that McDonald’s, a burger franchise known for its double quarter pounders and perfectly salted fries, is expanding its diplomatic influence with policy makers in Foggy Bottom and the world at large sounds comical. But it’s actually crucial.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

Nuke stocks up on AI excitement

For most of humanity, the thought of “nuclear-powered AI” sends a shiver down the spine. But the stock market is all for it! Just check out the list of top performing S&P 500 stocks this year. Just behind established AI plays — Super Micro Computer and Nvidia, you’ll find Constellation Energy, the largest operator of nuclear plants in the U.S. NRG Energy, which also operates nuclear plants, isn’t far behind. Bloomberg reports that CEO of power distributor Exelon — which spun off Constellation in 2022 — says in the Chicago area alone, AI could drive a 900% jump in demand for energy from data centers.

Tech

China makes Apple remove WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram from app store

In its latest move to restrict foreign tech, Beijing has ordered Apple to remove a number of popular messaging apps from its app store there, including WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram.

These apps had only been available through VPNs but were popular nonetheless, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

Business

Tesla's recall reveals just how bad Cybertruck delivery numbers have been

Thanks to a recall of Tesla’s Cybertrucks, we now know how many of them have actually been delivered: 3,878 since the EV company began releasing them to customers in November.

In its third and fourth quarter earnings report, Tesla said that its current Cybertruck production capacity was greater than 125,000 a year. Musk had previously said he expected to produce 250,000 Cybertrucks a year by 2025.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

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Markets

Cocoa hits $11,000

Cocoa prices are breaking records on an almost daily basis — with cocoa futures closing at (another) all-time high of $11,020 per metric ton yesterday.

That’s up 158% since the start of the year, and over 4x on the typical prices seen in 2022 — as crop production continues to fall short of demand.

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices
Power

World out of balance: It costs the US 3¢ to make 1 penny

The cost of producing a US penny rose 13% in fiscal 2023 to 3.07 cents. Yes, it means that Uncle Sam loses more than 2 cents for every cent it produces. (And no, you can’t make it up on volume.)

For the record, that’s the 18th straight year the penny’s face value has been below production costs, fueling calls for abolishing the lowest value denomination coin. Canada started to phase out the penny in 2013, joining Australia, Brazil, Finland, New Zealand, Norway, and Israel, according to Smithsonian Magazine.

3.07¢
Business
Rani Molla
4/18/24

Netflix is going to stop sharing subscriber numbers

After posting subscriber numbers that beat expectations today, Netflix says it’s no longer going to share those numbers starting in the first quarter of 2025. That’s a big deal since subscriber numbers have long been one of the main metrics that investors have looked at.

“In our early days, when we had little revenue or profit, membership growth was a strong indicator of our future potential,” its shareholders letter read. “But now we’re generating very substantial profit and free cash flow.” The company said that it will focus on revenue and operating margin as its main financial metrics, while it will look at time spent on the platform to gauge customer satisfaction.

Another way to read this? They’ve hit market saturation and just aren’t going to be growing that much anymore, and they thought they’d end on a good note. Going forward they’re focusing on how to get more money out of the customers they do have.

They’re doing so by cracking down on password sharing and charging for extra members. They’re also pushing people to ad tiers, which are more profitable than non-ad tiers.

“Scaling ads to become a more meaningful contributor to our business in ‘25 and beyond,” Netflix said.

Netflix’s ads membership grew another 65% in Q1 over the previous one, after rising 70% the quarter before, and 40% of signups in ad markets continue to be for those ad plans.