Friday Aug.05, 2022

šŸ¦‡ Warner scraps ā€œBatgirlā€

Leslie Grace, the star of ā€œBatgirlā€ (Sean Zanni/Patrick McMullan via Getty Images)
Leslie Grace, the star of ā€œBatgirlā€ (Sean Zanni/Patrick McMullan via Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

Mochas are mixing with the metaverse: Starbucks is adding Web3 sweeteners to its rewards program to attract more Gen Z coffee connoisseurs (collectible vanilla-frap NFT, anyone?).

Stocks barely budged yesterday, but oil continued its decline, falling below $90/barrel. Investors have eyes on todayā€™s July jobs report, which is expected to show slower hiring.

Batted

After spending $90M on ā€œBatgirl,ā€ Warner is scrapping the flick as priorities shift from streaming to screening

Bye, bye, Batgirl... Warner Bros splurged $90M to produce "Batgirl," a movie based on the DC Comics character. Warner was planning to release it directly to its HBO Max streamer. Five years after the project kicked off, ā€œBatgirlā€ was basically ready to go ā€” but the public wonā€™t see it.

  • Warner Bros. Discovery is axing ā€œBatgirl,ā€ which wonā€™t be released on HBO Max or in theaters. FYI: studios rarely scrap finished productions.
  • Losing stream: The movie, starring Leslie Grace as Batgirl and Michael Keaton as Batman, was greenlighted last year as part of a push to create buzz-worthy features for HBO Max.
  • Gaining screen: Under new execs, Warner Bros. Discovery has pivoted its focus back to theatrical blockbusters as moviegoing recovers. Itā€™s also scrapping its made-for-streaming ā€œScooby-Dooā€ movie, which reportedly cost $40M.

Why not let ā€œBatgirlā€ fly?ā€¦ Insiders say the decision had nothing to do with the filmā€™s quality, but was a result of shifting priorities. Remember when Warnerā€™s then-CEO Jason Kilar decided to release all of Warnerā€™s 2021 films on HBO Max at the same time as theaters? Thatā€™s not happening this year. Current CEO David Zaslav seems committed to box-office hits.

  • Marketing $$: Studios need to market movies, and it wouldā€™ve cost between $30M and $50M to advertise ā€œBatgirlā€ in the US alone ā€” never mind globally.
  • Awkward: While ā€œBatgirlā€ may not be big enough for a global theatrical release, itā€™s likely too expensive to make sense for streaming alone.
  • Write it off: Sources say Warner Bros plans to recoup some of its losses by taking a tax write-down on the film. But that would mean it canā€™t monetize it.

The ā€œsunk-cost fallacyā€ doesnā€™t always applyā€¦ Sure, Warner threw $90M into this movie. But studios need eyes on their productions, and Warner likely thought the marketing costs for ā€œBatgirlā€ werenā€™t worth it. Now itā€™s cutting its losses, and not without reason: Yesterday, Warner revealed that it swung to a $3.4B loss, in its first earnings since merging with Discovery. Shares tanked 12%.

Raided

Thieves stole $190M from a crypto cross-chain bridge, but the risk to decentralized finance is about more than $$

Cross-chain bridgesā€¦ pave the way for highway robbery. Nomad, a crypto protocol that helps people bridge coins and tokens between different blockchains (think: moving USDC from ethereum to moonbeam), lost $190M to a freewheeling hack on Monday. After someone spotted a security vulnerability in Nomadā€™s smart contract, potentially hundreds of people got in on the theft, striking a reputational blow to key crypto infrastructure. But the problemā€™s bigger than just Nomad.

Crypto bridgeā€¦ is falling down. Nomad is only the most recent example of cracking crypto bridges. Wormhole was hit with a $325M hack in February, $625M was boosted from Ronin in March, and $100M was lifted from Harmony in June. In other words, cross-chain bridges are increasingly taking a beating. Just this year:

  • 69% of all stolen crypto has been looted from bridges (as opposed to exchanges or individuals).
  • $2B has been stolen from crypto bridges in at least 13 cross-chain bridge hacks.

