Friday Mar.26, 2021

🚢 You're gonna need a smaller boat

_You're gonna need a bigger boat..._
_You're gonna need a bigger boat..._

Hey Snackers,

Prince Harry is trading his crown for a pair of Allbirds: he's joining a Silicon Valley startup as chief impact officer — aka: Count of Carbon Footprince.

Markets ticked up yesterday as investors rotated into "Reopening Stocks" on signs of economic recovery.

Canal

The Suez fiasco: oil prices jump as the world's favorite shipping shortcut gets blocked

If all roads lead to Rome... then all waterways lead to the Suez. Egypt's famous canal is the most important shortcut in global shipping. It provides the fastest link between Europe's Mediterranean waters and the seas surrounding Asia. Instead of going all the way around Africa, ships can sail straight from Saudi Arabia or India into Europe. So it's unfortunate that...

  • The Suez Canal has been blocked by one of the world's largest container ships. The "Ever Given" has been ever-stuck for three days, causing a major traffic jam.
  • "Days to weeks"... How long it could take to move the ship. Experts are digging sand from under it, and trying to straighten it with tugboats.

The Diagon Alley of the seafaring world.... A whopping 12% of global trade passes through the Suez. This Ultimate Traffic Jam is bringing billions of dollars of trade to a standstill: each day of blockage disrupts ~$9B+ worth of goods. Yesterday, at least 150 ships loaded with cargo were waiting to pass through the Suez — and many are carrying oil from the Middle East.

  • Oil prices soared yesterday, as massive oil tankers were halted by the jam. ~10% of total seaborne oil trade passes through the Suez.

Technology evolves, but some things never change... We’re used to seeing things magically appear at our doorstep. We can get gas in the tank at the swipe of a card, and food in our hands with a tap. But the “backend” of logistics that provides the materials fueling our lives still relies on a few key routes. This Suez fiasco highlights the potential fragility of global trading systems — and the crucialness of the un-techy parts.

WHM

Women and Money: how women earn, save, and invest compared to men

Inside the wallet… In honor of Equal Pay Day and Women’s History Month, we’re diving into how American women earn, save, and invest.

Earning... The first step in money management: having $$$ to manage. Women are the sole or primary breadwinners in 40% of US households with kids. They outnumber men in the college-educated workforce, and have received more college degrees than men since 1981. But they still earn less: an average of 82 cents for every $1 men earn (aka: the gender pay gap).

Saving... Even though women earn less, they're better savers. Women allocate more of their money to savings than men (41% vs. 35%), and save more of their salary (9% vs. 8.6%). Women are also more likely to join workplace retirement plans. Still, men end up with higher net savings: women’s average total retirement savings is just $23K — men’s average is over 3X higher at $76K.

Investing... When it comes to investing, women tend to take a more cautious and measured approach than men. Women are good at saving money, but not as good at placing it somewhere where it has the potential to grow.

  • Women invest less: Only 52% of American women are stock owners, compared to 58% of men. And that includes their retirement investments.
  • Women invest more conservatively: Women tend to take a longer-term "buy and hold" view, versus taking frequent action. The average female investor also keeps 68% of her portfolio in cash and cash equivalents, compared to 59% for men.
  • Women outperform men: Decades of studies have found that women earn better returns than male investors in the stock market.

Women have plenty to be confident about… They’re disciplined savers and strong investors — but they tend to be less confident in their financial prowess. Only 9% of women believe they make better investing decisions than men, despite evidence to the contrary. Women also tend to be less confident that they’ve planned adequately for retirement, and they scored lower as a group on FINRA’s financial literacy test. Women have made a lot of financial progress over the past decades. But to truly level the financial playing field, Americans need to close the pay gap and improve financial literacy for all.

Unpacked

Snacks Unpacked: The Gender Pay Gap

March 24th, 2021 was Women’s Equal Pay Day. It marks the day into the year on which women, on average, have earned what men did in 2020. That’s nearly 15 months of work to reach a man's yearly pay.

The What: Women working full-time earn an average of 82 cents for every $1 men earn. For Black and Hispanic women, the gap is even wider.

The Why: A few major reasons why women get paid less than men...

