Sherwood
Monday Dec.07, 2020

💰 Jobs, stocks, and stimulus talks

_When Santa arrives earlier than the second stimulus_
_When Santa arrives earlier than the second stimulus_

Hey Snackers,

The mysterious metal monolith has appeared (and disappeared) in Utah, Romania, and CA. Now stunt artists are selling $45K "monoliths-as-a-service." But it's still aliens.

Stocks closed last week at record highs on COVID-19 vaccine progress: Pfizer's vax got approved in the UK, and is currently getting reviewed by the FDA.

On the pod: Petco filed to IPO under ticker symbol WOOF (meow-ouch to cats).

Recap

The final jobs report of 2020: we're rounding up the good, the bad, and the ugly

If only BLS did a "Wrapped"... Instead, the Bureau of Labor Statistics just dropped "The Employment Situation" for November — aka: the final jobs report we'll see this year. We're wrapping up 2020 so far:

  • February: The unemployment rate was 3.5%, and social distancing meant flaking on plans to (voluntarily) watch Netflix all day.
  • March to April: Lockdowns hit, unemployment spiked to 14.7%, and the US economy lost a staggering ~22M jobs.
  • May to October: Unemployment consecutively fell each month as businesses reopened, from 13.3% in May to 6.9% in October.

Drum roll for November... The US added just 245K new jobs, down from 638K in October. Unemployment fell slightly to 6.7%, but that's partly thanks to people dropping out of the labor force (not searching for work = not unemployed).

  • The good: The US has added back more than 12M jobs since March, a promising vaccine is on its way, and stocks are at record highs.
  • The bad: The labor force is 2.2% smaller than pre-pandemic. That's largely due to women dropping out to cover childcare.
  • The ugly: 10.7M Americans are still unemployed, the pace of recovery is significantly slowing, and Covid is surging.

This could be the tipping point... The $2.2T stimulus in March, coupled with reopenings, drove a swift recovery. But now the rest of jobs will be harder to bring back, especially with new business restrictions: California imposed a regional stay-at-home order that closes bars, salons, and forbids outdoor restaurant dining. Centrists in Congress have unveiled a $908B economic aid proposal — November's jobs report could be a wake-up call to pass something ASAP.

Highs

Who's up...

If you didn't post a "Wrapped" Insta story... did you even listen to music this year? Spotify stock soared 15% last week, hitting a record high on "Wrapped" hype. Bad Bunny hopped to #1 for most streams, while Spotify jumped to #9 on the US app store on Wednesday. The Swedish streamer also got boosted by Joe Rogan's podcast, which became Spotify exclusive (ICYMI: Spotify is obsessed with pods).

Freeing up parking space... Boeing's 737 MAX jets are back in the air after nearly two years of sitting in lots. Last week, American Airlines flew the 1st public 737 MAX flight since March 2019, when the FAA grounded the troubled airliner after two fatal crashes. American filled the plane with journalists to convince the public that it's safe ahead of its commercial flight on December 29th. Another show of support: Ryanair ordered 75 more MAX jets. Boeing stock jumped 7% for the week.

Lows

...and who's down

No-K, Zoomer... Zoom's sales soared 367% last quarter, nearly quintupling from the same quarter last year and accelerating for three straight quarters. Despite the insane momentum, investors weren't impressed because Zoom's expecting just 329% sales growth this quarter (yawn). Investors were also bummed about its shrinking profit margin, so the stock fell 13% for the week. Despite the tough crowd, Zoom shares have ~6X'd in value this year.

The Undoing... of movie theaters, courtesy of HBO. Brad Pitt hit the fan on destructive news from AT&T's WarnerMedia last week: Warner Bros. will release all 17 of its 2021 movies on HBO Max at the same time they hit theaters. Dropping the entire slate of films directly to streaming = no exclusive theatrical window. AMC, the world's largest theater chain, watched its stock plunge 21% for the week.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Hustle: 5 signs that you're ready to take your side hustle full-time.
  • Smile: Neuroscience says doing this makes you as happy as eating 2,000 chocolate bars (hopefully not as sick).
  • Commit: WFH habits of great writers, from Hemingway's 6 a.m. draft to Murakami's exercise routine.
  • See: GIPHY's 10 most-viewed GIFs of 2020 (#8 pretty much sums it up — but so does #4).
  • Work: How to professionally decline an unnecessary meeting, because Zoom fatigue is real.
  • Build: How to break bad habits in three simple steps, according to #science.

🍪 Want to start getting Snacking daily? Sign up here for our daily market newsletter.

This Week

ID: 1438225

Get Your News

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Latest Stories

markets

Uber’s bad investment bets are weighing down the company

The ride-share giant posted a surprise loss of $654 million, as it lowered the value of its investments in other companies. (Uber has equity investments in other businesses such as Indian food app Zomato and Chinese ride-hailing app Didi, for example. It lowered the value of that investment portfolio.) “The biggest reason why we moved into a loss is that we've got significant equity stakes in certain companies like Didi and other companies out there ... it has nothing to do with the operating business,” said CEO Dara Khosrowshahi in an interview with CNBC.

Uber also offered up weak a forecast for gross bookings in the second quarter. Adding insult to injury, arch rival Lyft beat expectations on the top and bottom line, sending its shares sharply higher.

Internet access

With the ACP at risk of ending, lower-income families could lose internet access

Go Deeper with Market Depth

Nasdaq TotalView powers the need-to-know data serious investors rely on.

Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia

AI is changing jobs, but it’s not actually taking them yet

The Wall Street Journal looked at how generative AI is altering the ways in which a lawyer, marketer, and a doctor work. Notably, the vast majority of AI-using businesses reported no change in employment because of it in the last six months, Census data shows.

2.6%
employers who cut jobs due to gen AI
2.8%
Employers who added jobs because of it
business

It’s Friday, Friday, gotta work at home on Friday

Even companies forcing people back to the office on certain days of the week know better than to make people come in on Fridays, according to new data from Flex Index, which tracks office policies. Just 8% of businesses that ask for specific days in the office require people to show up on Friday.

All hail fall, winter, and spring Fridays.

Your inbox is ready

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

crypto

FTX shockingly may be able to repay almost everyone

The bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX announced they were “in a position to propose a chapter 11 plan that contemplates the return of 100% of bankruptcy claim amounts,” a move that once seemed impossible.

The plan will repay all customers with claims under $50,000 (except governmental creditors) 118% of the funds they had on the exchange — in cash — when it collapsed in November, 2022.

There is a caveat to these numbers, however: Creditors will be repaid based on asset values in November, when bitcoin was trading at well under $20,000. Today, it’s trading at over $62,000, and some creditors are recommending rejecting FTX’s plan.

There is a caveat to these numbers, however: Creditors will be repaid based on asset values in November, when bitcoin was trading at well under $20,000. Today, it’s trading at over $62,000, and some creditors are recommending rejecting FTX’s plan.

$90B

Amount the Biden administration says Americans pay in junk fees (those sneaky hidden charges like mandatory hotel resort fees or online ticket sale fees), on everything from food to fuel, every year.