Tuesday Apr.06, 2021

🇺🇸 Corporate America pushes back

_Mustang Mach-E or Mach-Elon?_
_Mustang Mach-E or Mach-Elon?_

Hey Snackers,

A mafia fugitive was caught by Italian police thanks to his YouTube cooking show. He was just trying to make a nice spaghetti bolognese...

Stocks climbed to record highs (again) yesterday, as investors reacted to the surprisingly awesome March jobs report. Job gains were strongest in leisure and hospitality — a strong sign of economic rebound.

Vote

Georgia's new voting restrictions spark major pushback from corporate America

ICYMI... Georgia made big changes to its voting laws — and they've received a lot of pushback. In case you didn't have time to read the 98-page law, we've highlighted a few key changes:

  • New ID requirements for absentee voters. Like: providing their driver’s license number, the last four digits of their social, or some other form of accepted ID to request ballots.
  • Shortened absentee voting: Absentee ballots can be sent out only 29 days before an election, down from 49 days.
  • Expanded weekend early voting, requiring at least two Saturdays (up from only one weekend day).
  • Guaranteed (but limited) drop boxes: Now, each county must have at least one absentee drop box. But the law limits how many boxes each county can have, how long they can be open, and where they can be located.
  • No hand-outs: The law makes it a misdemeanor to hand out “any money or gifts," including snacks and water to people standing in line to vote.

Back to the pushback... While GOP lawmakers say the law is necessary to restore confidence in Georgia's elections, Democrats say it'll restrict voting access for underrepresented voters — especially people of color. Now, dozens of execs at America's biggest companies are speaking out against the law, including: Apple, Microsoft, and American Express. Patagonia compared the laws to Jim Crow bills. And Georgia's biggest corporations are getting vocal:

  • Delta CEO Ed Bastian: “The entire rationale for this bill was based on a lie: that there was widespread voter fraud in Georgia in the 2020 elections. This is simply not true.”
  • Coca-Cola CEO James Quincey: The Georgia law is "wrong and needs to be remedied, and we will continue to advocate for it both in private and now even more clearly in public."

Silence is no longer an option. Neither is inaction... Last year, we wrote that 2020 was the year when “no comment” was no longer an option for companies. While 2020 demanded a position, 2021 is demanding action. 72 Black execs have called on corporations to oppose voting restrictions — which have been proposed in dozens of other states, too. The MLB said it would move the All-Star Game from Atlanta in protest. And companies like Dell and American Airlines are already condemning a restrictive voting bill that's advancing in Texas. Companies' action against voting restrictions could set new expectations for how they respond to other key civic issues, too.

Compete

Tesla hits a car delivery record, but it's facing record competition

This just in: a S3XY update... Tesla delivered a record ~185K cars in the first three months of the year, beating expectations. That's more than double the # of cars it delivered in the same quarter last year (when Covid hit and factories stalled). Despite global supply chain shortages, it's also slightly up from the previous record-breaking quarter, thanks to strong demand from China. Shares jumped 4% on the news.

  • ~99% of Tesla deliveries last quarter were of the $35K+ Model 3 or the $50K+ Model Y crossover (aka: its more affordable models).

Profit is getting Musk-ular... so is competition. Before 2020, Tesla was struggling to post a profit. In 2020, it had its first full profitable year. Now, it's expected to post a $470M profit for the first quarter of 2021 (earnings drop in a few weeks). While Tesla's profits are solidifying, OG carmakers’ electric lineups are, too. GM, Ford, Volkswagen (Voltswagen?), and Renault have been leveling up their EVs... and stealing market share from Tesla.

  • Europe: In 2020, Volkswagen beat Tesla to become the top-selling EV maker in Europe. While EV registrations in Western Europe more than 2X'd, Tesla registrations fell 11% — and its market share plunged.
  • US: Tesla's EV market share fell from ~79% in 2020, to ~69% this February. The same month, Ford's Mustang Mach-E made up 12% of all-electric vehicles delivered.
  • China: Tesla is growing fast, but so are its Chinese rivals Nio, Xpeng, and Li Auto. Their sales have surged this year along with Tesla's.

Tesla has reached escape velocity... Now that it's profitable, its next challenge is battling rivals. For years, Tesla faced virtually no competition. Now the competition has never been tougher... so it's shifting focus. This year, Tesla is aiming to open its first factory in Europe — aka: the world's largest EV market — to gain a stronger foothold against global rivals.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Taxy: Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is pushing for a global minimum corporate tax rate, to keep the US competitive in case taxes are raised.
  • Drop: GameStop may sell up to $1B worth of new shares to capitalize on its stock surge earlier this year — shares fell on the news.
  • Judged: The Supreme Court sided with Google against Oracle in a multi-year copyright dispute over Android operating system software.
  • Ruled: The Senate’s parliamentarian ruled in favor of the Dems' effort to pass legislation through reconciliation (aka: without Republicans).
  • Clean: Harry's, the Millennial shaving company, raised $155M in fresh funding at a $1.7B valuation.
  • Thingy: Spotify leaks another look at the "Car Thing," its much-hyped in-car music player (looks like an iPhone with a poorly-placed PopSocket).

