Friday Jun.04, 2021

🍧 Tesla's drive-in restaurants

_Meanwhile at a Tesla "Charge Club" [Flashpop/DigitalVision via GettyImages]_
_Meanwhile at a Tesla "Charge Club" [Flashpop/DigitalVision via GettyImages]_

Hey Snackers,

Guess it's going to be an Animal Style summer: In-N-Out released a pool float shaped like its french fry boats. Perfect for those who like their tans extra crispy.

Stocks dipped yesterday, dragged down by tech. Meanwhile, AMC stock plunged 21% after the company sold millions of shares for the second time this week — and warned people to only buy its stock if they’re prepared to risk losing their entire investment.

Mayo

Tesla’s drive-in restaurant moment couldn’t have been served at a better time

I’ll have the Musk Burger... with a side of Ludicrous Mode Mayo. That could soon be a reality for Tesla owners: Tesla just filed trademarks for restaurant services, including take-out, self-service, and pop-up restaurants. Think: fries and pressed juice while you juice up your Model S — instant "range anxiety" killer.

Pull up the Elon tweet... Since 2017, Tesla execs have been flirting with restaurant concepts. Picture: Tesla-only charging stations with convenience stores and upscale burger joints. In 2018, Elon tweeted that he was “Gonna put an old school drive-in, roller skates & rock restaurant" at a Tesla Supercharger station in LA. That hasn't happened yet, but Tesla has been developing a "Charge Club" model.

  • Tesla opened a lounge at its Kettleman City, CA Supercharger station. Think: free cappuccinos while your car charges — like an airline lounge, but for EV trips.
  • Owner-only perks reinforce the "lifestyle brand" strategy. That's why Chinese EV maker Nio created "Nio Houses," sleek showroom-clubhouses to give Nio owners a place to chill.

Exclusivity breeds brand loyalty... exactly what Tesla needs right now. Tesla’s global EV market share fell to 11% in April, from 29% in March. Ford and others are dropping sleek EVs at attractive prices, and the Biden admin is pushing for wider EV adoption. Competition is hotter than ever, and Tesla needs differentiators to justify its higher prices. With "Charge Clubs," Tesla can offer an ecosystem that others haven't built yet. Just like some people pay extra for loyalty flights with lounges, some might buy a Tesla over a Mach-E thanks to "Charge Clubs."

Sub

Twitter launches its first subscription service — but will people pay for social?

I'm Blue, da ba dee da ba di... Had to. Yesterday, Twitter started rolling out its first subscription service in Australia and Canada: "Twitter Blue." For ~$3/month, Blue offers access to exclusive features and perks. Like:

  • Undo Tweet: A 30-second timer to undo your tweet before it posts. Better than a delete button, worse than an edit button.
  • Bookmark Folders: To better organize your saved tweets. Side note: you can save tweets?
  • Reader Mode: Provides a "beautiful" reading experience for those long threads we all hate.
  • Not included: The power to exceed the 280 character limit. Guess we're sticking with haikus.

I see you diverisifying... Twitter confirmed that "free Twitter" is never going away (greeeeat). Subscriptions are just part of its goal to double annual revenue by 2023. Ad revenue makes up ~90% of Twitter's sales, so subs could add some #diversification — which is currently top of mind for social media companies.

  • Apple rolled out iOS changes that could hurt social apps' precious ad-targeting abilities.
  • Social giants have been taking heat from lawmakers and regulators about privacy and engagement-driven targeting algorithms.

Social media subscriptions are an untested concept... Facebook, Insta, Twitter, and Snap are free because they sell eyeballs to advertisers. We don't know how many people will actually pay for Twitter Blue, which still shows ads. But if a social giant offered an ad-free subscription, that could have wide appeal. Social apps reward engagement because they want users to spend more time scrolling ads. An ad-free sub could change their business incentives.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Flated: Global food prices posted the biggest jump in a decade, the latest sign of rising food inflation.
  • Lulu: Lululemon's quarterly sales soared 88% from last year as stores reopened — and ecomm no longer makes up most of its sales.
  • Budget: President Biden offered to keep Trump's tax cuts in his infrastructure counteroffer to Republicans. Still TBD if the Senate will ship it.
  • IP: The EU is pushing back against Biden-backed calls to waive patents for Covid-19 vaccines, prepping a rival plan to better protect vax-makers' IP.
  • SPACy: Universal Music is reportedly close to being acquired by a SPAC at a $40B valuation, which would be the biggest SPAC deal ever.
  • Work: Job growth in May is expected to be strong, which could add to the Fed's debate on tapering bond buying.

