Wednesday Apr.21, 2021

📲 Apple's colorful new gadgets

_When inflation hits the PB jar [Enes Evren/E+ via Getty Images]_
_When inflation hits the PB jar [Enes Evren/E+ via Getty Images]_

Hey Snackers,

Forget kombucha taps: Tesla's flaunting wild horses as its latest work perk.

Stocks ticked down yesterday, and Netflix reported a big subscriber slowdown.

Hermes

Apple's big product unveil: AirTags, pod subscriptions, and a whole lot of color

It's the ~ aesthetic ~ for Apple... Yesterday, Apple hosted its first event of the year. Starburst must have taken over Cupertino, because the tech giant unveiled a slate of deliciously colorful products. Like: a lavender-colored iPhone 12, and an iMac that comes in seven dreamy colors, including peach and mint. Apart from tea-flavored tones, Apple dropped:

  • New iPad Pro: Now built with Apple's powerful M1 chip and a better camera.
  • Redesigned iMac: Also with the M1 chip, and a fingerprint scanner.
  • Podcast Subscriptions: For paid ad-free listening and exclusive content.

The star of Apple's show... is also its worst-kept secret. Apple finally unveiled AirTags, little Bluetooth buttons you stick on things like wallets and keys to locate them (yep, just like Tile). They start at $29 each and drop on April 30. AirTags use Apple's U1 chip — the same one used in iPhone 12. The chip will make AirTags trackers more accurate than those from Tile, Samsung, and Sony. Also...

  • AirTags use the "Find My" network, the same one used for Find My iPhone, Friends, etc.
  • Like blockchain, for iPhones: "Find My" is a crowdsourced network of hundreds of millions of Apple devices that can help users locate their missing tech through Bluetooth connection. Whoa.

AirTags = ultimate brand power move... Apple’s powerful brand is a statement – that's currently limited to Apple devices. But with AirTags, people can slap expensive Apple labels on non-Apple products. The Find My network will expand beyond your iPhone, to your wallet, suitcase, and $300 Hermès key chain (seriously: Apple created one). Unlike Tile, AirTags are fancy-sleek: stainless steel and Apple-branded, with a smiley face on one side. There's a built in speaker that rings to help you find items. To cap it off, you can add free engraving (emojis included).

PB&J

Rising prices, inflation, and pricier peanut butter... through the lens of P&G's earnings

Charmin, Tide, Gillette, Swiffer... Your pandemic grocery list = Procter & Gamble's pandemic winners list. In October, the consumer packaged goods giant dropped its largest quarterly sales increase in 15 years (thanks to obsessive sanitizing). Last quarter, sales jumped 5% — the slowest increase in three years. But the headliner from P&G's earnings was price hikes.

  • P&G will raise prices for some household staples, from Pampers to Tampax. Expect 5% to 9% hikes in September. It cited rising costs for raw materials and transportation.

Your PB&J is getting pricier... P&G isn't the only consumer giant hiking prices — we're seeing the first widespread increases since 2018. As supply chain shortages and inflation raise prices, CPG giants are passing on the costs to consumers.

  • Kimberly-Clark, which makes Huggies and Scott TP, plans to broadly raise prices in North America to offset higher raw materials cost.
  • General Mills (think: Cheerios, Cocoa Puffs) will raise prices to offset rising commodity and production costs.
  • Hormel Foods raised prices of its Jennie-O turkey products in February to counter soaring grain costs. It upped Skippy peanut butter.
  • Smucker hiked up Jif peanut butter (PB can't catch a break), and might do the same with pet snacks.

Prices are fueling inflation concerns... but they may be overblown. People are worried that the purchasing power of the dollar could decrease, and prices could rise. Trillions of $$$ have been pumped into the economy over the past year, boosting spending (and sometimes, prices). As "revenge spending" soared in March, consumer prices jumped 2.6% from 2020 — the largest rise since August 2018. But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that one-time price increases will likely have only short-term effects on inflation (which has been hovering at a tame ~2% since 2008). While we're seeing prices rise faster in some sectors, like food, the Fed expects overall inflation to stay in check.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Verdict: Derek Chauvin was found guilty on all counts, including second-degree murder, in the death of George Floyd.
  • Unflix: Netflix shares plunged 9% after it reported a dramatic slowdown in subscriber growth (just 4M subs added last quarter).
  • Johnson: J&J reported $100M in quarterly sales from its "no profit" Covid vax — a tiny fraction of its pharma biz, which made $12B.
  • China: Chinese President Xi Jinping called for greater global economic integration and for the US and its allies to avoid “bossing others around.”
  • IPOat: Oatly, the Oprah-backed oat milk brand that craft coffee shops run on, has officially filed to IPO.
  • Random: Amazon is opening a hair salon in London to showcase its beauty offerings and new tech, including an app for AR haircuts.

Wednesday

  • Earnings expected from Chipotle, Verizon, Anthem, and NextEra Energy

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Apple

ID: 1614168

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Business

The FTC vs. Big Handbag

The Federal Trade Commission has sued to block big tech, big grocery, big vacuum, and now, big… “affordable luxury handbag.”

Yesterday, the FTC sued to block Tapestry Inc’s $8.5B acquisition of Capri holdings. The agency is worried that a merger between Tapestry, which owns the Coach and Kate Spade brands, and Capri, which owns Michael Kors, would eliminate competition in the market.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

The crux of the FTC's argument lies in the scope of the "accessible luxury" handbag market, where Tapestry competes with Michael Kors, with the FTC saying the following:

Where Tapestry and Capri most vigorously compete against one another – mainly between Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade brands against Capri’s Michael Kors brand – is in the “accessible luxury” handbag market. Today, Coach, Kate Spade and Michael Kors continuously monitor each other’s handbag brands to determine pricing and performance, and they each use that information to make strategic decisions, including whether to raise or lower handbag prices.

The deal would eliminate fierce head-to-head competition on many important attributes including on price, discounting, and design. Tens of millions of Americans that purchase Coach, Kade Spade, and Michael Kors products could face higher prices

While Capri and Tapestry are two of the largest players in this market, winning an antitrust case won't be so straightforward, as consumers have other options at similar price points, including Marc Jacobs (owned by competitor LVMH), Tory Burch, Cuyana, and Mansur.

Tesla had a good ride, but the stock’s price destruction is historic

Few people have created as much value as Elon Musk. The iconoclastic entrepreneur took Tesla from a market capitalization of roughly $2 billion at the time of its IPO in 2010 to $1.2 trillion in early 2023. That’s a return of about 55,000%. Musk made a lot of people a lot of money.

On the other hand, Tesla shares are down nearly 60% since their all-time peak. The company has ceded ground in EVs, prompting a series of profit crushing price cuts to preserve market share. The cumulative loss in market value over that period is pushing $800 billion. Few corporate executives have presided over such a degree of value destruction.

And it could get worse, as people are bracing for an ugly update when Tesla reports after the close Tuesday.

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Tech

Smaller AI models are in

Tech companies that have long touted the enormity of their AI models are now saying size doesn’t always matter.

Microsoft is the latest tech company to introduce smaller AI models, as part of its Phi-3 tech family. Last week Meta released two smaller models of its AI Llama 3 and earlier this year Alphabet did the same. All are open sourcing these models to encourage wider adoption.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

Microsoft says its smallest model, which can fit on a smartphone and wouldn’t need to be connected to the internet to work, is nearly as good as OpenAI’s GPT-3.5. A Microsoft exec suggested this less expensive model could be a good fit for online advertisers, if not doctors.

$127

The average bitcoin-transaction fee hit an all-time high of $127 on Friday.

The temporary spike came as the halving cut miner rewards and traders forked over huge sums of BTC (skewing the average) to be included in the first post-halving block.

Adding fuel to the fee fire was the launch of Runes, a new protocol that lets developers create memecoins on top of the bitcoin blockchain. The debut was so popular that fees popped as traders fought for limited block space.

2024-04-22-1-america-importing-less-from-china

The US now buys more goods from Mexico than from China

Chinese imports are down as companies begin to "nearshore" in Mexico

2024-04-22-paramount-global-site

Multiple bidders want to buy Paramount Global’s sprawling media assets

Junk

How much of the world’s plastic is recycled? Only a fraction

Landfills still account for the majority of plastic disposal

Markets

Stock market gains for 2024 cut by more than half

All of the sudden, the stock market seems to be running out of steam.

There’s no big mystery here. War in the Mideast has pushed up oil prices, which will help keep inflation elevated. And annoyingly high price increases in March have already pushed the June Fed rate cuts the market was banking on farther into the uncertain future.

All that’s added up to higher interest rates and lower stock prices.