Friday Jan.06, 2023

🛀 Bed Bath & Bankrupt?

So long to long coupons (Scott Olson/Getty Images)
So long to long coupons (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

This CES car is giving us mood-ring flashbacks: BMW showed off a color-changing concept vehicle that one day could match drivers’ emotions. We’re imagining a sea of red at rush hour.

In an economy where good news is bad news, stocks fell after surprisingly strong December jobs numbers. Investors feared the still-hot labor market could lead to more aggro rate hikes.

Fold

Bed Bath & Beyond could go bankrupt as the coupon king loses its category-killer crown

Throwing in the (bath) towel… Shares of Bed Bath & Beyond lost over a quarter of their value yesterday after the embattled retailer said it might file for bankruptcy. Refresher: BB&B has racked up big debts over the years and has struggled to attract new shoppers online and in stores. Now the home-goods legend says it may not have enough $$ to cover key expenses.

  • Looking back: In September, BB&B announced lifeline plans to close 150 stores, slash 20% of its workforce, and raise $500M in financing. Update: it still needs help.
  • Moving forward: BB&B expects its net loss will soar 40% to $386M for the third quarter (which includes Black Friday). Q3 sales are forecast to sink 33% from last year.

Private label, public problems… During the pandemic shopping boom, BB&B focused on creating private-label brands to compete with cheaper offerings from Amazon and Walmart. Yet the pivot resulted in shoppers struggling to find recognizable brands they actually wanted (think: Keurigs and KitchenAid mixers). Last year, BB&B said it had lost $175M in sales because of out-of-stock items. Now it’s still exploring non-bankruptcy options like restructuring and raising cash, but it could be too little too late.

Category-killers are getting killed… Old-school category-killers like Barnes & Noble, Blockbuster, and BB&B snatched sales from small businesses as they spread across America. BB&B used to be the go-to for dorm hauls and bathroom makeovers. Now shoppers have a wide variety of online retailers (cough, Amazon) to choose from, and OG category-killers are dying. Case in point: Toys R Us filed for bankruptcy in 2017 and JCPenney followed suit in 2020.

Run

Crypto mega bank Silvergate sheds staff and bails on digital-currency plans as customers pull out billions

Mega bank run… The California bank that helped fuel the crypto boom is feeling crypto winter's wrath. Silvergate announced yesterday that it's cutting 40% of its staff following an $8.1B bank run — which the biz says forced it to sell assets at a $718M loss to cover. That's more than its total profit since 2013 (ouch). That news, plus word that Silvergate's halting its digital-currency plans (down the drain: $196M spent on Facebook's Diem tech) led to a nearly 50% decline in Silvergate stock. Now its execs say the biz could be a takeover target.

High roller… with a low-key profile. Silvergate greases the crypto industry's wheels by helping big businesses move big bucks in and out of crypto platforms. 90% of the bank's deposits are crypto-related. It’s provided banking services to Coinbase and Gemini and held deposits for both FTX and its sister hedge fund, Alameda Research. Once it got into crypto, it blew up fast: by 2019 it served 1.6K miners, exchanges, and crypto custodians. As of last year, it held $16B in deposits — up from $2B in 2020. Now it’s blowing up again, in a bad way:

  • Crypt-no: Silvergate execs said yesterday that its customers were closing accounts and pulling out of crypto altogether.
  • SBF’d: Last month lawmakers questioned the bank over any possible role in the loss of billions in FTX customer funds.

Big bets mean big risks… Silvergate put most of its eggs in the crypto basket, helping it grow from a relatively small SoCal bank to an industry player. But as crypto winter set in and investors ran for sunnier pastures, that basket has come back to bite it — and the wider industry could suffer from the fallout. Silvergate’s expected to report this month.

NFTRIAL

The Crypto Catch-Up…

  • 🤹‍♀️ Quirky… NFTs are heading to a US court this month after luxury designer Hermès sued an artist over his digi assets depicting Birkin bags (meet: MetaBirkins). The trial could set the tone for how courts treat NFTs.

  • 🪙 Coins… A judge ruled that bankrupt crypto lender Celsius owns the $4.2B that customers deposited into 600K interest-bearing accounts (putting them last in line for repayment). Also, the NY attorney general sued Celsius's founder, accusing him of fraud.

  • 🌶️ Spicy… Sam Bankman-Fried pleaded not guilty to eight criminal charges related to FTX’s collapse. His trial is scheduled to start in October, but two former colleagues have already pleaded guilty.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Pill: Walgreens became the first major US pharmacy chain to say it’ll sell abortion pills in states where it’s legal, after an FDA rule change (CVS followed suit). The pill’s approved for use up to 10 weeks into pregnancy.
  • Stitch: Online personal styling service Stitch Fix plans to cut 20% of its staff and announced its CEO will step down. The fashion box company is trying to return to profitability after hefty losses.
  • Splurge: “Add to cart” was the jingle of this holiday season: Americans spent a hefty $212B shopping online, Adobe Analytics said, as steep discounts attracted inflation-weary consumers.
  • Cut: Genesis laid off 30% of its staff and is eying bankruptcy. The crypto lender has struggled to recoup a $1B+ loan and is the subject of a public spat starring Cameron Winklevoss.
  • Xtra: Elon’s space baby could get some major rocket fuel: SpaceX is said to be raising $750M in a funding round that values it at $137B (about a third of a Tesla). Last year it raised $2B.

Friday

  • December jobs report released
  • Earnings expected from Greenbrier

Authors of this Snacks own: shares of Amazon, CVS, Tesla, and Walmart

ID: 2666330

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Tangential remarks

Nicolai Tangen, the CEO who holds the purse strings of Norway’s $1.6 trillion sovereign wealth fund, thinks that his fellow Europeans don’t quite stack up to US employees when it comes to pure hustle, telling the Financial Times in a recent interview that there is a difference in “the general level of ambition” and thatthe Americans just work harder”. 

Tangen has clearly been putting his money — or more specifically Norway’s — where his mouth is: the sprawling Norwegian oil fund, now one of the largest investors on the planet, has been pumping more capital into its US holdings in the past decade, while decreasing its investment into European entities.

The troublesome news for our European readers? Tangen might be onto something. According to data from the OECD, American workers are putting in almost 60 hours a year more than the weighted average for OECD nations… a benchmark that workers from countries in the European Union are already ~180 hours shy of.

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Tangen has clearly been putting his money — or more specifically Norway’s — where his mouth is: the sprawling Norwegian oil fund, now one of the largest investors on the planet, has been pumping more capital into its US holdings in the past decade, while decreasing its investment into European entities.

The troublesome news for our European readers? Tangen might be onto something. According to data from the OECD, American workers are putting in almost 60 hours a year more than the weighted average for OECD nations… a benchmark that workers from countries in the European Union are already ~180 hours shy of.

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$70B

Alphabet shares are soaring in the after-market session, with a initial jump of more than 10% implying a gain of upwards of about $200B in market value when the stock opens tomorrow morning.

Google’s parent company crushed earnings expectations, initiated a cash dividend for the first time, and authorized a fresh $70B in share repurchases for good measure. The market likes it very much.

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Rani Molla
4/25/24

No, Apple hasn’t cut its Vision Pro production estimates in half

Quite a few news outlets are reporting that Apple thinks it’s only going to sell 400,000 to 450,000 Vision Pros in 2024, compared a “market consensus” of 700,000 to 800,000. They’re all citing a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

Obviously there’s no question that Apple’s $3,500 face computer will have a limited audience and could be a huge flop, but this also doesn’t seem like accurate news.

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

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Meta exhaustingly tries to merge the metaverse and AI

Gonna have to rename the company... again

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