Friday Apr.29, 2022

🍎 Apple’s still sellin’

Can’t stop, won’t stop — selling iPhones (Win McNamee/Getty Images)
Can’t stop, won’t stop — selling iPhones (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Hey Snackers,

Someone call the breakfast police: Tropicana has unveiled a cereal meant to be eaten with OJ instead of milk. Some things just shouldn’t be messed with.

Stocks finally staged the comeback rally they’d been trying for, led by techies like Meta, which sent the Nasdaq up 3%. The rally came despite data showing the US economy shrank last quarter for the first time since the early days of the pandemic.

Fruit

Apple had one of its best quarters ever, offering hope for the rest of the global economy

Isaac Newton would be stumped
 This Apple just doesn’t seem to fall. Yesterday the world’s most valuable company said sales jumped more than expected last quarter — to $97B — despite ongoing supply issues, the war in Ukraine, and booming inflation. All told, it was Apple’s third-best quarter of all time. The details:

  • Booming sales: Sales of iPhones, Macs, and other hardware like AirPods all rose more than expected. Sales grew fastest in the services division (think: App Store, iCloud).
  • Soaring buybacks: Apple’s board authorized $90B in stock buybacks, even more than last year. Analysts typically see buybacks as a sign of confidence.

The post-pandemic slump
 still hasn’t hit Apple. Apple’s stock is still up more than double since the pandemic began, while fellow stay-at-home surgers Meta, Zoom, Peloton, and Netflix have fallen to pre-pandemic levels. But some analysts worried that China’s latest lockdowns would finally put a damper on Apple’s results:

  • The cause for concern: China is critical to Apple’s business: an estimated 20% of iProducts are sold in China and 85% are built there.
  • Saved by a flexible supply chain: Apple’s recent sales didn’t fall. Part of the reason: the Fruit shifted production resources between products to prevent shortages (basically: making more iPhones than iPads when they ran low).

Apple isn’t just a company
 it’s an iConomy. Apple’s worth nearly $3T (or about 2% of the world’s GDP), making it an indicator for the entire global economy. The combo of steady iDemand and Apple’s flexible supply chain offers investors hope that consumers may keep spending despite soaring prices and other economic headwinds.

Skid

Carvana gets help from private equity as the used-car biz stalls out

Carvana’s car-vending machine
 is running out of quarters as the lure of cash-burning used-car companies wears off. Yesterday, private-equity giant Apollo reportedly agreed to buy $1.6B of Carvana’s corporate debt (think: investors lend Carvana $$ through bonds, and then get paid with interest). Apollo’s coming to the rescue after Carvana struggled to raise money for an acquisition amid slowing demand for its refurbished cars sold online.

  • Last quarter: Carvana posted its first sales decline since going public in 2017 — and it’s expected to lose $800M this year.
  • Slashing tires: In response to supply backlogs and labor shortages, Carvana hiked its car prices and trimmed back on inventory for online shoppers.

Your 2018 Honda Civic
 is worth more than you think. Used-car sales hit record highs during the pandemic as supply shortages made new wheels hard to come by. Some models were even selling for 20% more than their new editions. Carvana made it easy for shoppers to buy online and have their cars delivered, without hassling with a dealership. But as car shopping has become more like house hunting (see: low inventory, high prices), it’s hurting demand — and not just for Carvana:

  • Rival Vroom has lost 90% of its post-IPO gains, while used-car OG CarMax says shaky consumer confidence is keeping buyers away.

The pandemic thriver model is broken
 and private equity wants to be the glue to fix it. From Airbnb to Carnival, PE firms have thrown lifelines to numerous companies needing quick cash to combat pandemic-fueled losses. In turn, firms like Apollo guarantee dividends for investors and a big payout down the road. It’s worked before: Apollo's fund jumped 10% after Hertz paid back part of a $1.5B loan less than a year after getting it.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Boxed: In its latest earnings results, Amazon posted its slowest sales growth in over two decades. The e-commerce legend notched a $7.6B loss from its stake in EV-maker Rivian and warned of slower sales ahead.
  • Shots: We’re gonna need more lollipops: after successful trials, Moderna asked for emergency FDA approval for its Covid vax for little kids. If approved, it’d be the first vax available to the pre-K crowd.
  • Rx: Teladoc is the latest stay-at-home stock to get crushed: shares lost nearly half their value after the telemedicine company badly missed earnings, blaming a slowdown in sales and increase in competition.
  • Dough: Ben & Jerry’s parent, Unilever, said it saw a softening in consumer demand last quarter after raising prices by 8%, which suggests that Unilever may have found the limit of price hikes that consumers will accept.
  • Bird: Twitter missed its sales expectations for the quarter but reported an uptick in daily users, to 229M. It could be one of the last earnings reports for Twitter before its sale to Elon is finalized.