Cross-chain bridges are critical for cryptoā€¦ but their shaky foundations put the #FutureOfFinance at risk. Different blockchains (think: bitcoin, ethereum, solana) are kind of like walled-off crypto kingdoms, with cross-chain bridges as the toll roads letting traders move coins (and Ape NFTs) between them. No bridges = no trade, making cross-chain bridges crucial to decentralized finance (DeFi). But like on the roads of old, robbers are hiding in the digital bushes ā€” and they're getting bolder. Bridge security will have to get its act together if blockchain kingdoms are to potentially flourish.

What else weā€™re Snackinā€™

  • Slots: Vegas is booming as the reopening attracts visitors to the gambling capital. Casino giants Caesars and MGM Resorts saw record quarterly sales for their Sin City properties as vacationers splurge on the strip.
  • Combo: Restaurant Brands topped expectations thanks to strong sales at its Burger King and Tim Hortons chains. More customers are using coupons and loyalty points to combat higher Whopper prices.
  • Wager: Coinbase shares jumped 10% after the crypto exchange signed a deal with BlackRock to let institutional investors (think: hedge funds) buy bitcoin. Coinbase has lost 65% of its value this year as crypto winter continues.
  • Spark: Electric-truck maker Nikola topped sales estimates and shrank losses last quarter, delivering 48 semis. It plans to deliver up to 500 more this year.
  • Butter: Paramount saw a 19% revenue boost last quarter, partly thanks to the box-office success of ā€œTop Gun: Maverick.ā€ Paramount+ also topped 43M subscribers as other streamers hit a wall.

Friday

  • July jobs report drops
  • Earnings expected from Goodyear Tire & Rubber

Authors of this Snacks own: bitcoin, solana and ethereum and shares of Starbucks, Nikola, and Warner Bros. Discovery

ID: 2339106

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Do you want to run the State Department of McDonaldā€™s?

A couple of days ago, a tweet making fun at McDonaldā€™s hiring a ā€œManager for Diplomatic Relationsā€ went viral.

At first glance, the idea that McDonaldā€™s, a burger franchise known for its double quarter pounders and perfectly salted fries, is expanding its diplomatic influence with policy makers in Foggy Bottom and the world at large sounds comical. But itā€™s actually crucial.

There are more than 40,000 McDonaldā€™s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonaldā€™s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonaldā€™s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasnā€™t McDonaldā€™s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the companyā€™s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

There are more than 40,000 McDonaldā€™s locations spread across 115 countries around the world, and 90% of these stores are independently owned and operated franchises that pay royalties to the parent organization to operate. Tens of thousands of franchises operated by different owners with different beliefs, priorities, and values can get complicated, fast.

As we noted in Snacks in February, McDonaldā€™s received heavy backlash from franchisees in countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, and Pakistan after McDonaldā€™s Israel donated thousands of free meals to IDF personnel. But it wasnā€™t McDonaldā€™s, as an entity, that made the donations. It was the owner of the companyā€™s Israel franchises, who was acting under his own volition.

Nuke stocks up on AI excitement

For most of humanity, the thought of ā€œnuclear-powered AIā€ sends a shiver down the spine. But the stock market is all for it! Just check out the list of top performing S&P 500 stocks this year. Just behind established AI plays ā€” Super Micro Computer and Nvidia, youā€™ll find Constellation Energy, the largest operator of nuclear plants in the U.S. NRG Energy, which also operates nuclear plants, isnā€™t far behind. Bloomberg reports that CEO of power distributor Exelon ā€” which spun off Constellation in 2022 ā€” says in the Chicago area alone, AI could drive a 900% jump in demand for energy from data centers.

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China makes Apple remove WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram from app store

In its latest move to restrict foreign tech, Beijing has ordered Apple to remove a number of popular messaging apps from its app store there, including WhatsApp, Threads, Signal and Telegram.