Friday

  • Unemployment rate released

Authors of this Snacks own shares of: Tesla

ID: 1

Correction: Yesterday, we said that Colonial paid $4.4B worth of Bitcoin in ransom — we meant $4.4M 😑

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Latest Stories

$70B

Alphabet shares are soaring in the after-market session, with a initial jump of more than 10% implying a gain of upwards of about $200B in market value when the stock opens tomorrow morning.

Google’s parent company crushed earnings expectations, initiated a cash dividend for the first time, and authorized a fresh $70B in share repurchases for good measure. The market likes it very much.

Business

No, Apple hasn’t cut its Vision Pro production estimates in half

Quite a few news outlets are reporting that Apple thinks it’s only going to sell 400,000 to 450,000 Vision Pros in 2024, compared a “market consensus” of 700,000 to 800,000. They’re all citing a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

Obviously there’s no question that Apple’s $3,500 face computer will have a limited audience and could be a huge flop, but this also doesn’t seem like accurate news.

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

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Markets

Chipotle continues to go on a tear, hitting a sales record

Hey it might not be the kind of AI stock investors are all hot and bothered over, but don’t sleep on the burrito business.

Chipotle posted much better-than-expected results on Wednesday, with sales rising 14% to a record $2.70B in the first quarter, which is like a billion additions of guac.

Profits jumped 23% to $359M.

Chipotle has quietly cruised higher over the last year. It’s up 63%, compared to the 24.5% gain for the S&P 500 over the 12 months through Wednesday’s close. Not bad for a rice-and-beans based business model.

Tech
Rani Molla
4/24/24

Facebook had great earnings, the market hates it

Facebook reported impressive earnings. Record first-quarter revenue thanks to AI! Profit up 117% compared to a year earlier! But at the same time, its capital expenditures are going up and it’s expecting second quarter revenue potentially lower than analyst estimates. So in other words, the future doesn’t look as bright as the present.

All in all the stock is down more than 10%. (Basically the opposite of what happened with Tesla yesterday).

Business
Rani Molla
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Why Tesla investors are holding on to hope for a cheap car

Despite terrible earnings numbers last night — declining vehicle sales, disappointing revenue and profit, enormous spending — Tesla stock is up more than 10% as of midday. That’s a welcome move for the car company, that’s been among the worst performers this year in the S&P 500.

Why the about face?

While Reuters reported earlier this month that Tesla is no longer making its long-awaited $25,000 mass-market car — news sent the stock, already suffering from headwinds across the EV industry, down even further— Tesla reported during its earnings that it’s going to make cheaper cars than it currently has.

Before the second half of next year, Tesla said it will release “more affordable models” that “will utilize aspects of the next generation platform as well as aspects of our current platforms, and will be able to be produced on the same manufacturing lines as our current vehicle line-up.”

So rather than release the $25,000 Model 2, Tesla is incorporating some of that technology into its existing models. UBS called it the Franken-3Y2.

Job switchers and stayers

The FTC is banning non-compete clauses

Why that might make job switching even more lucrative

Culture

Not so Gucci

French luxury fashion conglomerate Kering has seen its shares fall ~10% in the last 24 hours after reporting that sales at its flagship brand Gucci had dropped 21% in its latest quarter.

Kering’s other brands, which include Yves Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, and Balenciaga, fared slightly better — but the only real bright spot was the company’s eyewear division, where sales rose 24% (9% on a comparable basis).

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales

With Gucci responsible for roughly two-thirds of the company’s profit, the ongoing struggles of the brand are weighing heavily on the bottom line: the company expects recurring operating profit to drop 40-45% in the first six months of the year.

Gucci execs will be hoping that new designer Sabato de Sarno can turn the iconic brand’s fortunes around, particularly in China where demand has dropped precipitously. His designs only started hitting stores in February.

Gucci sales