Tuesday Nov.26, 2019

$56B of acquisitions in 24 hours

_Uber got the opposite in London_
_Uber got the opposite in London_

Hey Snackers,

Treat yo' (corporate) self — we've got a new Cyber Monday.

Four big acquisitions worth over $56B closed yesterday as companies splurge on pre-holiday deals (for themselves):

Deals

eBay sells off StubHub for $4B so it can go free

Queen at Wembley... Texas vs. USC. Beychella. When you clench a ticket to a great event, you only sell for a high price. For eBay, it took $4B to give up online ticketing site StubHub. The buyer is Swiss-based sports ticketing peer Viagogo, whose co-founder ironically also co-founded StubhHub (small world.).

  • EBay paid only $310M to acquire StubHub in 2007. It's selling it now for $4B — that's a brag-worthy 13X return.

eBay just dropped StubHub off at college... As one of 2 major destinations for event tickets (the other is Live Nation-owned TicketMaster), StubHub is positioned for success. But it lamely languished in eBay's home — sales last year barely budged up. Now StubHub can reach its full potential as part of a company 100% focused on ticketing. That's what happened with eBay's old subsidiary, PayPal.

  • 2002: eBay acquired PayPal for just $1.5B because it needed some help processing payments.
  • 2015: eBay spun off PayPal into its own publicly-traded company worth ~$40B.
  • Today: PayPal is thriving, worth over $120B.

eBay needs to focus more on eBay... Behind this sale was a powerful crew of activist investors in eBay pushing the company to get back to basics. The OG ecommerce site has fallen behind — here's today's ecommerce scoreboard:

  1. Amazon is #1 with 47% of the US market.
  2. eBay has fallen to #2 with just 6.1%.
  3. Walmart and Apple are #3 and #4 — and they're not far behind eBay.
Unfit

London tries to ban Uber (for a 2nd time) for "unfitness"

Uber X, Uber XL, Uber Powdered Wig... London's transport agency announced out of nowhere Monday that it is removing Uber's privilege to operate in Her Majesty's capital. The reason: "not fit and proper." Let's get more specific:

  • The claim: Uber has had a "pattern of failures" that "placed passengers and their safety at risk."
  • For example: 43 unauthorized drivers (including some banned by Uber) used their buddies' Uber driver accounts to drive, and even uploaded their profile picture so passengers wouldn't notice.
  • The result: London experienced 14K rides with those unauthorized drivers. That also means no proper insurance in place.
  • The verdict: Uber's tried to fix these issues, but London doesn't think it's fit to.

Kate Middleton can still Uber Black if she wants to... because Uber is appealing this, naturally. Its other 3.5M Uber riders and 45K Uber drivers will keep ubering too until the courts decide if the ruling is legal or not. London tried to stop Uber 2 years ago, but ultimately gave Uber another shot during that appeal.

Uber's #1 threat is public policy... aka government's laws, rules, and regulations. Uber requires politicians' consent to operate, but plenty of them don't like Uber — the brand's become villainous. Airbnb, Lyft, and SmileDirectClub face similar policy threats, but can learn from where Uber went wrong: Brand reputation is critical when politicians stand between you and profits.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Chill: Netflix goes full-on movie, reopening a 71-year-old theater in New York
  • Private?: Facebook's new research app, Viewpoints, will pay you (yes, you) to take surveys and give it more data
  • Sued: McDonald's pays $26M to California cooks and cashiers after they accused Ronald of holding back their paychecks
  • 1M: T-Mobile reveals the bad news: over 1M customers were exposed by a breach (the good news: none of it was passwords or financial info)

Tuesday

Disclosure: Authors of this Snacks own shares of Amazon and options of SmileDirectClub

ID: 1021836

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Nicolai Tangen, the CEO who holds the purse strings of Norway’s $1.6 trillion sovereign wealth fund, thinks that his fellow Europeans don’t quite stack up to US employees when it comes to pure hustle, telling the Financial Times in a recent interview that there is a difference in “the general level of ambition” and thatthe Americans just work harder”. 

Tangen has clearly been putting his money — or more specifically Norway’s — where his mouth is: the sprawling Norwegian oil fund, now one of the largest investors on the planet, has been pumping more capital into its US holdings in the past decade, while decreasing its investment into European entities.

The troublesome news for our European readers? Tangen might be onto something. According to data from the OECD, American workers are putting in almost 60 hours a year more than the weighted average for OECD nations… a benchmark that workers from countries in the European Union are already ~180 hours shy of.

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Tangen has clearly been putting his money — or more specifically Norway’s — where his mouth is: the sprawling Norwegian oil fund, now one of the largest investors on the planet, has been pumping more capital into its US holdings in the past decade, while decreasing its investment into European entities.

The troublesome news for our European readers? Tangen might be onto something. According to data from the OECD, American workers are putting in almost 60 hours a year more than the weighted average for OECD nations… a benchmark that workers from countries in the European Union are already ~180 hours shy of.

Hours worked
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$70B

Alphabet shares are soaring in the after-market session, with a initial jump of more than 10% implying a gain of upwards of about $200B in market value when the stock opens tomorrow morning.

Google’s parent company crushed earnings expectations, initiated a cash dividend for the first time, and authorized a fresh $70B in share repurchases for good measure. The market likes it very much.

Business
Rani Molla
4/25/24

No, Apple hasn’t cut its Vision Pro production estimates in half

Quite a few news outlets are reporting that Apple thinks it’s only going to sell 400,000 to 450,000 Vision Pros in 2024, compared a “market consensus” of 700,000 to 800,000. They’re all citing a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

Obviously there’s no question that Apple’s $3,500 face computer will have a limited audience and could be a huge flop, but this also doesn’t seem like accurate news.

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

 Max Holloway and Mark Zuckerberg

Meta exhaustingly tries to merge the metaverse and AI

Gonna have to rename the company... again

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