Friday

  • Earnings expected from: ExxonMobil, Chevron, AbbVie, AstraZeneca, Bristol Myers Squibb

Authors of this Snacks own shares of Apple, Netflix, Twitter, Exxon, Vroom, and Moderna

ID: 2177908

Get Your News

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Latest Stories

2024-04-26-alphabet-sankey

Alphabet’s record Q1

Search and Cloud continue to deliver, as Alphabet announces its first-ever dividend

Stork delivery

America’s birth rate keeps dropping

Births in the US, like almost everywhere else, are on the decline

2024-04-26-nestle-new

NestlĂ©, the world’s largest food company, is struggling

Go Deeper with Market Depth

Nasdaq TotalView powers the need-to-know data serious investors rely on.

Scuba Diving in the Wild Blue Yonder in French Polynesia
World

Tangential remarks

Nicolai Tangen, the CEO who holds the purse strings of Norway’s $1.6 trillion sovereign wealth fund, thinks that his fellow Europeans don’t quite stack up to US employees when it comes to pure hustle, telling the Financial Times in a recent interview that there is a difference in “the general level of ambition” and that “the Americans just work harder”. 

Tangen has clearly been putting his money — or more specifically Norway’s — where his mouth is: the sprawling Norwegian oil fund, now one of the largest investors on the planet, has been pumping more capital into its US holdings in the past decade, while decreasing its investment into European entities.

The troublesome news for our European readers? Tangen might be onto something. According to data from the OECD, American workers are putting in almost 60 hours a year more than the weighted average for OECD nations
 a benchmark that workers from countries in the European Union are already ~180 hours shy of.

Hours worked

Tangen has clearly been putting his money — or more specifically Norway’s — where his mouth is: the sprawling Norwegian oil fund, now one of the largest investors on the planet, has been pumping more capital into its US holdings in the past decade, while decreasing its investment into European entities.

The troublesome news for our European readers? Tangen might be onto something. According to data from the OECD, American workers are putting in almost 60 hours a year more than the weighted average for OECD nations
 a benchmark that workers from countries in the European Union are already ~180 hours shy of.

Hours worked
Power

$2T is the new $1T

Alphabet’s phenomenal earnings yesterday was enough to push the search giant’s market cap beyond $2 trillion, joining the likes of NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft.

Sunset Moonrise in New York City

Air taxi Blade is actually an organ transport business in disguise

How the helicopter fleet quietly became America's biggest airborne ambulance.

Your inbox is ready

Subscribe and thrive

Snacks provides fresh takes on the financial news you need to start your day. Chartr provides data visualizations on business, entertainment, and society. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

$70B

Alphabet shares are soaring in the after-market session, with a initial jump of more than 10% implying a gain of upwards of about $200B in market value when the stock opens tomorrow morning.

Google’s parent company crushed earnings expectations, initiated a cash dividend for the first time, and authorized a fresh $70B in share repurchases for good measure. The market likes it very much.

Business
Rani Molla
4/25/24

No, Apple hasn’t cut its Vision Pro production estimates in half

Quite a few news outlets are reporting that Apple thinks it’s only going to sell 400,000 to 450,000 Vision Pros in 2024, compared a “market consensus” of 700,000 to 800,000. They’re all citing a note from Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo.

Obviously there’s no question that Apple’s $3,500 face computer will have a limited audience and could be a huge flop, but this also doesn’t seem like accurate news.

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

The issue is that 1) this 400,000 number isn’t new. Back in July of 2023, the Financial Times reported that Apple planned to make fewer than 400,000 units in 2024, reducing its initial projections of 1M units, citing two people close to Apple and, the Chinese contract manufacturer assembling the device. 2) It's unclear who was estimating 700,000-800,000 Vision Pros in the first place, but it appears that it was Ming-Chi Kuo himself?

 Max Holloway and Mark Zuckerberg

Meta exhaustingly tries to merge the metaverse and AI

Gonna have to rename the company... again

Rani Molla4/25/24