Friday Sep.11, 2020

🏈 Postmates wins NFL marketing

_Clear eyes, full stomachs, can't lose_
_Clear eyes, full stomachs, can't lose_

Hey Snackers,

19 years ago today, 2,977 people lost their lives in the September 11th attacks on New York, DC, and in Pennsylvania. It's a day that changed the world forever. It's also a day of Service and Remembrance, when Americans are called on to volunteer, help each other out, and we find strength in unity.

The market dipped yesterday as Big Tech stocks fell. The constant mention of "Big Tech" as a market mover is just another reminder that Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Facebook make up over 20% of the stock market's total value.

Kickoff

Postmates becomes the official on-demand delivery partner of the NFL

Clear eyes, full hearts... can’t lose when you’re the official anything of the National Football League. ICYMI: last night, the NFL brought back football (the least socially distant of all sports). ICYM the score: Postmates won the marketing game.

  • Postmates is now the 1st official on-demand delivery partner of the NFL. Great title to stick on the fridge for its parent Uber, which announced it's snatching up Postmates for $2.6B in July.
  • The multiyear partnership also makes Postmates a Super Bowl sponsor. Just wait for the Chipotle Super Brown Rice Bowl and Tuna Poke Super Bowl commercials to roll in.

"Postmated" is basically LA slang... So far, Postmates has been the smallest fish in the Delivery Wars pond. Before it got acquired by Uber, it had just 8% of the US market share for delivery (mostly in LA). Don DoorDash dominates the mafia-style food delivery wars with a 40%+ share, followed by Uber and Grubhub. But Uber/Postmates has a winning marketing strategy:

  • Play #1: People will mostly be staying home to watch games — no sweaty crowded bars and beer-drenched tables. Perfect time for a food delivery partnership with the NFL.
  • Play #2: America is united in its love of football (at least there's one thing). This NFL sponsorship could be the perfect way for CA-based Postmates to win nation-wide love.

The NFL powers an entire economic ecosystem... Postmates is the official delivery partner of the NFL, but the NFL is the unofficial cash cow of American marketing. That's because 43 of the top 50 most-watched TV broadcasts last year were football games. The NFL is the blue whale that the whole ecosystem feeds off of. In turn, the fishes feed the NFL with big cash money for extra high-exposure partnerships and $12M commercials.

Furnish

Restoration Hardware is the comfiest member of corona-conomy's Fancy Flyers

Hit 'em with the cloud couch... Restoration Hardware is the upscale home-furnishing company whose stores look like WeWork and the Palace of Versailles had a baby (on steroids). RH prefaced its earnings with an inspiring quote from Emerson. We're certain that the Transcendental, nature-adoring poet would love to see his words on the financial report of a company that sells $5K couches.

  • RH sales just barely grew compared to the same quarter last year, buuut...
  • Profit jumped over 50%. RH got to keep more $$$ from each $10K table it sold by raising prices. It expects to have an even higher profit margin next quarter.

Luxury still pays off... RH stock jumped 20% on the strong report coupled with an analyst upgrade. Home Depot had its best quarter in 20 years thanks to the pandemic "House Hype." But non-affordable brands are thriving, too:

  • Despite having sky-high prices during a time of economic turmoil, RH is still winning. Wealthy consumers are splurging to give their homes a (pricey) pandemic upgrade.
  • Well said:“The high-income consumer is healthy and is investing in their homes” — Cristina Fernández, the analyst who upgraded RH stock.

The corona-conomy has Fancy Flyers... There's a class of expensive/luxury brands like RH that is thriving during the pandemic. These companies are seeing increased demand from wealthier consumers looking to adapt to the stay-at-home life.

  • Lululemon's online sales soared 157% and its stock is up ~40% this year.
  • Peloton just reported an expectation-crushing 172% sales surge. The stock is up ~200% this year.
  • Apple had its best 2nd quarter ever and became the most valuable company on earth this year.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • LOL: LVMH does a 180, and is now citing Tiffany's "mismanagement” and “very disappointing” financials as the reason it's ditching the $16B merger.
  • Pong: Facebook returns to its college roots, launching a network called Campus that's specifically for college students.
  • Bagged: Simon Property Group, America's largest mall owner, teams up with Brookfield to buy JCPenney out of bankruptcy (price tag: $1.75B).
  • Harmony: Chinese tech giant Huawei will launch smartphones next year that use its own operating system ("Harmony OS") instead of Google's Android.
  • Mushu: China bans media coverage of Disney's "Mulan" in response to backlash — part of it was filmed in Xinjiang, where China has clamped down on ethnic minorities.
  • Cloudy: Oracle returns to sales growth and posts strong earnings on increased WFH cloud demand.

Friday

Disclosure: Authors of this Snacks own shares of Uber, Apple, Amazon, and Spotify

ID: 1328653

Get Your News

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Latest Stories

Business

No, Apple hasn’t cut its Vision Pro production estimates in half

Quite a few news outlets are reporting that Apple thinks it’s only going to sell 400,000 to 450,000 Vision Pros in 2024, compared a “market consensus” of 700,000 to 800,000. They’re all citing a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

Obviously there’s no question that Apple’s $3,500 face computer will have a limited audience and could be a huge flop, but this also doesn’t seem like accurate news.

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

Go Deeper with Market Depth

Nasdaq TotalView powers the need-to-know data serious investors rely on.

Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
 Max Holloway and Mark Zuckerberg

Meta exhaustingly tries to merge the metaverse and AI

Gonna have to rename the company... again

Your inbox is ready

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Markets

Chipotle continues to go on a tear, hitting a sales record

Hey it might not be the kind of AI stock investors are all hot and bothered over, but don’t sleep on the burrito business.

Chipotle posted much better-than-expected results on Wednesday, with sales rising 14% to a record $2.70B in the first quarter, which is like a billion additions of guac.

Profits jumped 23% to $359M.

Chipotle has quietly cruised higher over the last year. It’s up 63%, compared to the 24.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the 12 months through Wednesday’s close. Not bad for a rice-and-beans based business model.

Tech

Facebook had great earnings, the market hates it

Facebook reported impressive earnings. Record first-quarter revenue thanks to AI! Profit up 117% compared to a year earlier! But at the same time, its capital expenditures are going up and it’s expecting second quarter revenue potentially lower than analyst estimates. So in other words, the future doesn’t look as bright as the present.

All in all the stock is down more than 10%. (Basically the opposite of what happened with Tesla yesterday).

Business
Rani Molla
4/24/24

Why Tesla investors are holding on to hope for a cheap car

Despite terrible earnings numbers last night — declining vehicle sales, disappointing revenue and profit, enormous spending — Tesla stock is up more than 10% as of midday. That’s a welcome move for the car company, that’s been among the worst performers this year in the S&P 500.

Why the about face?

While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

Job switchers and stayers

The FTC is banning non-compete clauses

Why that might make job switching even more lucrative

Culture

Not so Gucci

French luxury fashion conglomerate Kering has seen its shares fall ~10% in the last 24 hours after reporting that sales at its flagship brand Gucci had dropped 21% in its latest quarter.

Kering’s other brands, which include Yves Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga, fared slightly better — but the only real bright spot was the company’s eyewear division, where sales rose 24% (9% on a comparable basis).

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales