Prada? In this economy?… “I could have my Gucci on” takes a literal turn: 62% of respondents in a new Saks Fifth Avenue survey said they planned to spend the same or more on luxury goods in the coming months. It’s a theme: global luxury sales grew 22% last year as consumers shrugged off price hikes from brands like Chanel and Hermès. In January, Dior owner Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton (aka: LVMH) reported record revenue and profit, and last week Prada reported booming annual sales.
Not so home alone… It might seem odd that luxury sales are thriving in this high-interest-rate, recession-flavored environment. But an unlikely cohort may be keeping the cash flowing: young adults who moved back in with the ’rents (#no-pay-rent). Nearly half of US adults 18 to 29 live at home, and Morgan Stanley suggested that some of that money saved on housing is being spent on handbags. Spending by Gen Z and millennials accounted for all of the luxury sector's growth last year. But rent-free livin' is probably not the only luxury booster:
A “richcession” could be coming… because even luxury's not immune to macro trends. Shoppers earning between $100K and $200K are feeling more cautious, and some higher earners have been trading down (even Walmart said it's attracting higher-income customers). Because mass layoffs have disproportionately affected higher-income workers (think: tech), wealthier Americans could fare worse than usual in a down market. That could lead to a “richcession,” The Wall Street Journal said. Meanwhile, the hospitality sector (picture: bars, hotels) — which employs Americans with lower incomes — is one of the US’s fastest-growing employers.