  • The “Motherhood Penalty”: Mothers are offered lower salaries and fewer promotions than women without children, as well as men. The result: mothers earn only 73% of what fathers earn. Because caregiving responsibilities still fall disproportionately to mothers, women are also more likely to take time out of the workforce, postponing advancement.
  • Occupational segregation, when one sex is overrepresented in a job sector, accounts for as much as 51% of the wage gap. Jobs with more men (like construction and IT) tend to pay better, regardless of skill or education level. Jobs that are predominantly done by women (like childcare and education), are less valued in the labor market. And even within the same fields and roles (like: HR manager), men tend to be paid more than women.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Vactastic: President Biden sets a new Covid vaccine goal of 200M shots within his first 100 days (up from 100M shots, which was reached last week).
  • Smoke: Congress grilled the CEOs of Facebook, Google, and Twitter yesterday about their handling of misinformation and extremism.
  • Matched: Match-owned Tinder will let users gift Lyft rides to their dates through the Tinder app.
  • Quibye: GM appointed tech veteran (and former CEO of Quibi) Meg Whitman to its board, which is now majority-led by women.
  • Cont'd: AstraZeneca releases updated data showing that its Covid vaccine is 76% effective, slightly lower than previously shared.

Friday

  • Consumer sentiment index

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Google and GM

ID: 1580040

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Business

The FTC vs. Big Handbag

The Federal Trade Commission has sued to block big tech, big grocery, big vacuum, and now, big… “affordable luxury handbag.”

Yesterday, the FTC sued to block Tapestry Inc’s $8.5B acquisition of Capri holdings. The agency is worried that a merger between Tapestry, which owns the Coach and Kate Spade brands, and Capri, which owns Michael Kors, would eliminate competition in the market.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

Tesla had a good ride, but the stock’s price destruction is historic

Few people have created as much value as Elon Musk. The iconoclastic entrepreneur took Tesla from a market capitalization of roughly $2 billion at the time of its IPO in 2010 to $1.2 trillion in early 2023. That’s a return of about 55,000%. Musk made a lot of people a lot of money.

On the other hand, Tesla shares are down nearly 60% since their all-time peak. The company has ceded ground in EVs, prompting a series of profit crushing price cuts to preserve market share. The cumulative loss in market value over that period is pushing $800 billion. Few corporate executives have presided over such a degree of value destruction.

And it could get worse, as people are bracing for an ugly update when Tesla reports after the close Tuesday.

Tech

Smaller AI models are in

Tech companies that have long touted the enormity of their AI models are now saying size doesn’t always matter.

Microsoft is the latest tech company to introduce smaller AI models, as part of its Phi-3 tech family. Last week Meta released two smaller models of its AI Llama 3 and earlier this year Alphabet did the same. All are open sourcing these models to encourage wider adoption.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

$127

The average bitcoin-transaction fee hit an all-time high of $127 on Friday.

The temporary spike came as the halving cut miner rewards and traders forked over huge sums of BTC (skewing the average) to be included in the first post-halving block.

Adding fuel to the fee fire was the launch of Runes, a new protocol that lets developers create memecoins on top of the bitcoin blockchain. The debut was so popular that fees popped as traders fought for limited block space.

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2024-04-22-1-america-importing-less-from-china

The US now buys more goods from Mexico than from China

Chinese imports are down as companies begin to "nearshore" in Mexico

2024-04-22-paramount-global-site

Multiple bidders want to buy Paramount Global’s sprawling media assets

Junk

How much of the world’s plastic is recycled? Only a fraction

Landfills still account for the majority of plastic disposal

Markets

Stock market gains for 2024 cut by more than half

All of the sudden, the stock market seems to be running out of steam.

There’s no big mystery here. War in the Mideast has pushed up oil prices, which will help keep inflation elevated. And annoyingly high price increases in March have already pushed the June Fed rate cuts the market was banking on farther into the uncertain future.

All that’s added up to higher interest rates and lower stock prices.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/22/24

AI needs so much electricity that tech companies are getting into the energy business

To accommodate tech companies’ pivots to artificial intelligence, tech companies are increasingly investing in ways to power AI’s immense electricity needs.

Most recently, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman invested in Exowatt, a company using solar power to feed data centers, according to the Wall Street Journal.

That’s on the heals of OpenAI partner, Microsoft, working on getting approval for nuclear energy to help power its AI operations. Last year Amazon, which is a major investor in AI company Anthropic, said it invested in more than 100 renewable energy projects, making it the “world’s largest corporate purchaser of renewable energy for the fourth year in a row.”

This can all feel like a bit of spin, as these tech companies move the narrative toward their use of green energy rather than questioning whether they truly need to be consuming so much energy in the first place.

That’s on the heals of OpenAI partner, Microsoft, working on getting approval for nuclear energy to help power its AI operations. Last year Amazon, which is a major investor in AI company Anthropic, said it invested in more than 100 renewable energy projects, making it the “world’s largest corporate purchaser of renewable energy for the fourth year in a row.”

This can all feel like a bit of spin, as these tech companies move the narrative toward their use of green energy rather than questioning whether they truly need to be consuming so much energy in the first place.

Super Bowl Winning Team Head Coach and MVP Press Conference

Private equity is eating sports

Private equity firms may soon own your favorite football franchise.