These apps had only been available through VPNs but were popular nonetheless, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Apple said the Chinese government asked them to remove the apps in the iPhone makerā€™s second biggest market over ā€œnational security concerns.ā€ Last week, China told its state-owned telecoms to phase out the use of US chips by 2027.

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Tesla's recall reveals just how bad Cybertruck delivery numbers have been

Thanks to a recall of Teslaā€™s Cybertrucks, we now know how many of them have actually been delivered: 3,878 since the EV company began releasing them to customers in November.

In its third and fourth quarter earnings report, Tesla said that its current Cybertruck production capacity was greater than 125,000 a year. Musk had previously said he expected to produce 250,000 Cybertrucks a year by 2025.

Either way, thatā€™s a lot more than the roughly 775 itā€™s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, ā€œmay dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.ā€ The cause of the issue: ā€œunapprovedā€ soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and ā€œheld the accelerator down 100%ā€ in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasnā€™t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruckā€™s second recall since it came out five months ago.

Either way, thatā€™s a lot more than the roughly 775 itā€™s delivered each month so far.

The recall is over an issue with the gas pedal pad that, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration says when pressed, ā€œmay dislodge, which may cause the pedal to become trapped in the interior trim above the pedal.ā€ The cause of the issue: ā€œunapprovedā€ soap that the manufacturer used to aid in getting the pad on the pedal.

A Cybertruck customer this week posted a TikTok about a terrifying incident in which this happened and ā€œheld the accelerator down 100%ā€ in his 6,000+ pound vehicle. Thanks to some quick thinking where he held down the brake and put it in park, he wasnā€™t injured.

This is the long-awaited Cybertruckā€™s second recall since it came out five months ago.

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Markets

Cocoa hits $11,000

Cocoa prices are breaking records on an almost daily basis ā€” with cocoa futures closing at (another) all-time high of $11,020 per metric ton yesterday.

Thatā€™s up 158% since the start of the year, and over 4x on the typical prices seen in 2022 ā€” as crop production continues to fall short of demand.

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the worldā€™s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: ā€œshrinkflationā€ and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

Cocoa prices

Major cocoa-producing nations like the Ivory Coast and Ghana, which between them grow about two-thirds of the worldā€™s cocoa, have seen excessive tree failure due to disease, changing weather patterns, and hot, dry conditions causing devastating droughts.

As such, consumers are starting to see the effects of the largest cocoa supply deficit in over 60 years: ā€œshrinkflationā€ and reduced-cocoa recipes might soon hit your favorite chocolate bars, and Hershey stock was recently downgraded. Unfortunately, the worst may still be yet to come: the International Cocoa Organization expects production to lag behind demand by 374,000 tons for the 2023-24 season.

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Netflix is going to stop sharing subscriber numbers

After posting subscriber numbers that beat expectations today, Netflix says itā€™s no longer going to share those numbers starting in the first quarter of 2025. Thatā€™s a big deal since subscriber numbers have long been one of the main metrics that investors have looked at.

ā€œIn our early days, when we had little revenue or profit, membership growth was a strong indicator of our future potential,ā€ its shareholders letter read. ā€œBut now weā€™re generating very substantial profit and free cash flow.ā€ The company said that it will focus on revenue and operating margin as its main financial metrics, while it will look at time spent on the platform to gauge customer satisfaction.

Another way to read this? Theyā€™ve hit market saturation and just arenā€™t going to be growing that much anymore, and they thought theyā€™d end on a good note. Going forward theyā€™re focusing on how to get more money out of the customers they do have.

Theyā€™re doing so by cracking down on password sharing and charging for extra members. Theyā€™re also pushing people to ad tiers, which are more profitable than non-ad tiers.

ā€œScaling ads to become a more meaningful contributor to our business in ā€˜25 and beyond,ā€ Netflix said.

Netflixā€™s ads membership grew another 65% in Q1 over the previous one, after rising 70% the quarter before, and 40% of signups in ad markets continue to be for those ad plans.