Bralette

American Eagle's earnings: revenge spending, school delays, and the sub-brand takeover

Snacks / Monday, September 06, 2021

Cutoff shorts summer... follows bralette spring. Mall icon American Eagle reported all-time high second-quarter sales yesterday. But sales still missed expectations, and the stock dropped 10% (womp). Mid-pandemic, AE's core brand sales fell while its loungewear sub-brand Aerie thrived. Aerie sells comfy basics, from hoodies to flared leggings — and makes up more than a fourth of AE's total sales. Pandemic-friendly Aerie is still #thriving, but AE's jeans and blouses bounced back last quarter, and are growing faster.

  • Jegging fit: AE's sales surged 35%, while Aerie's grew 34%. It's Aerie's 27th straight quarter of double-digit sales growth.
  • IRL fit: AE's online sales fell as shoppers returned to its 1K+ (non-clickable) stores. Meanwhile, Gap and Macy’s have seen ecomm growth taper.
  • School fit: Another retail trend that AE noted: back-to-school shopping is happening later than usual. Abercrombie suffered the consequences last quarter.

Not a horror movie... Last quarter, AE did a stellar job avoiding "The Discount Spiral of Death" by reducing discounts and avoiding overstock. That lack of 70% off tags led to a $121M profit, up from a $14M loss last year. AE also optimized costs by closing 18 core brand stores last quarter — but it opened 23 new Aerie stores.

Sub-brands are the new front-brands... Despite AE's rebound, Aerie was the earnings star. It's a theme: sub-brands have been driving big growth for their parents. Urban Outfitters' sales more than 3X'd last quarter, thanks to a major boost from its Free People activewear sub-brand, “Movement.” Hollister and lingerie brand Gilly Hicks now make up more than half of Abercrombie's total sales. And Old Navy makes up more than half of Gap's sales.

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