Sherwood
Monday Jan.27, 2020

⚡️🚘 The silent rise of the e-vans

_Vans don't have to be human-pushed to be sustainable_
_Vans don't have to be human-pushed to be sustainable_

Hey Snackers,

California fish enjoyed an open bar this weekend when a Sonoma County winery leaked nearly 100K gallons of Cabernet into the Russian River. The wine was (literally) flowing.

Stocks ended the week lower, and the Dow dropped 170 points Friday, as more cases of the deadly cornavirus were confirmed.

Deliver

The quiet (yet significant) rise of the electric delivery vehicle

Not as sexy as cars... But perhaps more formidable. While the news buzzes with shiny stories on Tesla and fancy new electric car models, one player in the electric push has gone relatively unnoticed: the electric delivery van. Big companies are realizing the 4-wheeled space between cars and semi trucks could become climate cursaders:

  • IKEA, DHL, AT&T and Amazon are creating an alliance to pressure EV makers to make electric delivery vans diverse/scalable enough for their massive fleets (IKEA said it will use EVs for all its home furniture deliveries by 2025)
  • Hyundai and Kia just invested over $110M in electric delivery vehical startup Arrival
  • Amazon has ordered 100K electric vans from Rivian back in September, the largest order of EV delivery vehicles ever (as part of its pledge to become carbon neutral by 2040)

As e-commerce delivery continues to grow... More and more vans are hitting the streets. And companies like Amazon are increasingly incentivized to electrify their fleets to save money on fuel, gain independence from volatile oil/gas prices, and lower greenhouse gas emissions.

The biggest shift to electric... may not come from consumers buying individual cars — it might come from companies buying work vehicles. This new EV alliance suggest that companies are enthusiastic about electric vehicles for the same reason Amazon is. These businesses operate some of the largest vehicle fleets in the world, and their investment in EV could move the needle faster than individual consumer purchases can. And the money coming from corporate budgets could fuel innovation in electric that filters down to consumer cars.

Highs

Who's up...

All Uber the place... Uber's had a lot in its trunk lately, from working to disqualify its California drivers from being employees to dealing with a potential London ban. But the stock surged 5% after the company sold its Uber Eats India biz to Indian food delivery competitor Zomato. Uber's taking the "dominate or ditch" approach: leave markets where it's not #1 so that it canfocus on markets where it is (or could be). While some could see this exit as quitting, investors see it as a money-losing company finally making profit-chasing moves.

Real meat, minus the animal... Memphis Meats just raised a beefy $161M to develop cell-based meat, the biggest ever fundraise for a lab-grown meat startup. The company "feeds" cells taken from animals, then grows the tissue into a hunk of beef you can cook and fit in a taco. And you thought plant-based was wild. The world wants twice today's meat by 2050, and lab-grown meat could deliver by requiring less land and water (which are both running out) than raising animals. Plus, fewer animals will have to perish.

Lows

...and who's down

Not in the green... Weed delivery leader Eaze (aka "the Uber of pot") has a cash problem — it's almost out of the stuff. It's reportedly about to lay off employees and can't afford to pay its bills. Eaze wasn't making enough $$$ by acting as a delivery middle guy for 3rd party Cannabis producers, so it's whipped up a new strategy: "Touching the plant". Produce and sell its own weed directly through depots. Eaze's struggles though are reflective of a whole Cannabis industry not growing as fast as investors hoped.

Remember when... checkered Vans were a must-have middle-school staple and Timberlands made you an official adult? Those days are gone for VF Corp, which owns both the brands (along with The North Face). VF shares fell 10% last week as Vans and Timbs sales slow. So it's looking to sell off its industrial work apparel divisions so it can fix its more fashionable consumer labels.

What else we’re Snackin’

  • Discover: Why people seem like they're aging at different rates: meet "ageotypes"
  • Rest: 7 reasons you're always tired — might be your "sleep hygiene"
  • Grub: The best and worst American airports... ranked by food options
  • Work: The most in-demand job skills of 2020, according to LinkedIn ?: Is Venture capital worth the risk?

This Week

Disclosure: Authors of this Snacks own shares of Uber, Amazon, and Tesla

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It’s Friday, Friday, gotta work at home on Friday

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All hail fall, winter, and spring Fridays.

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The plan will repay all customers with claims under $50,000 (except governmental creditors) 118% of the funds they had on the exchange — in cash — when it collapsed in November, 2022.

There is a caveat to these numbers, however: Creditors will be repaid based on asset values in November, when bitcoin was trading at well under $20,000. Today, it’s trading at over $62,000, and some creditors are recommending rejecting FTX’s plan.

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339% raise

Call it the Undertaker bump: Endeavor and TKO Group CEO Ari Emanuel got a hefty raise after helming the $9.3B merger between UFC and WWE.

According to The Hollywood Reporter, Emanuel pulled in $84M last year, a 339% raise from 2022. Emanuel made $1,184 to every $1 Endeavor’s median employee made.

Still, it doesn’t compare to Emanuel’s $308M Endeavor pay package from 2021 — before he was this guy’s boss — which was mostly thanks to a restricted stock grant.

Disney has its worst day in a year

The House of Mouse got some rough reviews Tuesday after it reported a small Q1 loss of $20 million, while emphasizing that it reduced red ink in its costly streaming unit from $659 million in Q1 2023 to $18 million. Still, a loss is a loss. Shortly after the start of trading, Disney was having its worst day in a year.

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US spies get their own gen AI “divorced” from the internet

Spies are just like us: they want generative AI to do their work for them. And now, thanks to Microsoft, which developed a gen-AI model for US intelligence agencies, they can. Uniquely, the model doesn’t run on the internet, where it could potentially leak sensitive information.

US spies can now use this GPT4-based model to analyze large amounts of classified data and presumably sound like a self-assured high-school report in their communications.

Of course it’s possible they're also inheriting many of gen AI’s less intelligent problems, like hallucinations and factual inaccuracies.

Of course it’s possible they're also inheriting many of gen AI’s less intelligent problems, like hallucinations and factual inaccuracies.

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Apple betting its chips on AI for servers

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Gamers are still buying the Switch console in their millions, as its successor appears on the horizon

Sales of the 7-year-old Switch console are holding up better than Nintendo expected, as the Japanese company reported shifting 15.7 million units of the display-diverse device in the 12 months to March 2024, beating its own predictions.

More importantly, however, Nintendo finally gave something of update on the Switch’s successor, which is now set to be announced in the coming fiscal year.

Although Switch sales have stayed surprisingly strong... they’re still falling, highlighting how difficult the business of game hardware can be. You need a new hit every 7-10 years, as sales typically peak 3-5 years after release before dropping sharply. That slowdown is beginning to flow through to Nintendo’s bottom line, with the company forecasting a ~40% annual drop in profit this year, per CNBC. The Switch sequel, whatever it looks like, has some big shoes to fill.

Nintendo console sales

More importantly, however, Nintendo finally gave something of update on the Switch’s successor, which is now set to be announced in the coming fiscal year.

Although Switch sales have stayed surprisingly strong... they’re still falling, highlighting how difficult the business of game hardware can be. You need a new hit every 7-10 years, as sales typically peak 3-5 years after release before dropping sharply. That slowdown is beginning to flow through to Nintendo’s bottom line, with the company forecasting a ~40% annual drop in profit this year, per CNBC. The Switch sequel, whatever it looks like, has some big shoes to fill.

Nintendo console sales