Tuesday

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Tesla, Delta, and GM

ID: 1591372

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World

Do you want to run the State Department of McDonald’s?

A couple of days ago, a tweet making fun at McDonald’s hiring a “Manager for Diplomatic Relations” went viral.

At first glance, the idea that McDonald’s, a burger franchise known for its double quarter pounders and perfectly salted fries, is expanding its diplomatic influence with policy makers in Foggy Bottom and the world at large sounds comical. But it’s actually crucial.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

There are more than 40,000 McDonald’s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonald’s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonald’s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasn’t McDonald’s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the company’s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

Nuke stocks up on AI excitement

For most of humanity, the thought of “nuclear-powered AI” sends a shiver down the spine. But the stock market is all for it! Just check out the list of top performing S&P 500 stocks this year. Just behind established AI plays — Super Micro Computer and Nvidia, you’ll find Constellation Energy, the largest operator of nuclear plants in the U.S. NRG Energy, which also operates nuclear plants, isn’t far behind. Bloomberg reports that CEO of power distributor Exelon — which spun off Constellation in 2022 — says in the Chicago area alone, AI could drive a 900% jump in demand for energy from data centers.

Tech

China makes Apple remove WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram from app store

In its latest move to restrict foreign tech, Beijing has ordered Apple to remove a number of popular messaging apps from its app store there, including WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram.

These apps had only been available through VPNs but were popular nonetheless, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone maker’s second biggest market over “national security concerns.” Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

Business

Tesla's recall reveals just how bad Cybertruck delivery numbers have been

Thanks to a recall of Tesla’s Cybertrucks, we now know how many of them have actually been delivered: 3,878 since the EV company began releasing them to customers in November.

In its third and fourth quarter earnings report, Tesla said that its current Cybertruck production capacity was greater than 125,000 a year. Musk had previously said he expected to produce 250,000 Cybertrucks a year by 2025.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

Either way, that’s a lot more than the roughly 775 it’s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, “may dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.” The cause of the issue: “unapproved” soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and “held the accelerator down 100%” in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasn’t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruck’s second recall since it came out five months ago.

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Markets

Cocoa hits $11,000

Cocoa prices are breaking records on an almost daily basis — with cocoa futures closing at (another) all-time high of $11,020 per metric ton yesterday.

That’s up 158% since the start of the year, and over 4x on the typical prices seen in 2022 — as crop production continues to fall short of demand.

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the world’s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: “shrinkflation” and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices
Power

World out of balance: It costs the US 3¢ to make 1 penny

The cost of producing a US penny rose 13% in fiscal 2023 to 3.07 cents. Yes, it means that Uncle Sam loses more than 2 cents for every cent it produces. (And no, you can’t make it up on volume.)

For the record, that’s the 18th straight year the penny’s face value has been below production costs, fueling calls for abolishing the lowest value denomination coin. Canada started to phase out the penny in 2013, joining Australia, Brazil, Finland, New Zealand, Norway, and Israel, according to Smithsonian Magazine.

3.07¢
Business
Rani Molla
4/18/24

Netflix is going to stop sharing subscriber numbers

After posting subscriber numbers that beat expectations today, Netflix says it’s no longer going to share those numbers starting in the first quarter of 2025. That’s a big deal since subscriber numbers have long been one of the main metrics that investors have looked at.

“In our early days, when we had little revenue or profit, membership growth was a strong indicator of our future potential,” its shareholders letter read. “But now we’re generating very substantial profit and free cash flow.” The company said that it will focus on revenue and operating margin as its main financial metrics, while it will look at time spent on the platform to gauge customer satisfaction.

Another way to read this? They’ve hit market saturation and just aren’t going to be growing that much anymore, and they thought they’d end on a good note. Going forward they’re focusing on how to get more money out of the customers they do have.

They’re doing so by cracking down on password sharing and charging for extra members. They’re also pushing people to ad tiers, which are more profitable than non-ad tiers.

“Scaling ads to become a more meaningful contributor to our business in ‘25 and beyond,” Netflix said.

Netflix’s ads membership grew another 65% in Q1 over the previous one, after rising 70% the quarter before, and 40% of signups in ad markets continue to be for those ad plans.